Melody626

91Qualified whaleProven trader

0xecaa8806a9a05049d7d5260a33dc924220e377a9· stats updated 1d ago

Realized PnL

+$3,454,108

closed + open positions

Return on capital

19%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$472,275

Capital deployed

$18,466,147

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$92,610

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 30.0/30Return 15.6/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 90.6 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	81.0¢	$138,465	+$26,317	Trade ↗
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?	Yes	48.4¢	$109,997	+$56,700	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	69.8¢	$65,002	+$6,263	Trade ↗
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?	Yes	77.1¢	$64,696	+$14,802	Trade ↗
Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Democratic Party?	No	68.6¢	$32,450	+$10,187	Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	71.1¢	$32,215	+$2,663	Trade ↗
Will one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate advance to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary?	Yes	68.5¢	$26,479	+$8,337	Trade ↗
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by 70% or more?	No	28.4¢	$703	+$503	Trade ↗
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 50% and 60% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	49.0¢	$650	+$331	Trade ↗
Will Two People Exchanging Saliva win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	55.0¢	$272	+$122	Trade ↗
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 27m?	Yes	66.5¢	$244	+$82	Trade ↗
Will Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	84.0¢	$213	+$34	Trade ↗
Will between 219 and 220 U.S. House members vote "Yea" on the next funding bill by November 30?	No	61.1¢	$162	+$63	Trade ↗
Will Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	91.0¢	$129	+$12	Trade ↗
Will "Marty Supreme" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m?	Yes	63.0¢	$100	+$37	Trade ↗
Will TISZA win 54%+ of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?	No	69.9¢	$99	+$30	Trade ↗
Will "Hamnet" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars?	Yes	86.0¢	$89	+$12	Trade ↗
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	No	86.2¢	$89	+$12	Trade ↗
Will "28 Years Later: Bone Temple" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 16m?	Yes	36.0¢	$61	+$39	Trade ↗
Will Norway win the most medal points in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Yes	64.8¢	$54	+$19	Trade ↗
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 20.5m?	No	69.9¢	$24	+$7	Trade ↗
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?	Yes	76.0¢	$23	$0	Trade ↗
Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska?	Alaska	61.0¢	$16	+$6	Trade ↗
AP calls Georgia by 8:00 AM Nov 6?	Yes	63.0¢	$16	+$6	Trade ↗
Will a Democrat win Minnesota in the 2024 US Presidential Election?	Yes	87.0¢	$11	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Trump get over 50% of the Popular Vote?	No	37.0¢	$8	+$5	Trade ↗
Will Oracle buy TikTok?	No	48.0¢	$7	+$4	Trade ↗
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	No	19.5¢	$0	-$1,830	Trade ↗
United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 0.5	Over	59.0¢	$0	-$1,232	Trade ↗
Spread: England (-1.5)	England	50.0¢	$0	-$950	Trade ↗
Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?	Democratic	40.9¢	$0	-$20	Trade ↗
U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15?	No	72.2¢	$0	-$41,833	Trade ↗
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?	No	70.5¢	$0	-$5,204	Trade ↗
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	58.0¢	$0	-$1,595	Trade ↗
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	27.5¢	$0	-$15,861	Trade ↗
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 11.5 Total Corners	Over	37.0¢	$0	-$740	Trade ↗
Mexico vs. England: Mexico O/U 2.5	Over	40.3¢	$0	-$2,835	Trade ↗
England leading at halftime?	Yes	36.0¢	$0	-$1,170	Trade ↗
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	45.0¢	$0	-$650	Trade ↗
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	60.9¢	$0	-$13,326	Trade ↗
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?	Yes	80.0¢	$0	-$1,839	Trade ↗
Will Bernard Taylor be the FL-21 Democratic nominee?	Yes	47.9¢	$0	-$3,725	Trade ↗
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	73.0¢	$0	-$2,190	Trade ↗
Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?	Yes	53.4¢	$0	-$18,748	Trade ↗
Spain to win the second half?	Yes	43.0¢	$0	-$1,433	Trade ↗
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?	No	62.0¢	$0	-$3,720	Trade ↗
Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?	No	24.2¢	$0	-$3,429	Trade ↗
