WhaleWatcher

TheReturnOfDarthMaul

66Qualified whaleProven traderSpecialist
0x3a8aa345d5db7ec5138298c8c4f4540259be7699· stats updated 9h ago
Realized PnL
+$416,489
closed + open positions
Return on capital
3%
realized PnL ÷ capital deployed
Win rate
100%
500 of 500 resolved
Resolved markets
500
Portfolio value
$6,480,252
Capital deployed
$13,340,889
lifetime cost of all positions
Tracked whale volume
$2,414,137
volume seen by WhaleWatcher
Open positions
65

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 22.9/30Return 2.6/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -4.5Total 66.0 / 100

Current positions

MarketOutcomeAvg priceValueUnrealized PnLTrade
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No98.2¢$3,074,969+$40,827Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes43.5¢$1,425,752+$264,976Trade ↗
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes79.3¢$551,076+$80,308Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes60.2¢$301,784-$44,291Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?No90.4¢$152,246-$6,613Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No35.2¢$125,819+$43,095Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No82.4¢$102,084-$19,776Trade ↗
Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes49.0¢$85,497+$29,232Trade ↗
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Yes42.7¢$66,024+$13,267Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Yes66.6¢$63,997+$16,896Trade ↗
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No87.0¢$56,194-$65,238Trade ↗
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No93.9¢$49,453+$1,798Trade ↗
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?No93.8¢$49,019+$2,804Trade ↗
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?No78.0¢$41,610+$6,910Trade ↗
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes85.0¢$39,750-$50,409Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Yes75.2¢$36,416+$7,737Trade ↗
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No88.7¢$31,895+$2,624Trade ↗
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?No87.9¢$28,190+$2,966Trade ↗
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?No84.9¢$25,389+$2,545Trade ↗
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?No82.9¢$22,461+$2,542Trade ↗
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?No86.3¢$19,448+$1,542Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?No87.4¢$16,235+$1,385Trade ↗
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Yes38.6¢$13,771+$3,839Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?No94.0¢$10,778+$28Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?No92.5¢$9,015+$280Trade ↗
Xi Jinping out before 2027?No93.6¢$7,692+$207Trade ↗
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes49.0¢$6,890+$520Trade ↗
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?No84.2¢$5,669+$712Trade ↗
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No90.2¢$4,968+$458Trade ↗
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No91.6¢$4,625+$45Trade ↗
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?No75.8¢$4,550+$760Trade ↗
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Yes75.3¢$4,475+$708Trade ↗
US recession by end of 2026?No79.0¢$4,348+$637Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No73.0¢$4,275+$625Trade ↗
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?No90.7¢$3,463+$196Trade ↗
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?No38.1¢$3,029+$871Trade ↗
Stripe IPO before 2027?No88.0¢$2,753+$198Trade ↗
Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026?No84.8¢$2,619+$347Trade ↗
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?No77.2¢$2,340+$410Trade ↗
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?No91.0¢$2,150+$57Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes13.8¢$2,041-$218Trade ↗
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?No89.0¢$1,974+$194Trade ↗
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No93.0¢$1,792+$47Trade ↗
Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?No49.0¢$1,565+$563Trade ↗
Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?Anthropic + OpenAI 69.0¢$1,275-$795Trade ↗
Anthropic IPO before 2027?No61.0¢$1,154-$4,964Trade ↗
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?No66.0¢$1,083+$291Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Yes7.0¢$975-$75Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?No92.0¢$931+$43Trade ↗
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?Yes13.0¢$700-$600Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes15.0¢$642+$326Trade ↗
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Yes45.8¢$520-$3,144Trade ↗
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes28.5¢$450-$2,397Trade ↗
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?Yes31.6¢$431+$110Trade ↗
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?No81.9¢$426-$446Trade ↗
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?No83.0¢$389+$44Trade ↗
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?No75.0¢$348+$66Trade ↗
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?No83.8¢$314+$38Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes44.8¢$225-$223Trade ↗
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?Yes91.1¢$144-$1,602Trade ↗
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes55.0¢$90-$460Trade ↗
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes44.0¢$45+$1Trade ↗
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Yes14.0¢$18+$13Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes79.7¢$2-$6Trade ↗
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Yes30.0¢$2+$1Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

TimeMarketSideOutcomePriceSize
10h agoWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUYYes53.0¢$31,323
12h agoWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUYYes54.0¢$10,638
7d agoWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUYYes56.0¢$21,896
7d agoWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUYYes56.0¢$23,957
7d agoWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUYYes56.0¢$12,880
8d agoWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUYYes57.0¢$13,063
9d agoWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUYYes53.0¢$25,970
9d agoWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUYYes52.1¢$17,695
12d agoWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUYYes51.0¢$18,730
12d agoWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUYYes51.0¢$12,750
12d agoWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUYYes50.8¢$20,322
12d agoWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUYYes51.0¢$11,976
12d agoWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUYYes47.0¢$17,860
12d agoWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUYYes46.3¢$17,194
13d agoWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUYYes58.0¢$11,600
15d agoWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUYYes34.0¢$16,623
15d agoWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUYYes33.0¢$22,911
16d agoWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUYYes33.4¢$14,046
19d agoWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUYNo99.0¢$989,561
19d agoWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUYYes28.2¢$10,967
20d agoWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUYYes28.3¢$10,786
20d agoWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUYNo98.9¢$791,371
21d agoWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUYNo98.6¢$197,271
23d agoWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUYYes65.0¢$24,694
23d agoWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUYYes25.0¢$10,000