timetowander

82Qualified whaleProven trader

0x58b3380f71bd6c706dd398a5e60bde55fa3a653c· stats updated 21h ago

Realized PnL

+$8,831,630

closed + open positions

Return on capital

10%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$3,954

Capital deployed

$89,389,121

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$1,765,228

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 30.0/30Return 8.2/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -1.2Total 82.0 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	Yes	89.4¢	$1,231	+$14	Trade ↗
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	15.9¢	$676	-$71,026	Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Yes	19.6¢	$523	-$13,110	Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: Other	Yes	16.5¢	$473	-$77,835	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	6.9¢	$352	-$9,407	Trade ↗
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	16.9¢	$297	-$100,190	Trade ↗
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?	Yes	5.2¢	$98	+$28	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 October 19-25?	Yes	0.3¢	$95	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 October 19-25?	Yes	5.9¢	$57	-$211	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 October 19-25?	Yes	3.5¢	$57	-$101	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 October 19-25?	Yes	0.5¢	$34	+$12	Trade ↗
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	5.2¢	$22	-$48	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 October 19-25?	Yes	0.2¢	$16	+$8	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum dip to $2,150 on October 24?	Yes	2.9¢	$11	-$46	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 on October 24?	Yes	2.7¢	$7	-$58	Trade ↗
Will Nooshi Dadgostar be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	0.7¢	$2	-$27	Trade ↗
Will Amanda Lind be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	0.7¢	$2	-$27	Trade ↗
Will Daniel Helldén be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	0.7¢	$2	-$27	Trade ↗
Will Nuno Mendes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	0.6¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will William Saliba win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	0.6¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Dayot Upamecano win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	0.6¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Gavi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	0.6¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will João Neves win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	0.6¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Marc Cucurella win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	0.6¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Willian Pacho win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	0.6¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Marquinhos win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	0.6¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Ferran Torres win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	0.6¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Julián Quiñones win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	0.6¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Sadio Mané win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	0.6¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Gabriel Magalhães win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	0.6¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev	Flavio Cobolli	7.5¢	$0	-$825	Trade ↗
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Giles Hussey	Matteo Arnaldi	10.8¢	$0	-$467	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum reach $1,750 on June 5?	Yes	2.3¢	$0	-$36	Trade ↗
Will Arthur Fils win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 7?	Yes	14.3¢	$0	-$574	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 on June 19?	Yes	4.5¢	$0	-$150	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on August 20?	Yes	2.0¢	$0	-$46	Trade ↗
Will Taylor Townsend win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz	Martin Landaluce	43.4¢	$0	-$2,076	Trade ↗
Will Barbora Krejcikova win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Will Emma Raducanu win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	+$0	Trade ↗
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	No	41.0¢	$0	-$2,091	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 on September 14?	Yes	15.8¢	$0	-$158	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on April 22?	Yes	9.7¢	$0	-$306	Trade ↗
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 8.5	Over	0.3¢	$0	-$12	Trade ↗
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva	Marta Kostyuk	16.1¢	$0	-$1,144	Trade ↗
Will Katerina Siniakova win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	+$0	Trade ↗
Wimbledon WTA: Caty McNally vs Elena Rybakina	Caty McNally	21.3¢	$0	-$1,301	Trade ↗
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	12.0¢	$0	-$972	Trade ↗
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paul	Tommy Paul	42.0¢	$0	-$2,436	Trade ↗
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 6?	No	1.1¢	$0	-$49	Trade ↗
Will Victoria Mboko win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	+$0	Trade ↗
Madrid Open: Alexander Blockx vs Alexander Zverev	Alexander Blockx	8.0¢	$0	-$112	Trade ↗
Will Marisol Pérez Tello finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	24.9¢	$0	-$2,512	Trade ↗
Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Hewitt (+1.5)	Hewitt	29.0¢	$0	-$319	Trade ↗
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Marcos Giron	Marcos Giron	58.0¢	$0	-$638	Trade ↗
