dromedaryy

52Qualified whaleProven trader

0x6575759174ad221bba9947bc3f18750ec769b198· stats updated 5h ago

Realized PnL

+$643,685

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

66%

33 of 50 resolved

Resolved markets

Portfolio value

$767,490

Capital deployed

$10,377,100

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$824,349

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 26.4/30Return 5.2/25Consistency 10.0/25Sample size 10.7/20Concentration 0.0Total 52.3 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	67.2¢	$187,970	-$69,929	Trade ↗
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	69.9¢	$153,724	+$3,520	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	Yes	8.1¢	$63,401	+$3,081	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	18.0¢	$60,596	+$6,830	Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	17.4¢	$59,284	+$8,825	Trade ↗
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	92.5¢	$31,390	+$1,502	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?	Yes	17.2¢	$24,678	+$357	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	62.0¢	$24,242	+$194	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	76.0¢	$23,205	+$5,454	Trade ↗
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?	No	66.6¢	$18,849	+$2,426	Trade ↗
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	No	28.0¢	$14,127	+$2,680	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	29.0¢	$13,419	-$235	Trade ↗
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	46.5¢	$13,153	-$223	Trade ↗
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	69.0¢	$12,425	-$91	Trade ↗
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	Yes	6.0¢	$9,368	+$2,755	Trade ↗
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	65.0¢	$8,892	-$2,667	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	18.1¢	$8,177	+$5,839	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?	Yes	23.1¢	$7,713	+$299	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	14.0¢	$7,000	$0	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	83.5¢	$6,709	+$1,090	Trade ↗
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	16.7¢	$4,050	-$17,087	Trade ↗
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	Yes	30.0¢	$3,291	+$387	Trade ↗
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	50.0¢	$2,510	-$329	Trade ↗
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	47.4¢	$2,289	-$96	Trade ↗
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Yes	19.0¢	$1,337	-$2,049	Trade ↗
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	15.0¢	$1,239	+$102	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	29.0¢	$926	$0	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	Yes	28.2¢	$757	-$717	Trade ↗
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	26.0¢	$553	-$34	Trade ↗
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.1¢	$443	-$443	Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	14.0¢	$421	+$102	Trade ↗
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	Yes	30.7¢	$343	-$171	Trade ↗
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	26.0¢	$311	-$138	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?	Yes	87.0¢	$286	-$55	Trade ↗
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?	Yes	17.0¢	$275	-$150	Trade ↗
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	No	30.7¢	$99	-$70	Trade ↗
Will Kirsten Gillibrand vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	Yes	20.3¢	$79	-$109	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	Yes	59.7¢	$30	-$5,941	Trade ↗
Will Vicentinho Júnior win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial second round by at least 4%?	No	9.0¢	$11	+$5	Trade ↗
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs	Eternal Fire	38.9¢	$6	+$4	Trade ↗
Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2027?	No	19.0¢	$0	-$77	Trade ↗
UFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Nursulton Ruziboev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Nursulton Ruziboev	35.0¢	$0	-$17,500	Trade ↗
Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	2.5¢	$0	-$1,553	Trade ↗
Cardinals vs. 49ers	Cardinals	5.0¢	$0	-$996	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?	Yes	7.5¢	$0	-$25	Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	No	1.1¢	$0	-$19	Trade ↗
Bills vs. Rams	Rams	8.0¢	$0	-$2,000	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?	Yes	30.5¢	$0	-$4,968	Trade ↗
LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?	No	28.3¢	$0	-$28,415	Trade ↗
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	22.8¢	$0	-$8,239	Trade ↗
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	No	1.0¢	$0	-$7	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	Yes	2.5¢	$0	-$347	Trade ↗
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	1.9¢	$0	-$1,438	Trade ↗
Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	4.9¢	$0	-$90	Trade ↗
Dolphins vs. 49ers	Dolphins	11.0¢	$0	-$5,500	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?	Yes	1.8¢	$0	-$165	Trade ↗
Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	19.0¢	$0	-$115	Trade ↗
LAPTOP FDV above $750M one day after launch?	Yes	22.1¢	$0	-$50	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in September?	No	25.0¢	$0	-$1,766	Trade ↗
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-17?	No	12.0¢	$0	-$394	Trade ↗
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	46.3¢	$0	-$37,196	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?	No	3.3¢	$0	-$75	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	11.8¢	$0	-$990	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	12.0¢	$0	-$12,000	Trade ↗
LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	7.9¢	$0	-$1,442	Trade ↗
LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	13.0¢	$0	-$8,716	Trade ↗
Lions vs. Bills	Lions	8.9¢	$0	-$105	Trade ↗
Sweden Parliamentary Election: V Over/Under 7%?	Under	40.0¢	$0	-$1,147	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?	Yes	9.0¢	$0	-$444	Trade ↗
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	No	1.0¢	$0	-$25	Trade ↗
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	10.0¢	$0	-$756	Trade ↗
Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by June 30, 2027?	No	19.0¢	$0	-$86	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in August?	Yes	22.0¢	$0	-$1,969	Trade ↗
LAPTOP FDV above $25M one day after launch?	No	4.0¢	$0	-$640	Trade ↗
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	No	27.4¢	$0	-$17,614	Trade ↗
Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2026?	No	23.7¢	$0	-$4,996	Trade ↗
Ole Miss vs. Texas	Ole Miss	10.0¢	$0	-$5,000	Trade ↗
LAPTOP airdrop to $TRUMP holders by September 9?	Yes	24.8¢	$0	-$62	Trade ↗
Will John Shulli be the Republican nominee for Senate in Delaware?	Yes	0.1¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Patriots vs. Seahawks	Patriots	44.0¢	$0	-$7	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	Yes	0.7¢	$0	-$279	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	0.6¢	$0	-$2,465	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	No	4.5¢	$0	-$2,021	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?	No	3.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Chargers vs. Bills	Chargers	0.1¢	$0	-$23	Trade ↗
Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	2.5¢	$0	-$1,553	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
15h ago	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	No	17.3¢	$16,578
15h ago	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	Yes	17.0¢	$17,880
18h ago	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	BUY	No	29.0¢	$13,654
1d ago	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	SELL	Yes	65.0¢	$23,851
2d ago	Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	SELL	Yes	9.0¢	$17,353
3d ago	Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	BUY	Yes	62.0¢	$18,061
3d ago	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	BUY	Yes	76.0¢	$20,225
7d ago	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	SELL	Yes	80.5¢	$27,721
7d ago	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	SELL	No	68.0¢	$65,434
7d ago	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	Yes	20.0¢	$10,131
9d ago	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	BUY	Yes	10.0¢	$19,268
16d ago	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	BUY	No	70.1¢	$14,693
17d ago	Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?	SELL	No	84.4¢	$59,887
29d ago	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	BUY	Yes	15.0¢	$42,279
34d ago	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	BUY	Yes	97.0¢	$75,606
35d ago	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	BUY	Yes	83.0¢	$15,772
36d ago	Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	BUY	Yes	52.9¢	$20,655
36d ago	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	BUY	No	24.0¢	$12,576
36d ago	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	BUY	Yes	74.0¢	$43,035
36d ago	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	BUY	No	21.0¢	$11,763
36d ago	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	BUY	No	20.0¢	$20,042
36d ago	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	BUY	No	83.3¢	$51,263
37d ago	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	BUY	Yes	78.0¢	$158,798
46d ago	LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?	BUY	No	71.0¢	$10,909
49d ago	UFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Nursulton Ruziboev (Middleweight, Main Card)	BUY	Nursulton Ruziboev	35.0¢	$17,500