MisTKy

74Qualified whaleProven trader

0x35bbbad2415fe5e39b12da9a316cdc80b022009b· stats updated 16h ago

Realized PnL

+$656,450

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$209,680

Capital deployed

$27,697,010

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$411,169

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 26.6/30Return 2.0/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 73.5 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	65.3¢	$43,927	+$8,292	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	99.5¢	$38,411	-$86	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	49.6¢	$34,179	+$2,473	Trade ↗
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	88.6¢	$32,142	+$1,358	Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	60.5¢	$15,684	-$2,383	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	35.8¢	$12,799	+$2,709	Trade ↗
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	83.0¢	$7,617	+$130	Trade ↗
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?	No	83.5¢	$6,349	+$558	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	86.0¢	$4,268	+$300	Trade ↗
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?	No	75.0¢	$2,288	+$413	Trade ↗
Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	94.1¢	$1,998	+$75	Trade ↗
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	19.2¢	$1,347	-$438	Trade ↗
Hurupay FDV above $10M one day after launch?	No	74.0¢	$1,312	+$251	Trade ↗
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?	No	88.0¢	$880	$0	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	No	87.0¢	$695	+$4	Trade ↗
Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?	No	80.0¢	$637	+$77	Trade ↗
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	96.4¢	$613	+$4	Trade ↗
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	No	82.0¢	$557	+$58	Trade ↗
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?	No	90.6¢	$503	+$21	Trade ↗
Hurupay FDV above $5M one day after launch?	No	69.7¢	$489	+$112	Trade ↗
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	No	84.0¢	$476	+$56	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	90.0¢	$434	+$7	Trade ↗
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	60.0¢	$395	+$28	Trade ↗
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	No	95.0¢	$327	-$34	Trade ↗
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?	No	84.0¢	$298	+$12	Trade ↗
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?	Yes	61.0¢	$254	+$46	Trade ↗
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?	No	87.0¢	$226	+$9	Trade ↗
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	83.0¢	$201	-$6	Trade ↗
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?	Yes	44.3¢	$171	-$181	Trade ↗
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	No	85.3¢	$129	+$5	Trade ↗
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	96.2¢	$21	+$0	Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	75.2¢	$18	+$4	Trade ↗
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	72.0¢	$18	+$4	Trade ↗
UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	No	87.0¢	$7	+$1	Trade ↗
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?	No	70.0¢	$3	-$0	Trade ↗
Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?	No	69.0¢	$3	+$1	Trade ↗
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	62.0¢	$1	-$2	Trade ↗
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?	No	67.0¢	$1	-$8	Trade ↗
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?	No	7.6¢	$0	-$61	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?	No	35.9¢	$0	-$631	Trade ↗
Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026?	No	20.0¢	$0	-$16	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?	No	4.1¢	$0	-$2,734	Trade ↗
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	37.8¢	$0	-$1,205	Trade ↗
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?	Yes	36.0¢	$0	-$10	Trade ↗
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?	Yes	33.8¢	$0	-$588	Trade ↗
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs M80 - Map 2 Winner	Natus Vincere	55.0¢	$0	-$3,942	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
5d ago	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	BUY	No	99.3¢	$22,933
5d ago	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	BUY	No	56.0¢	$16,800
10d ago	US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?	BUY	No	96.0¢	$28,800
10d ago	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	BUY	Yes	14.0¢	$10,056
11d ago	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	SELL	No	99.8¢	$18,718
13d ago	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	SELL	No	99.6¢	$20,348
14d ago	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	SELL	No	64.0¢	$10,489
14d ago	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	BUY	No	63.6¢	$45,475
14d ago	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	SELL	Yes	65.0¢	$10,657
15d ago	US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?	BUY	Yes	75.0¢	$16,560
18d ago	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	SELL	No	65.2¢	$10,627
19d ago	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	BUY	No	75.0¢	$13,713
26d ago	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	BUY	Yes	75.0¢	$13,652
28d ago	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	BUY	Yes	34.0¢	$10,102
29d ago	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	BUY	No	83.0¢	$16,751
29d ago	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	BUY	Yes	57.0¢	$10,988
30d ago	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	BUY	No	96.5¢	$47,534
30d ago	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	BUY	No	89.0¢	$51,764
30d ago	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	BUY	No	88.0¢	$35,200