Melody626

92Qualified whaleProven trader

0xecaa8806a9a05049d7d5260a33dc924220e377a9· stats updated 16h ago

Realized PnL

+$3,610,298

closed + open positions

Return on capital

20%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$419,527

Capital deployed

$17,943,018

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$65,914

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 30.0/30Return 16.8/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 91.8 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	81.0¢	$138,465	+$26,317	Trade ↗
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?	Yes	48.4¢	$109,997	+$56,700	Trade ↗
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?	Yes	77.1¢	$64,696	+$14,802	Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	65.2¢	$44,352	-$17,883	Trade ↗
Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Democratic Party?	No	68.6¢	$32,450	+$10,187	Trade ↗
Will one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate advance to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary?	Yes	68.5¢	$26,479	+$8,337	Trade ↗
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by 70% or more?	No	28.4¢	$703	+$503	Trade ↗
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 50% and 60% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	49.0¢	$650	+$331	Trade ↗
Will Two People Exchanging Saliva win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	55.0¢	$272	+$122	Trade ↗
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 27m?	Yes	66.5¢	$244	+$82	Trade ↗
Will Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	84.0¢	$213	+$34	Trade ↗
Will between 219 and 220 U.S. House members vote "Yea" on the next funding bill by November 30?	No	61.1¢	$162	+$63	Trade ↗
Will Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	91.0¢	$129	+$12	Trade ↗
Will "Mercy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 11m?	Yes	34.8¢	$123	+$80	Trade ↗
Will "Marty Supreme" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m?	Yes	63.0¢	$100	+$37	Trade ↗
Will TISZA win 54%+ of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?	No	69.9¢	$99	+$30	Trade ↗
Will "Hamnet" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars?	Yes	86.0¢	$89	+$12	Trade ↗
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	No	68.9¢	$89	+$28	Trade ↗
Will "28 Years Later: Bone Temple" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 16m?	Yes	36.0¢	$61	+$39	Trade ↗
Will Norway win the most medal points in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Yes	64.8¢	$54	+$19	Trade ↗
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 20.5m?	No	69.9¢	$24	+$7	Trade ↗
Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	No	81.0¢	$17	+$3	Trade ↗
Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska?	Alaska	61.0¢	$16	+$6	Trade ↗
AP calls Georgia by 8:00 AM Nov 6?	Yes	63.0¢	$16	+$6	Trade ↗
Will a Democrat win Minnesota in the 2024 US Presidential Election?	Yes	87.0¢	$11	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Trump get over 50% of the Popular Vote?	No	37.0¢	$8	+$5	Trade ↗
Will Oracle buy TikTok?	No	48.0¢	$7	+$4	Trade ↗
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?	No	30.3¢	$0	-$1,184	Trade ↗
Will Republicans control 220 seats in the House after the election?	No	61.9¢	$0	-$225	Trade ↗
Spread: England (-1.5)	England	50.0¢	$0	-$950	Trade ↗
England vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5 Total Corners	Over	57.0¢	$0	-$2,750	Trade ↗
Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?	Democratic	40.9¢	$0	-$20	Trade ↗
U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15?	No	72.2¢	$0	-$41,833	Trade ↗
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	58.0¢	$0	-$1,595	Trade ↗
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	65.3¢	$0	-$3,767	Trade ↗
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	27.5¢	$0	-$15,861	Trade ↗
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 11.5 Total Corners	Over	37.0¢	$0	-$740	Trade ↗
Will John Hickenlooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?	No	9.7¢	$0	-$700	Trade ↗
Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?	No	24.2¢	$0	-$3,429	Trade ↗
England leading at halftime?	Yes	36.0¢	$0	-$1,170	Trade ↗
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	60.9¢	$0	-$13,326	Trade ↗
Will Bernard Taylor be the FL-21 Democratic nominee?	Yes	47.9¢	$0	-$3,725	Trade ↗
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?	Yes	80.0¢	$0	-$1,839	Trade ↗
Will Republicans control 221 seats in the House after the election?	Yes	44.8¢	$0	-$7,119	Trade ↗
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	73.0¢	$0	-$2,190	Trade ↗
TikTok sale announced in 2025?	No	27.2¢	$0	-$8,883	Trade ↗
