78979879879879

49Qualified whaleProven trader

0xeb490d0534bb68b4c2ce139b219a728cd2c3693e· stats updated 3d ago

Realized PnL

+$44,823

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

88%

192 of 219 resolved

Resolved markets

219

Portfolio value

$354,340

Capital deployed

$3,200,436

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$302,622

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 4.8/30Return 1.2/25Consistency 23.5/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 49.5 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	84.6¢	$68,054	+$3,707	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Yes	82.1¢	$64,004	+$666	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	33.3¢	$42,981	+$6,850	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	No	84.2¢	$34,992	+$1,311	Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	82.8¢	$23,281	+$720	Trade ↗
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	88.4¢	$16,781	+$1,172	Trade ↗
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	No	79.1¢	$16,601	+$482	Trade ↗
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	81.4¢	$11,856	+$1,129	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?	No	92.6¢	$11,266	-$1,712	Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	90.5¢	$9,190	+$97	Trade ↗
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	72.9¢	$6,724	-$11,106	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	No	92.5¢	$6,302	-$104	Trade ↗
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	No	83.5¢	$5,955	-$71	Trade ↗
Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?	Yes	80.5¢	$5,573	+$264	Trade ↗
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	90.6¢	$5,456	-$127	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	Yes	62.9¢	$4,652	-$187	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	73.0¢	$2,836	-$164	Trade ↗
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás?	Yes	56.9¢	$2,590	+$836	Trade ↗
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	Yes	81.7¢	$2,485	-$5	Trade ↗
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	52.9¢	$1,834	+$113	Trade ↗
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from São Paulo?	Yes	88.4¢	$1,717	-$8	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	No	83.8¢	$1,333	-$348	Trade ↗
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District?	Yes	75.7¢	$1,133	+$164	Trade ↗
Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30?	No	88.1¢	$896	+$56	Trade ↗
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás?	No	56.2¢	$816	+$304	Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?	Yes	27.7¢	$617	+$219	Trade ↗
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Espírito Santo?	Yes	88.0¢	$557	+$33	Trade ↗
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	92.6¢	$550	-$22	Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?	Yes	40.5¢	$525	-$57	Trade ↗
Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026?	No	77.0¢	$515	+$55	Trade ↗
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?	Yes	83.1¢	$428	-$25	Trade ↗
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Sul?	Yes	73.2¢	$251	+$32	Trade ↗
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from São Paulo?	No	82.1¢	$244	+$20	Trade ↗
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	64.8¢	$230	-$355	Trade ↗
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraíba?	Yes	88.8¢	$212	+$17	Trade ↗
Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?	Yes	57.7¢	$143	-$16	Trade ↗
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso do Sul?	Yes	91.0¢	$124	+$7	Trade ↗
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraná?	Yes	86.0¢	$114	+$10	Trade ↗
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by September 30?	No	86.5¢	$109	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Alagoas?	Yes	90.6¢	$101	+$6	Trade ↗
Lula participates in debate before first round?	No	60.4¢	$101	+$17	Trade ↗
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Sergipe?	Yes	94.0¢	$86	+$3	Trade ↗
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?	Yes	77.0¢	$65	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Bahia?	Yes	94.0¢	$42	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?	Yes	6.9¢	$13	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Santa Catarina?	Yes	91.3¢	$5	+$0	Trade ↗
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 0 Egypt?	Yes	4.7¢	$0	-$100	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	81.8¢	$0	-$4,969	Trade ↗
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 1 Egypt?	Yes	15.0¢	$0	-$300	Trade ↗
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 0 Egypt?	Yes	11.0¢	$0	-$200	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?	No	91.0¢	$0	-$3,710	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?	No	85.2¢	$0	-$30,311	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	12.3¢	$0	-$10	Trade ↗
Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 0 Colombia?	Yes	10.0¢	$0	-$10	Trade ↗
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca	Casper Ruud	6.9¢	$0	-$252	Trade ↗
Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 1 Colombia?	Yes	13.0¢	$0	-$10	Trade ↗
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Athletics	Athletics	86.3¢	$0	-$9,900	Trade ↗
Spurs vs. Knicks	Spurs	88.5¢	$0	-$10,569	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	7.7¢	$0	-$15	Trade ↗
Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 1 Colombia?	Yes	16.0¢	$0	-$17	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	15.1¢	$0	-$35	Trade ↗
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	No	84.9¢	$0	-$47,521	Trade ↗
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 2 Egypt?	Yes	9.2¢	$0	-$180	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	17.0¢	$0	-$5	Trade ↗
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?	Yes	65.1¢	$0	-$899	Trade ↗
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 2 Egypt?	Yes	9.0¢	$0	-$180	Trade ↗
Iran closes its airspace by July 31?	No	66.3¢	$0	-$177	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	24.1¢	$0	-$50	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?	No	83.0¢	$0	-$2,360	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	No	85.3¢	$0	-$960	Trade ↗
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 0 Egypt?	Yes	14.0¢	$0	-$320	Trade ↗
Iran closes its airspace by July 15?	No	77.3¢	$0	-$795	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	17.0¢	$0	-$5	Trade ↗
Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?	No	60.0¢	$0	-$64	Trade ↗
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?	Yes	44.0¢	$0	-$581	Trade ↗
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	78.7¢	$0	-$90,573	Trade ↗
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	No	90.0¢	$0	-$3,706	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
6d ago	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	BUY	No	86.0¢	$22,681
6d ago	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL	No	84.0¢	$22,680
9d ago	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	BUY	Yes	81.7¢	$10,130
9d ago	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	BUY	No	92.0¢	$12,385
15d ago	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	Yes	35.0¢	$10,363
16d ago	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?	BUY	No	91.0¢	$10,474
16d ago	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	SELL	No	96.3¢	$11,933
20d ago	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?	BUY	No	93.0¢	$11,292
24d ago	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	BUY	No	80.8¢	$11,000
25d ago	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	BUY	Yes	92.0¢	$14,707
28d ago	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	BUY	No	83.0¢	$20,756
28d ago	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	No	92.8¢	$19,000
28d ago	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	No	92.5¢	$13,410
28d ago	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	BUY	No	82.0¢	$10,993
28d ago	Israel closes its airspace by August 31?	BUY	No	93.0¢	$11,691
29d ago	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	BUY	Yes	97.0¢	$19,120
29d ago	Israel closes its airspace by August 31?	SELL	No	91.0¢	$19,110
31d ago	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?	BUY	Yes	95.0¢	$12,974
31d ago	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?	SELL	Yes	99.8¢	$12,974
31d ago	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?	BUY	Yes	96.0¢	$24,949