SuperavitFiscal

44Qualified whaleProven trader

0xeb490d0534bb68b4c2ce139b219a728cd2c3693e· stats updated 1d ago

Realized PnL

+$76,392

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

85%

267 of 313 resolved

Resolved markets

313

Portfolio value

$490,761

Capital deployed

$4,026,449

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$424,857

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 9.1/30Return 1.6/25Consistency 22.1/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -9.1Total 43.6 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	52.0¢	$346,602	+$116,234	Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	67.0¢	$112,778	+$16,565	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	82.1¢	$14,661	+$250	Trade ↗
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	Yes	71.8¢	$5,801	-$562	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	46.5¢	$3,633	-$1,260	Trade ↗
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	No	81.7¢	$3,378	+$32	Trade ↗
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	Yes	81.7¢	$2,516	+$26	Trade ↗
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará?	Yes	82.4¢	$913	+$7	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	84.1¢	$390	-$96	Trade ↗
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Any Candidate Gets Most Votes Ever?	Yes	82.0¢	$61	-$7	Trade ↗
Will Vicentinho Júnior win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial election?	Yes	82.0¢	$17	+$1	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	93.0¢	$12	+$1	Trade ↗
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 0 Egypt?	Yes	4.7¢	$0	-$100	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	83.4¢	$0	-$5,070	Trade ↗
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 1 Egypt?	Yes	15.0¢	$0	-$300	Trade ↗
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 0 Egypt?	Yes	11.0¢	$0	-$200	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?	No	91.0¢	$0	-$3,710	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	No	83.8¢	$0	-$1,681	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?	No	85.2¢	$0	-$30,311	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	12.3¢	$0	-$10	Trade ↗
Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 0 Colombia?	Yes	10.0¢	$0	-$10	Trade ↗
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca	Casper Ruud	6.9¢	$0	-$252	Trade ↗
Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 1 Colombia?	Yes	13.0¢	$0	-$10	Trade ↗
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Athletics	Athletics	86.3¢	$0	-$9,900	Trade ↗
Spurs vs. Knicks	Spurs	88.5¢	$0	-$10,569	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	7.7¢	$0	-$15	Trade ↗
Will Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid win the most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election?	Yes	11.9¢	$0	-$4	Trade ↗
Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round?	Yes	90.4¢	$0	-$9,187	Trade ↗
Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 1 Colombia?	Yes	16.0¢	$0	-$17	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	15.1¢	$0	-$35	Trade ↗
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	No	84.9¢	$0	-$47,521	Trade ↗
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 2 Egypt?	Yes	9.2¢	$0	-$180	Trade ↗
Will Carlos Jordy win the most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?	Yes	33.9¢	$0	-$591	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?	No	92.6¢	$0	-$12,977	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	17.0¢	$0	-$5	Trade ↗
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?	Yes	65.1¢	$0	-$899	Trade ↗
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 2 Egypt?	Yes	9.0¢	$0	-$180	Trade ↗
Iran closes its airspace by July 31?	No	66.3¢	$0	-$177	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	24.1¢	$0	-$50	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?	No	83.0¢	$0	-$2,360	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	No	85.3¢	$0	-$960	Trade ↗
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 0 Egypt?	Yes	14.0¢	$0	-$320	Trade ↗
Iran closes its airspace by July 15?	No	75.6¢	$0	-$778	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	17.0¢	$0	-$5	Trade ↗
Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?	No	60.0¢	$0	-$64	Trade ↗
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?	Yes	44.0¢	$0	-$581	Trade ↗
Will Eli Borges win the second-most votes in the 2026 Tocantins Senate election?	Yes	16.2¢	$0	-$24	Trade ↗
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	78.7¢	$0	-$90,553	Trade ↗
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	No	90.0¢	$0	-$3,706	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
17d ago	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	SELL	No	94.0¢	$10,060
19d ago	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	No	85.0¢	$18,748
19d ago	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	Yes	83.9¢	$17,581
19d ago	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	Yes	83.5¢	$21,724
20d ago	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	No	84.0¢	$13,371
27d ago	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	Yes	57.9¢	$20,168
27d ago	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	SELL	No	98.0¢	$20,582
52d ago	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	BUY	No	86.0¢	$22,681
52d ago	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL	No	84.0¢	$22,680
54d ago	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	BUY	Yes	81.7¢	$10,130
54d ago	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	BUY	No	92.0¢	$12,385
60d ago	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	Yes	35.0¢	$10,363
62d ago	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?	BUY	No	91.0¢	$10,474
62d ago	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	SELL	No	96.3¢	$11,933
65d ago	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?	BUY	No	93.0¢	$11,292
70d ago	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	BUY	No	80.8¢	$11,000
70d ago	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	BUY	Yes	92.0¢	$14,707
74d ago	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	BUY	No	83.0¢	$20,756
74d ago	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	No	92.8¢	$19,000
74d ago	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	No	92.5¢	$13,410
74d ago	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	BUY	No	82.0¢	$10,993
74d ago	Israel closes its airspace by August 31?	BUY	No	93.0¢	$11,691
74d ago	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	BUY	Yes	97.0¢	$19,120
74d ago	Israel closes its airspace by August 31?	SELL	No	91.0¢	$19,110
76d ago	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?	BUY	Yes	95.0¢	$12,974