StudentMoney

79Qualified whaleProven trader

0xfb5148fc7223630e0967dbfa8cd920d83ab4742d· stats updated 2d ago

Realized PnL

+$812,178

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$358,266

Capital deployed

$11,376,970

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$58,785

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 28.3/30Return 6.0/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 79.3 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	65.1¢	$84,851	+$20,626	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	69.7¢	$79,716	+$7,730	Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	83.0¢	$59,313	-$4,254	Trade ↗
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	35.5¢	$38,877	+$8,970	Trade ↗
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	22.0¢	$17,088	-$4,442	Trade ↗
Will Jordan Bardella be the next President of the National Rally in 2026?	Yes	95.5¢	$12,850	+$511	Trade ↗
Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by December 31, 2026?	No	86.1¢	$9,361	+$1,074	Trade ↗
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	70.7¢	$7,159	+$1,629	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	No	97.0¢	$6,389	+$83	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	68.6¢	$4,650	+$1,221	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	94.8¢	$4,587	+$164	Trade ↗
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	95.8¢	$4,333	+$49	Trade ↗
Will François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	82.1¢	$3,277	+$238	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?	No	93.3¢	$3,112	+$98	Trade ↗
Will Professora Maria do Carmo win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?	No	84.1¢	$2,772	-$4	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	33.5¢	$2,565	-$301	Trade ↗
Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	67.2¢	$2,414	+$62	Trade ↗
Will Omar Aziz win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?	Yes	84.1¢	$2,184	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	74.0¢	$1,450	-$61	Trade ↗
Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by March 31, 2027?	No	80.7¢	$1,226	+$168	Trade ↗
Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	71.5¢	$1,080	+$103	Trade ↗
Marine Le Pen out as Member of the National Assembly by October 31, 2026?	No	90.1¢	$912	+$72	Trade ↗
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	62.5¢	$853	+$186	Trade ↗
Will Cilliers Brink be the next mayor of Tshwane?	Yes	62.7¢	$831	-$222	Trade ↗
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?	No	69.3¢	$764	+$76	Trade ↗
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	2.5¢	$755	-$943	Trade ↗
Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	67.3¢	$627	+$103	Trade ↗
Le Pen endorses non-Bardella PM by December 31, 2026?	No	84.0¢	$489	+$30	Trade ↗
Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	79.7¢	$480	+$75	Trade ↗
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	1.3¢	$479	-$295	Trade ↗
Will Bonnie Crombie win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election?	Yes	43.4¢	$423	+$77	Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	18.0¢	$420	+$60	Trade ↗
Will Erwin Wiens win the 2026 Niagara-on-the-Lake mayoral election?	Yes	51.4¢	$312	+$65	Trade ↗
Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	28.3¢	$254	+$96	Trade ↗
Will both Gabriel Attal and Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	85.7¢	$246	+$20	Trade ↗
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	0.7¢	$224	-$239	Trade ↗
Will Masao Uchibori win the 2026 Fukushima gubernatorial election?	Yes	72.8¢	$200	+$46	Trade ↗
Will Sébastien Lecornu announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	No	84.0¢	$193	+$25	Trade ↗
Will François Hollande announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	No	65.0¢	$121	+$15	Trade ↗
Will Carolyn Parrish win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election?	Yes	44.1¢	$110	-$96	Trade ↗
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	1.4¢	$92	+$63	Trade ↗
Will François Ruffin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	72.5¢	$91	+$9	Trade ↗
Will Dominique de Villepin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	Yes	0.0¢	$71	+$71	Trade ↗
Will Bernard Cazeneuve announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	No	35.0¢	$35	+$21	Trade ↗
Will Andrea Kaiser win the 2026 Niagara-on-the-Lake mayoral election?	Yes	21.3¢	$18	+$5	Trade ↗
Will Tlangi Mogale be the next mayor of Tshwane?	Yes	3.7¢	$6	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?	Yes	96.0¢	$6	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Dipika Damerla win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election?	Yes	1.1¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will SER have the second-most seats after the French Senate Election?	Yes	82.6¢	$0	-$376	Trade ↗
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	81.0¢	$0	-$324	Trade ↗
Will Branko Blanuša win the 2026 Republika Srpska presidential election?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Will Olivier Faure win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?	Yes	10.0¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	No	71.1¢	$0	-$1,982	Trade ↗
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-13?	No	20.0¢	$0	-$13	Trade ↗
Will Union Centriste hold 59-61 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?	Yes	93.0¢	$0	-$114	Trade ↗
Will François Ruffin be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	9.0¢	$0	-$133	Trade ↗
Jingshan: Elias Ymer vs Terence Atmane	Terence Atmane	80.0¢	$0	-$151	Trade ↗
Will Les Républicains hold 125-128 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?	Yes	26.8¢	$0	-$82	Trade ↗
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	Yes	23.8¢	$0	-$105	Trade ↗
Will the National Rally group hold 11 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?	Yes	15.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 33% and 36% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	2.6¢	$0	-$84	Trade ↗
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?	Yes	62.1¢	$0	-$309	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	28.7¢	$0	-$4,248	Trade ↗
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	0.3¢	$0	-$120	Trade ↗
Will Marine Tondelier be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	17.0¢	$0	-$18	Trade ↗
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11?	No	54.0¢	$0	-$67	Trade ↗
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Arthur Fils	Arthur Fils	65.0¢	$0	-$29	Trade ↗
India vs. Brazil: Both Teams to Score	Yes	15.0¢	$0	-$30	Trade ↗
China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Novak Djokovic	Alexander Zverev	71.0¢	$0	-$355	Trade ↗
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	53.9¢	$0	-$878	Trade ↗
Will Ségolène Royal finish second in the first round of the French Socialist primary?	Yes	15.8¢	$0	-$41	Trade ↗
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-14?	No	40.0¢	$0	-$35	Trade ↗
Will Jérôme Guedj win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?	Yes	0.6¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 36% and 39% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	13.0¢	$0	-$915	Trade ↗
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	11.0¢	$0	-$165	Trade ↗
Will Lula win between 41% and 44% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	39.1¢	$0	-$39	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
16d ago	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	No	87.0¢	$14,007
51d ago	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	BUY	Yes	83.4¢	$16,680
59d ago	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	SELL	Yes	60.0¢	$10,420
71d ago	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	No	94.0¢	$17,678