ivantoney

43Qualified whale

0x26165df18c4dae74bfc20b8f266f0887fedbc6aa· stats updated 22h ago

Realized PnL

+$127,822

closed + open positions

Return on capital

18%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

83%

10 of 12 resolved

Resolved markets

Portfolio value

$102,217

Capital deployed

$705,291

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$44,259

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 13.3/30Return 15.1/25Consistency 20.8/25Sample size 1.2/20Concentration -7.0Total 43.4 / 100

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	73.8¢	$61,606	+$7,158	Trade ↗
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	53.3¢	$15,050	+$6,200	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	62.0¢	$14,111	+$333	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	83.4¢	$6,598	+$1,084	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	20.5¢	$2,869	-$690	Trade ↗
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?	Yes	20.5¢	$1,160	-$2,020	Trade ↗
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	52.9¢	$547	-$2,859	Trade ↗
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	19.5¢	$276	-$2,118	Trade ↗
LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	75.0¢	$0	-$8,484	Trade ↗
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	50.5¢	$0	-$11,033	Trade ↗

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
22h ago	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	No	83.0¢	$33,009
63d ago	Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs	BUY	Team Spirit	45.0¢	$11,250