Will Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	0.7¢	$0	-$4,526	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 July 20-26?	Yes	0.3¢	$0	-$3	Trade ↗
Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	1.1¢	$0	-$922	Trade ↗
Wuhan Tennis Open: Ann Li vs Iga Swiatek	Ann Li	21.3¢	$0	-$490	Trade ↗
Breel Embolo: 1+ goals	Yes	19.0¢	$0	-$57	Trade ↗
Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	2.9¢	$0	-$3,102	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 September 28-October 4?	Yes	4.9¢	$0	-$656	Trade ↗
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 18%+?	Yes	26.5¢	$0	-$1,386	Trade ↗
Will LeBron James play for the New Orleans Pelicans in 2026-27?	Yes	1.4¢	$0	-$150	Trade ↗
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz	Carlos Alcaraz	64.6¢	$0	-$4,847	Trade ↗
Nottingham Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Emma Navarro	Emma Navarro	12.0¢	$0	-$1,212	Trade ↗
Will João Fonseca be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Will Rayan Cherki win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	1.3¢	$0	-$13	Trade ↗
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra	Solana Sierra	24.4¢	$0	-$2,340	Trade ↗
Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
National Bank Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Elena Rybakina	Daria Kasatkina	14.0¢	$0	-$140	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 October 12-18?	Yes	1.2¢	$0	-$32	Trade ↗
Will Tommy Paul be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	21.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Grass Court Championships: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nikola Bartunkova	Nikola Bartunkova	9.5¢	$0	-$480	Trade ↗
Roland Garros ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Gael Monfils	Gael Monfils	29.9¢	$0	-$926	Trade ↗
Will Brandon Nakashima win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Magda Linette win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 on April 13?	Yes	8.0¢	$0	-$254	Trade ↗
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 4.5	Over	9.5¢	$0	-$30	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 on October 11?	Yes	6.5¢	$0	-$392	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum reach $1,800 on June 22?	Yes	2.3¢	$0	-$91	Trade ↗
Bad Homburg Open: Liudmila Samsonova vs Katerina Siniakova	Katerina Siniakova	31.0¢	$0	-$930	Trade ↗
Will Francisco Cerúndolo be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum reach $2,650 on October 11?	Yes	1.6¢	$0	-$55	Trade ↗
Wimbledon ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Jaume Munar	Jacob Fearnley	25.9¢	$0	-$804	Trade ↗
Livesport Prague Open: Lucie Havlickova vs Barbora Krejcikova	Lucie Havlickova	19.0¢	$0	-$950	Trade ↗
Wimbledon WTA: Jelena Ostapenko vs Harriet Dart	Harriet Dart	25.0¢	$0	-$500	Trade ↗
Will Jack Draper win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	0.6¢	$0	-$25	Trade ↗
Will Anna Kalinskaya win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Will LeBron James play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?	Yes	1.4¢	$0	-$43	Trade ↗
Will Wolfgang Grozo finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum dip to $2,150 on April 29?	Yes	10.2¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro	Sho Shimabukuro	33.0¢	$0	-$1,650	Trade ↗
Will Liudmila Samsonova win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Alexei Popyrin be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on March 17?	No	1.2¢	$0	-$53	Trade ↗
Will Donna Vekic win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
1d ago	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	BUY	No	34.0¢	$10,200
1d ago	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	SELL	Yes	66.0¢	$21,556
4d ago	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	BUY	No	73.0¢	$36,500
4d ago	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	No	79.0¢	$11,850
4d ago	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	BUY	No	37.0¢	$14,311
4d ago	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	BUY	No	72.0¢	$14,400
4d ago	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	BUY	No	37.0¢	$22,200
4d ago	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	SELL	No	80.0¢	$11,934
4d ago	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	No	81.0¢	$21,854
5d ago	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	BUY	No	87.0¢	$18,270
5d ago	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	BUY	No	86.0¢	$21,500
9d ago	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	SELL	Yes	28.0¢	$12,043
10d ago	Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	BUY	Yes	88.1¢	$10,052
14d ago	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	SELL	No	84.0¢	$11,644
15d ago	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	BUY	No	38.0¢	$10,886
15d ago	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	No	89.0¢	$44,500
16d ago	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	SELL	Yes	28.0¢	$12,172
16d ago	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	BUY	No	37.0¢	$19,573
17d ago	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	SELL	Yes	28.0¢	$16,644
17d ago	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	BUY	No	37.0¢	$37,000
17d ago	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	BUY	No	37.0¢	$18,500
17d ago	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	BUY	No	36.0¢	$19,997
19d ago	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	No	85.0¢	$22,238
27d ago	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	No	58.0¢	$16,160
30d ago	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	BUY	No	98.8¢	$10,134