timetowander

72Qualified whaleProven traderSpecialist

0x58b3380f71bd6c706dd398a5e60bde55fa3a653c· stats updated 2d ago

Realized PnL

+$4,665,196

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

99%

497 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$7,460

Capital deployed

$60,990,443

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$330,675

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 30.0/30Return 6.4/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -9.4Total 72.0 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	60.0¢	$5,375	+$4	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	20.0¢	$432	-$15,268	Trade ↗
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	20.0¢	$403	-$53,343	Trade ↗
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	3.1¢	$113	-$6,971	Trade ↗
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	3.1¢	$113	-$6,971	Trade ↗
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	3.1¢	$113	-$6,971	Trade ↗
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	3.1¢	$113	-$6,971	Trade ↗
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	3.1¢	$113	-$6,971	Trade ↗
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	3.1¢	$113	-$6,971	Trade ↗
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	3.1¢	$113	-$6,971	Trade ↗
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	3.1¢	$106	-$2,104	Trade ↗
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	3.1¢	$88	-$5,415	Trade ↗
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	2.0¢	$86	-$3,332	Trade ↗
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	3.1¢	$70	-$4,329	Trade ↗
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	3.1¢	$68	-$89	Trade ↗
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	3.1¢	$24	-$1,465	Trade ↗
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	3.1¢	$15	-$292	Trade ↗
Will Dominik Szoboszlai win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	1.1¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Bukayo Saka win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	1.1¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Rodrygo win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	1.1¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Enzo Fernandez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	1.1¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 July 20-26?	Yes	0.3¢	$0	-$3	Trade ↗
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 18%+?	Yes	26.5¢	$0	-$1,386	Trade ↗
Will LeBron James play for the New Orleans Pelicans in 2026-27?	Yes	2.8¢	$0	-$292	Trade ↗
Nottingham Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Emma Navarro	Emma Navarro	12.0¢	$0	-$1,212	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 on April 13?	Yes	8.0¢	$0	-$254	Trade ↗
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra	Solana Sierra	24.4¢	$0	-$2,340	Trade ↗
Will João Fonseca be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	1.5¢	$0	-$99	Trade ↗
Grass Court Championships: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nikola Bartunkova	Nikola Bartunkova	9.5¢	$0	-$480	Trade ↗
Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Hewitt (+1.5)	Hewitt	29.0¢	$0	-$319	Trade ↗
National Bank Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Elena Rybakina	Daria Kasatkina	14.0¢	$0	-$140	Trade ↗
Will Jack Draper win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	1.5¢	$0	-$60	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum dip to $2,150 on April 29?	Yes	10.2¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Breel Embolo: 1+ goals	Yes	19.0¢	$0	-$57	Trade ↗
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro	Sho Shimabukuro	33.0¢	$0	-$1,650	Trade ↗
Will Liudmila Samsonova win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	1.5¢	$0	-$165	Trade ↗
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Giles Hussey	Matteo Arnaldi	10.8¢	$0	-$467	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum reach $1,750 on June 5?	Yes	2.3¢	$0	-$36	Trade ↗
Will Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	1.2¢	$0	-$7,881	Trade ↗
Will Arthur Fils win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	2.0¢	$0	-$755	Trade ↗
Halle Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Daniil Medvedev	Tomas Etcheverry	13.0¢	$0	-$650	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 on June 19?	Yes	4.5¢	$0	-$150	Trade ↗
Will Bruno Fernandes win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	2.4¢	$0	-$24	Trade ↗
Credit One Charleston Open: Jessica Pegula vs Yulia Putintseva	Yulia Putintseva	31.6¢	$0	-$4,949	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 April 6-12?	Yes	0.2¢	$0	-$24	Trade ↗
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev	Flavio Cobolli	7.5¢	$0	-$825	Trade ↗
Will Jay Kelly win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	2.4¢	$0	-$276	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 on June 6?	Yes	32.5¢	$0	-$1,953	Trade ↗
United States vs. Australia: O/U 4.5	Over	15.0¢	$0	-$750	Trade ↗
Livesport Prague Open: Lucie Havlickova vs Barbora Krejcikova	Lucie Havlickova	19.0¢	$0	-$950	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum dip to $1,950 on May 31?	Yes	4.0¢	$0	-$124	Trade ↗
Will Magda Linette win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	1.5¢	$0	-$269	Trade ↗
Will Brandon Nakashima win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	2.0¢	$0	-$1,146	Trade ↗
Will Tommy Paul be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	1.5¢	$0	-$99	Trade ↗
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	1.3¢	$0	-$7,882	Trade ↗
Will Rayan Cherki win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	2.4¢	$0	-$24	Trade ↗
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Group Stage	Team Vitality	58.8¢	$0	-$1,410	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	21.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Marisol Pérez Tello finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	2.1¢	$0	-$13	Trade ↗