Portugal vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5	Under	47.0¢	$0	-$893	Trade ↗
Will David Trone be the Democratic nominee for MD-06?	Yes	21.4¢	$0	-$627	Trade ↗
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	77.9¢	$0	-$13,971	Trade ↗
Mexico vs. England: Mexico O/U 2.5	Over	40.3¢	$0	-$2,835	Trade ↗
Will a candidate win outright in the Texas GOP Senate Primary?	Yes	16.6¢	$0	-$33	Trade ↗
Spain to win the second half?	Yes	43.0¢	$0	-$1,433	Trade ↗
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?	Yes	4.3¢	$0	-$1,937	Trade ↗
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?	No	70.5¢	$0	-$5,204	Trade ↗
Spain vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners	Over	60.1¢	$0	-$105	Trade ↗
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 11.5 Total Corners	Under	40.0¢	$0	-$320	Trade ↗
Will England be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?	No	70.5¢	$0	-$3,207	Trade ↗
United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 0.5	Over	59.0¢	$0	-$1,232	Trade ↗
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners	Under	48.0¢	$0	-$657	Trade ↗
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	No	19.5¢	$0	-$1,830	Trade ↗
Will Trump issue an executive order on February 6?	No	18.0¢	$0	-$2,171	Trade ↗
Will Hakeem Jeffries endorse Mamdani?	No	33.3¢	$0	-$7,133	Trade ↗
Will Russell Fry place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?	Yes	30.0¢	$0	-$248	Trade ↗
Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei	Yes	62.3¢	$0	-$18,803	Trade ↗
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	65.0¢	$0	-$7,467	Trade ↗
Will Elijah Manley be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?	Yes	13.2¢	$0	-$862	Trade ↗
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 0.5	Under	75.6¢	$0	-$1,830	Trade ↗
Liberals win majority in Canadian election?	Yes	58.6¢	$0	-$14,151	Trade ↗
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	15.9¢	$0	-$9,760	Trade ↗
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	84.3¢	$0	-$9,439	Trade ↗
Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina?	Yes	38.6¢	$0	-$1,583	Trade ↗
Will Oracle buy TikTok?	Yes	60.3¢	$0	-$3,981	Trade ↗
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	6.3¢	$0	-$3,109	Trade ↗
Will there be 155,000,000-160,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?	No	13.0¢	$0	-$3	Trade ↗
Ethereum above $3,500 on January 10?	Yes	14.8¢	$0	-$1,481	Trade ↗
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?	No	21.0¢	$0	-$378	Trade ↗
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?	Yes	28.5¢	$0	-$10,660	Trade ↗
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	37.0¢	$0	-$1,332	Trade ↗
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	66.4¢	$0	-$12,840	Trade ↗
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 4.5 Corners	Over	55.0¢	$0	-$301	Trade ↗
Dems or GOP larger turnout in Texas Senate Primary?	GOP	23.1¢	$0	-$3,312	Trade ↗
Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	38.5¢	$0	-$2,356	Trade ↗
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?	No	30.9¢	$0	-$2,935	Trade ↗
Christian Pulisic: 1+ goals	Yes	31.0¢	$0	-$1,209	Trade ↗
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	57.0¢	$0	-$784	Trade ↗
Will Dan Green be the Republican nominee for FL-09?	No	51.4¢	$0	-$2,176	Trade ↗
Will Brady Corbet win Best Director at the 2025 Oscars for "The Brutalist"?	Yes	29.0¢	$0	-$16	Trade ↗
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?	No	62.0¢	$0	-$3,720	Trade ↗
Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 18m?	Yes	11.1¢	$0	-$235	Trade ↗
Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?	Yes	53.4¢	$0	-$18,748	Trade ↗
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	Yes	83.0¢	$0	-$1,901	Trade ↗
England to score first vs. Norway?	Yes	58.0¢	$0	-$1,624	Trade ↗
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 10.5 Total Corners	Over	51.4¢	$0	-$1,191	Trade ↗
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	45.0¢	$0	-$650	Trade ↗
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5	Over	56.0¢	$0	-$575	Trade ↗
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5	Over	60.0¢	$0	-$1,290	Trade ↗
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff by less than 5%?	No	74.2¢	$0	-$12,522	Trade ↗
Lionel Messi: 1+ goals	Yes	35.0¢	$0	-$2,800	Trade ↗
Bitcoin above $97,000 on January 10?	Yes	48.4¢	$0	-$3,833	Trade ↗
Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?	Yes	27.0¢	$0	-$4,854	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
12d ago	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	BUY	Yes	69.0¢	$55,080
32d ago	Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	BUY	Yes	48.7¢	$10,835