
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Macro Election 2View on Polymarket ↗
24h volume
$75,870
Liquidity
$334,587
Whale net flow (24h)
-$33,900
1 tracked trades · buys $0 · sells $33,900
Outcomes
Yes / No
Smart-money consensus (open positions of qualified whales)
Yes 99%1% No
48 qualified whales · $1M positioned
Largest whale trades (7 days)
| Time | Trader | Side | Outcome | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | BitcoinerRetired | SELL | Yes | 53.0¢ | $33,900 |
Sold $34k of YES at 53¢. Cuts against smart money, which is 99% YES (45 whales). | |||||
| 5d ago | Eire | BUY | Yes | 55.0¢ | $10,000 |
Increased YES from $20k → $30k at 55¢ — 27% of their portfolio. Smart money is 99% YES (39 whales). | |||||
Top holders
Yes
unknwnfnd771K shares- TheReturnOfDarthMaul575K shares
ScottyNooo309K shares- 0x636cd3e5750597c165796701e30339D856D8a2cF-1729340044075113K shares
- hideki.hirata108K shares
- abed178K shares
- Pvgren73K shares
- sassy3153570K shares
Eire60K shares- flawfence39K shares
No
- 0xa5ef…29663.3M shares
Jimmy-Carvalho-Opcoes60K shares- 7897987987987951K shares
- kylox48K shares
- Johnsansculotte42K shares
- NSNO42K shares
RememberAmalek24K shares
Freedom-BY18K shares- McMurphy16K shares
- 0x35d44846FB2e9bd1686b050A4CAe30cDE9B7f15B-177756203990812K shares
WhaleWatcher