WhaleWatcher

MisTKy

75Qualified whaleProven trader
0x35bbbad2415fe5e39b12da9a316cdc80b022009b· stats updated 21h ago
Realized PnL
+$806,971
closed + open positions
Return on capital
3%
realized PnL ÷ capital deployed
Win rate
100%
500 of 500 resolved
Resolved markets
500
Portfolio value
$212,330
Capital deployed
$30,897,679
lifetime cost of all positions
Tracked whale volume
$1,893,732
volume seen by WhaleWatcher
Open positions
45

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 28.3/30Return 2.2/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 75.4 / 100

Current positions

MarketOutcomeAvg priceValueUnrealized PnLTrade
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?No91.3¢$44,256-$420Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No96.3¢$23,129+$348Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?No87.0¢$15,541-$94Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo92.0¢$13,875+$75Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No88.0¢$13,810+$78Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?No97.6¢$13,540+$205Trade ↗
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Yes94.1¢$13,538-$577Trade ↗
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?No95.5¢$13,183+$105Trade ↗
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No96.2¢$11,281+$172Trade ↗
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Yes61.6¢$6,528+$98Trade ↗
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026?No93.0¢$5,766-$31Trade ↗
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes70.2¢$4,669-$119Trade ↗
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?No91.8¢$3,667+$141Trade ↗
Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31?No67.0¢$3,146-$24Trade ↗
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?No87.4¢$3,022+$211Trade ↗
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Yes96.0¢$2,681+$59Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes64.0¢$2,626-$63Trade ↗
Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31?No93.1¢$2,576+$76Trade ↗
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?No75.0¢$2,388+$513Trade ↗
Plague case in US by December 31?No85.0¢$1,675+$136Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No22.7¢$1,442-$236Trade ↗
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?No91.5¢$1,430+$58Trade ↗
Hurupay FDV above $10M one day after launch?No74.0¢$1,391+$330Trade ↗
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?No96.5¢$1,225-$1Trade ↗
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?No97.0¢$1,024-$14Trade ↗
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes17.6¢$791+$99Trade ↗
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No82.0¢$576+$76Trade ↗
Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?No80.0¢$554-$6Trade ↗
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?Yes10.2¢$549-$227Trade ↗
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No16.8¢$524+$165Trade ↗
Hurupay FDV above $5M one day after launch?No69.7¢$489+$137Trade ↗
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?No84.0¢$472+$52Trade ↗
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Yes4.4¢$320+$134Trade ↗
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?No84.0¢$311+$26Trade ↗
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?No87.0¢$238+$20Trade ↗
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?Yes3.0¢$32-$34Trade ↗
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No96.2¢$21+$0Trade ↗
Cuban regime falls in 2026?No72.0¢$17+$3Trade ↗
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Yes16.2¢$8-$2Trade ↗
UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?No87.0¢$7+$1Trade ↗
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?No67.6¢$5+$0Trade ↗
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?No70.0¢$5+$1Trade ↗
Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?No69.0¢$2+$0Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes82.0¢$1+$0Trade ↗
Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes62.0¢$1-$2Trade ↗
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?No67.0¢$0-$8Trade ↗
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?No8.3¢$0-$32Trade ↗
Will the Greenland agreement text be released by September 23, 2026? (copy) (copy)No59.9¢$0-$1Trade ↗
Another Iranian Ambassador expelled by September 30, 2026?Yes23.3¢$0-$25Trade ↗
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes44.7¢$0-$357Trade ↗
Trump renames AI by December 31?No1.5¢$0-$15Trade ↗
Trump renames AI by October 31?No1.7¢$0-$11Trade ↗
Will Russia invade a NATO country by September 31, 2026?Yes0.2¢$0-$0Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

TimeMarketSideOutcomePriceSize
21h agoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUYNo88.0¢$12,794
1d agoWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUYNo82.0¢$10,812
1d agoKim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?BUYNo95.3¢$12,496
1d agoWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUYNo80.0¢$13,720
2d agoFrance declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?BUYNo91.0¢$19,981
2d agoWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUYYes92.0¢$16,520
2d agoWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUYYes92.0¢$37,278
2d agoWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?SELLYes91.0¢$73,083
2d ago2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUYYes67.0¢$12,001
2d agoWill the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUYYes69.0¢$13,800
2d agoWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUYNo72.0¢$17,802
2d agoWill Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?BUYNo70.0¢$11,299
3d ago2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseSELLYes66.0¢$12,348
3d agoWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUYYes92.0¢$10,310
3d ago2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseSELLNo92.0¢$16,929
4d agoWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUYYes87.0¢$43,500
4d agoWill Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?SELLYes21.0¢$15,855
4d agoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUYNo88.0¢$12,636
4d agoWill the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELLNo64.0¢$11,386
4d agoWill the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELLNo36.0¢$10,286
4d agoWill Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?BUYNo91.0¢$32,605
5d agoWill the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUYNo36.0¢$10,246
6d agoRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?SELLNo91.0¢$13,647
6d agoRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?BUYNo91.0¢$11,212
8d agoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?SELLYes81.0¢$13,284