Portugal vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5	Under	47.0¢	$0	-$893	Trade ↗
Lionel Messi: 1+ goals	Yes	35.0¢	$0	-$2,800	Trade ↗
Will John Hickenlooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?	No	9.7¢	$0	-$700	Trade ↗
Will Dan Green be the Republican nominee for FL-09?	No	51.4¢	$0	-$2,176	Trade ↗
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?	Yes	4.3¢	$0	-$1,937	Trade ↗
Spain vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners	Over	60.1¢	$0	-$105	Trade ↗
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	65.3¢	$0	-$3,767	Trade ↗
Will England be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?	No	70.5¢	$0	-$3,207	Trade ↗
Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	38.5¢	$0	-$2,356	Trade ↗
Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei	Yes	62.3¢	$0	-$18,803	Trade ↗
England vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5 Total Corners	Over	57.0¢	$0	-$2,750	Trade ↗
Will Trump issue an executive order on February 6?	No	18.0¢	$0	-$2,171	Trade ↗
Will Republicans control 220 seats in the House after the election?	No	61.9¢	$0	-$225	Trade ↗
Will Russell Fry place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?	Yes	30.0¢	$0	-$248	Trade ↗
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?	No	31.0¢	$0	-$1,209	Trade ↗
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	37.0¢	$0	-$1,332	Trade ↗
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	65.0¢	$0	-$7,467	Trade ↗
Will Elijah Manley be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?	Yes	13.2¢	$0	-$862	Trade ↗
Liberals win majority in Canadian election?	Yes	58.6¢	$0	-$14,151	Trade ↗
Will there be 155,000,000-160,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?	No	13.0¢	$0	-$3	Trade ↗
Will Oracle buy TikTok?	Yes	60.3¢	$0	-$3,981	Trade ↗
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	84.3¢	$0	-$9,439	Trade ↗
Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina?	Yes	38.6¢	$0	-$1,583	Trade ↗
Ethereum above $3,500 on January 10?	Yes	14.8¢	$0	-$1,481	Trade ↗
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	6.3¢	$0	-$3,109	Trade ↗
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?	No	30.9¢	$0	-$2,935	Trade ↗
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	15.9¢	$0	-$9,760	Trade ↗
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	66.4¢	$0	-$12,840	Trade ↗
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 0.5	Under	75.6¢	$0	-$1,830	Trade ↗
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?	No	21.0¢	$0	-$378	Trade ↗
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?	Yes	28.5¢	$0	-$10,660	Trade ↗
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 4.5 Corners	Over	55.0¢	$0	-$301	Trade ↗
Dems or GOP larger turnout in Texas Senate Primary?	GOP	23.1¢	$0	-$3,312	Trade ↗
Will Brady Corbet win Best Director at the 2025 Oscars for "The Brutalist"?	Yes	29.0¢	$0	-$16	Trade ↗
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners	Under	48.0¢	$0	-$657	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?	Yes	12.6¢	$0	-$3,049	Trade ↗
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 11.5 Total Corners	Under	40.0¢	$0	-$320	Trade ↗
Christian Pulisic: 1+ goals	Yes	31.0¢	$0	-$1,209	Trade ↗
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	57.0¢	$0	-$784	Trade ↗
Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 18m?	Yes	11.1¢	$0	-$235	Trade ↗
Will a candidate win outright in the Texas GOP Senate Primary?	Yes	16.6¢	$0	-$33	Trade ↗
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	Yes	83.0¢	$0	-$1,901	Trade ↗
TikTok sale announced in 2025?	No	27.2¢	$0	-$8,883	Trade ↗
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5	Over	56.0¢	$0	-$575	Trade ↗
Will Republicans control 221 seats in the House after the election?	Yes	44.8¢	$0	-$7,122	Trade ↗
England to score first vs. Norway?	Yes	58.0¢	$0	-$1,624	Trade ↗
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 10.5 Total Corners	Over	51.4¢	$0	-$1,191	Trade ↗
Will Hakeem Jeffries endorse Mamdani?	No	33.3¢	$0	-$7,133	Trade ↗
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5	Over	60.0¢	$0	-$1,290	Trade ↗
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff by less than 5%?	No	74.2¢	$0	-$12,522	Trade ↗
Will David Trone be the Democratic nominee for MD-06?	Yes	21.4¢	$0	-$627	Trade ↗
Bitcoin above $97,000 on January 10?	Yes	48.4¢	$0	-$3,833	Trade ↗
Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?	Yes	27.0¢	$0	-$4,854	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
1d ago	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	Yes	76.9¢	$26,696
58d ago	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	BUY	Yes	69.0¢	$55,080
78d ago	Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	BUY	Yes	48.7¢	$10,835