65765757

69Qualified whaleProven trader

0x2974bd0059e48f215c391882976e0f1b4c8c9c23· stats updated 1d ago

Realized PnL

+$459,117

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

85%

296 of 350 resolved

Resolved markets

350

Portfolio value

$512,331

Capital deployed

$6,049,291

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$560,660

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 23.7/30Return 6.3/25Consistency 21.6/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -2.6Total 69.0 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	53.1¢	$194,965	+$62,545	Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	70.0¢	$178,201	+$19,208	Trade ↗
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	No	80.4¢	$68,089	+$1,724	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	84.8¢	$47,850	-$752	Trade ↗
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	Yes	69.3¢	$18,634	-$1,086	Trade ↗
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?	No	79.3¢	$2,973	-$656	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	89.0¢	$1,517	-$483	Trade ↗
Will Omar Aziz win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?	Yes	89.7¢	$68	-$6	Trade ↗
Israeli airspace closed between Oct. 15 and Oct. 31?	No	85.0¢	$35	+$1	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	83.4¢	$0	-$7,338	Trade ↗
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?	No	71.5¢	$0	-$967	Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?	Yes	58.6¢	$0	-$11,857	Trade ↗
Will Marina JHC win the most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election?	Yes	41.6¢	$0	-$57	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	No	89.6¢	$0	-$3,151	Trade ↗
Renan Santos participates in debate before first round?	Yes	5.6¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗
Mexico vs. England: England O/U 2.5	Under	88.0¢	$0	-$1,000	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?	No	70.3¢	$0	-$36,869	Trade ↗
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	No	56.0¢	$0	-$13,129	Trade ↗
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	69.7¢	$0	-$9,295	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 Week of July 20 2026?	No	85.4¢	$0	-$133	Trade ↗
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?	Yes	73.0¢	$0	-$6,139	Trade ↗
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?	No	84.9¢	$0	-$549	Trade ↗
Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round?	Yes	86.6¢	$0	-$1,620	Trade ↗
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	Yes	79.9¢	$0	-$18,815	Trade ↗
Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?	No	64.9¢	$0	-$401	Trade ↗
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	No	84.8¢	$0	-$4,838	Trade ↗
Will Carlos Jordy win the most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?	Yes	30.1¢	$0	-$100	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?	No	92.1¢	$0	-$7,368	Trade ↗
Will Mara Rocha win the most votes in the 2026 Acre Senate election?	Yes	31.1¢	$0	-$100	Trade ↗
Will Moreirense FC vs. CF Estrela da Amadora end in a draw?	Yes	62.0¢	$0	-$6	Trade ↗
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	Yes	84.5¢	$0	-$30,194	Trade ↗
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?	Yes	80.0¢	$0	-$9,038	Trade ↗
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?	Yes	60.4¢	$0	-$2,493	Trade ↗
Will Marcel Van Hattem win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?	Yes	74.7¢	$0	-$210	Trade ↗
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?	No	70.2¢	$0	-$731	Trade ↗
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?	Yes	76.1¢	$0	-$19,485	Trade ↗
Will Renan Santos win between 4% and 6% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	26.7¢	$0	-$340	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?	No	76.5¢	$0	-$5,255	Trade ↗
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?	No	65.5¢	$0	-$132	Trade ↗
Iran closes its airspace by July 15?	No	73.3¢	$0	-$1,373	Trade ↗
France vs. England: England O/U 2.5	Under	85.0¢	$0	-$1,000	Trade ↗
Will Lula win between 41% and 44% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	36.9¢	$0	-$61	Trade ↗
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?	Yes	33.5¢	$0	-$1,128	Trade ↗
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	73.6¢	$0	-$8,270	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
19d ago	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	No	85.0¢	$16,468
20d ago	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	No	84.0¢	$16,763
20d ago	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	No	84.0¢	$16,816
20d ago	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	SELL	No	90.0¢	$11,700
20d ago	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	BUY	No	90.0¢	$19,443
20d ago	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	BUY	Yes	85.0¢	$23,730
31d ago	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	BUY	Yes	85.0¢	$15,771
31d ago	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL	No	85.0¢	$60,717
33d ago	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	BUY	No	89.0¢	$16,724
33d ago	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL	No	84.0¢	$16,800
33d ago	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	BUY	No	82.0¢	$10,260
33d ago	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL	No	84.0¢	$11,760
35d ago	Will Renan Santos win 8% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	No	89.9¢	$19,495
35d ago	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL	No	84.0¢	$25,200
37d ago	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	No	56.0¢	$42,000
37d ago	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL	No	82.6¢	$47,914
37d ago	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	BUY	No	80.9¢	$16,000
37d ago	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL	No	83.0¢	$16,600
38d ago	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	BUY	No	86.0¢	$17,289
38d ago	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL	No	83.0¢	$18,260
38d ago	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	BUY	No	79.0¢	$14,000
38d ago	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL	No	83.0¢	$33,200
41d ago	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	BUY	No	79.7¢	$16,600
41d ago	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL	No	83.0¢	$16,600
61d ago	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August?	SELL	No	98.1¢	$12,752