Roland Garros ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Gael Monfils	Gael Monfils	29.9¢	$0	-$926	Trade ↗
Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	2.0¢	$0	-$1,749	Trade ↗
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 4.5	Over	9.5¢	$0	-$30	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on August 20?	Yes	2.0¢	$0	-$46	Trade ↗
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz	Martin Landaluce	43.4¢	$0	-$2,076	Trade ↗
Wimbledon WTA: Caty McNally vs Elena Rybakina	Caty McNally	21.3¢	$0	-$1,301	Trade ↗
Will Barbora Krejcikova win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	1.5¢	$0	-$149	Trade ↗
Will Emma Raducanu win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	1.5¢	$0	-$179	Trade ↗
Will Wolfgang Grozo finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	2.1¢	$0	-$13	Trade ↗
Will LeBron James play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?	Yes	2.8¢	$0	-$83	Trade ↗
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	No	41.0¢	$0	-$2,091	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on April 22?	Yes	9.7¢	$0	-$306	Trade ↗
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva	Marta Kostyuk	16.1¢	$0	-$1,144	Trade ↗
Wimbledon WTA: Jelena Ostapenko vs Harriet Dart	Harriet Dart	25.0¢	$0	-$500	Trade ↗
Will Katerina Siniakova win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	1.5¢	$0	-$269	Trade ↗
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 8.5	Over	0.3¢	$0	-$12	Trade ↗
Will Alexei Popyrin be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	1.5¢	$0	-$434	Trade ↗
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	12.0¢	$0	-$972	Trade ↗
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 14?	Yes	8.9¢	$0	-$120	Trade ↗
Wimbledon ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Jaume Munar	Jacob Fearnley	25.9¢	$0	-$804	Trade ↗
Will Victoria Mboko win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	1.5¢	$0	-$179	Trade ↗
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paul	Tommy Paul	42.0¢	$0	-$2,436	Trade ↗
Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jakub Mensik	Jakub Mensik	20.0¢	$0	-$140	Trade ↗
Will Francisco Cerúndolo be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	1.5¢	$0	-$359	Trade ↗
Will Jan-Lennard Struff win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	1.5¢	$0	-$60	Trade ↗
Will Maja Chwalinska win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	1.5¢	$0	-$269	Trade ↗
Will Donna Vekić be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	Yes	1.4¢	$0	-$47	Trade ↗
Bad Homburg Open: Liudmila Samsonova vs Katerina Siniakova	Katerina Siniakova	31.0¢	$0	-$930	Trade ↗
Roland Garros ATP: Luca Van Assche vs Brandon Nakashima	Luca Van Assche	30.0¢	$0	-$1,470	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum reach $1,800 on June 22?	Yes	2.3¢	$0	-$91	Trade ↗
Ostrava Open: Katie Volynets vs Katie Boulter	Volynets	35.4¢	$0	-$530	Trade ↗
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Marcos Giron	Marcos Giron	58.0¢	$0	-$638	Trade ↗
Will Ugo Humbert win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	2.0¢	$0	-$3,812	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum reach $1,900 June 29-July 5?	Yes	7.1¢	$0	-$213	Trade ↗
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5	Over	21.0¢	$0	-$1,050	Trade ↗
Madrid Open: Alexander Blockx vs Alexander Zverev	Alexander Blockx	8.0¢	$0	-$112	Trade ↗
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Anna Kalinskaya vs Jelena Ostapenko	Anna Kalinskaya	47.8¢	$0	-$956	Trade ↗
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	24.9¢	$0	-$2,512	Trade ↗
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 8?	Yes	2.2¢	$0	-$372	Trade ↗
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on March 17?	No	1.2¢	$0	-$53	Trade ↗
Will Donna Vekic win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	1.5¢	$0	-$62	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
2d ago	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	BUY	No	52.0¢	$20,905
2d ago	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	BUY	No	50.0¢	$10,392
2d ago	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	BUY	No	50.0¢	$12,500
2d ago	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	BUY	No	50.0¢	$10,000
5d ago	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	BUY	No	59.0¢	$15,038
5d ago	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	BUY	No	59.0¢	$11,800
6d ago	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	BUY	No	63.0¢	$12,600
6d ago	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	BUY	No	57.0¢	$11,833
6d ago	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	BUY	No	50.0¢	$10,000
6d ago	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	BUY	No	50.0¢	$10,000
6d ago	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	BUY	No	50.0¢	$10,000
7d ago	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	BUY	No	47.0¢	$11,120
8d ago	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	BUY	No	44.0¢	$15,392
9d ago	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	BUY	No	57.0¢	$11,400
9d ago	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	BUY	No	41.0¢	$10,434
10d ago	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	BUY	No	54.0¢	$10,800
11d ago	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	BUY	No	47.0¢	$12,621
12d ago	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	BUY	No	52.0¢	$10,920
12d ago	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	BUY	No	68.0¢	$10,202
13d ago	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	SELL	Yes	61.0¢	$13,175
14d ago	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	SELL	Yes	62.0¢	$18,600
15d ago	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	BUY	No	67.0¢	$10,050
19d ago	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	BUY	No	69.0¢	$19,320
19d ago	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	BUY	No	68.0¢	$13,175
21d ago	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	BUY	No	72.0¢	$14,400