StudentMoney

79Qualified whaleProven trader

0xfb5148fc7223630e0967dbfa8cd920d83ab4742d· stats updated 1d ago

Realized PnL

+$833,747

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$323,987

Capital deployed

$10,758,615

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$44,778

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 28.5/30Return 6.5/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -0.9Total 79.1 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	65.1¢	$95,676	+$22,425	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	32.6¢	$53,902	+$13,813	Trade ↗
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	93.8¢	$48,473	+$2,409	Trade ↗
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	69.4¢	$24,836	+$4,900	Trade ↗
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	29.0¢	$23,016	+$4,394	Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	57.7¢	$13,152	-$529	Trade ↗
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	23.8¢	$12,918	+$2,857	Trade ↗
Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?	Yes	91.6¢	$9,287	+$101	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	88.0¢	$6,769	-$117	Trade ↗
Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	82.2¢	$6,697	+$440	Trade ↗
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No	70.1¢	$5,670	+$1,101	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?	No	88.7¢	$4,250	+$205	Trade ↗
Will Raphael Glucksmann win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?	Yes	62.6¢	$2,506	+$163	Trade ↗
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	90.3¢	$2,031	+$134	Trade ↗
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	2.6¢	$1,844	+$91	Trade ↗
Will François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	80.3¢	$1,748	+$188	Trade ↗
Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	74.4¢	$1,219	-$15	Trade ↗
Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	67.3¢	$1,123	+$12	Trade ↗
Will Cilliers Brink be the next mayor of Tshwane?	Yes	62.7¢	$1,084	-$12	Trade ↗
Will Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	No	89.0¢	$1,051	+$28	Trade ↗
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?	No	72.6¢	$888	-$40	Trade ↗
Marine Le Pen out as Member of the National Assembly by October 31, 2026?	No	89.3¢	$794	+$59	Trade ↗
National Rally forms a French Senate Group in 2026?	Yes	82.0¢	$640	-$20	Trade ↗
Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	79.7¢	$478	+$71	Trade ↗
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	0.7¢	$416	-$46	Trade ↗
Will Bonnie Crombie win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election?	Yes	43.4¢	$323	-$23	Trade ↗
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	69.3¢	$310	-$13	Trade ↗
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	Yes	64.9¢	$281	-$4	Trade ↗
Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	No	84.8¢	$212	+$13	Trade ↗
Will Erwin Wiens win the 2026 Niagara-on-the-Lake mayoral election?	Yes	51.4¢	$206	-$40	Trade ↗
Will Masao Uchibori win the 2026 Fukushima gubernatorial election?	Yes	72.8¢	$205	+$50	Trade ↗
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	2.2¢	$199	-$5	Trade ↗
Will Sébastien Lecornu announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	No	84.0¢	$179	+$11	Trade ↗
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	Yes	23.8¢	$161	+$56	Trade ↗
Will Savo Minić win the 2026 Republika Srpska presidential election?	Yes	56.0¢	$150	+$15	Trade ↗
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?	Yes	63.0¢	$130	+$4	Trade ↗
Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	28.8¢	$125	-$19	Trade ↗
Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Yes	77.6¢	$108	+$11	Trade ↗
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Sul?	Yes	56.1¢	$106	+$38	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	50.0¢	$100	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?	Yes	23.6¢	$91	-$15	Trade ↗
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?	No	78.0¢	$89	-$71	Trade ↗
Will Branko Blanuša win the 2026 Republika Srpska presidential election?	Yes	40.0¢	$85	-$12	Trade ↗
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?	Yes	31.0¢	$68	+$6	Trade ↗
Will François Hollande announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	No	64.8¢	$65	-$40	Trade ↗
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Sul?	Yes	26.7¢	$63	-$78	Trade ↗
Will Dominique de Villepin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	Yes	70.0¢	$56	-$14	Trade ↗
Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	72.0¢	$30	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	2.4¢	$29	-$6	Trade ↗
Will François Ruffin be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	9.0¢	$28	-$195	Trade ↗
Will Andrea Kaiser win the 2026 Niagara-on-the-Lake mayoral election?	Yes	21.2¢	$26	+$14	Trade ↗
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	0.3¢	$20	-$100	Trade ↗
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraná?	Yes	92.0¢	$19	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Bernard Cazeneuve announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	No	35.0¢	$19	+$5	Trade ↗
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	0.7¢	$10	-$130	Trade ↗
Will Marine Tondelier be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	17.0¢	$8	-$99	Trade ↗
Will Olivier Faure win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?	Yes	10.0¢	$4	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Jérôme Guedj win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?	Yes	0.6¢	$4	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?	Yes	68.0¢	$4	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Philippe Brun win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?	Yes	1.8¢	$3	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Tlangi Mogale be the next mayor of Tshwane?	Yes	3.7¢	$1	-$4	Trade ↗
Will Dipika Damerla win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election?	Yes	1.1¢	$1	+$0	Trade ↗
Will AfD win 34-37 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	10.0¢	$0	-$214	Trade ↗
Will Raphaël Glucksmann announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	No	17.6¢	$0	-$141	Trade ↗
Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	15.4¢	$0	-$237	Trade ↗
Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	52.0¢	$0	-$677	Trade ↗
Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?	Yes	2.1¢	$0	-$170	Trade ↗
Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?	Yes	33.7¢	$0	-$2,348	Trade ↗
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?	Yes	76.9¢	$0	-$22,540	Trade ↗
Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	11.0¢	$0	-$35	Trade ↗
Cincinnati Open: Christopher O'Connell vs Casper Ruud	Casper Ruud	79.0¢	$0	-$1,580	Trade ↗
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	41.3¢	$0	-$1,172	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
5d ago	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	BUY	Yes	83.4¢	$16,680
13d ago	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	SELL	Yes	60.0¢	$10,420
25d ago	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	No	94.0¢	$17,678