WhaleWatcher

Flipadelphia

90Qualified whaleProven trader
0x448861155279dbf833d041b963e3ac854599e319· stats updated 1d ago
Realized PnL
+$3,976,758
closed + open positions
Return on capital
20%
realized PnL ÷ capital deployed
Win rate
100%
500 of 500 resolved
Resolved markets
500
Portfolio value
$529,460
Capital deployed
$20,163,281
lifetime cost of all positions
Tracked whale volume
$686,028
volume seen by WhaleWatcher
Open positions
54

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 30.0/30Return 16.4/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -1.9Total 89.5 / 100

Current positions

MarketOutcomeAvg priceValueUnrealized PnLTrade
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No90.0¢$183,000+$3,000Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes90.0¢$91,500+$1,500Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes64.0¢$33,250+$1,250Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes12.3¢$33,000+$8,303Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes62.2¢$18,750+$100Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?No82.8¢$16,648-$592Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes82.8¢$16,272-$571Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?No95.3¢$13,051+$345Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?No86.0¢$8,600$0Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?No75.5¢$8,200+$647Trade ↗
UFC 333: Alexander Volkov vs. Rizvan Kuniev (Heavyweight, Main Card)Rizvan Kuniev45.5¢$6,825+$0Trade ↗
Spread: Texas (-2.5)Texas55.0¢$6,055-$56Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Yes18.9¢$5,663-$2,253Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No19.2¢$5,450-$950Trade ↗
USC vs. WisconsinWisconsin43.6¢$5,413-$13Trade ↗
Spread: Texas Tech (-10.5)Cincinnati48.0¢$5,388+$2,722Trade ↗
Spread: LSU (-7.5)LSU47.0¢$5,166+$2,555Trade ↗
Spread: Oklahoma State (-13.5)Colorado51.0¢$5,050-$50Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Yes86.0¢$4,201+$24Trade ↗
UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)Merab Dvalishvili40.0¢$4,150+$150Trade ↗
Spread: Kentucky (-10.5)Vanderbilt49.0¢$3,637-$38Trade ↗
Baylor vs. KansasKansas50.6¢$3,600-$900Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota Attorney General election?Yes67.2¢$3,585+$497Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 2%?No81.0¢$3,314+$229Trade ↗
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?No12.0¢$3,250+$250Trade ↗
UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)Movsar Evloev49.0¢$3,175+$94Trade ↗
Western Michigan vs. ToledoToledo56.0¢$3,150+$1,283Trade ↗
Oklahoma vs. Mississippi StateOklahoma55.0¢$2,972-$83Trade ↗
Spread: South Carolina (-2.5)South Carolina50.0¢$2,750-$28Trade ↗
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?No25.7¢$2,700+$771Trade ↗
Ole Miss vs. Texas: O/U 53.5Under49.0¢$2,694-$28Trade ↗
Spread: Arizona (-10.5)Iowa State49.0¢$2,583-$139Trade ↗
Spread: Florida Atlantic (-8.5)Florida Atlantic49.0¢$2,444-$278Trade ↗
Vanderbilt vs. KentuckyVanderbilt21.0¢$2,278-$56Trade ↗
Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Yes24.6¢$2,021+$602Trade ↗
UFC 333: Nikita Krylov vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev82.0¢$1,999+$359Trade ↗
Texas Tech vs. CincinnatiCincinnati20.0¢$1,601+$1,182Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota Attorney General election?No71.0¢$1,342+$136Trade ↗
BYU vs. UCFBYU72.0¢$1,127+$8Trade ↗
San Jose State vs. NevadaSan Jose State31.0¢$1,083+$50Trade ↗
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)Michigan51.0¢$1,067-$67Trade ↗
Spread: Miami (FL) (-21.5)Pittsburgh55.0¢$467-$1,367Trade ↗
Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?Yes7.9¢$270-$517Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?Yes0.5¢$245-$51Trade ↗
Indiana vs. Michigan: O/U 41.5Over54.0¢$222-$1,954Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?Yes0.1¢$150+$50Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?Yes0.1¢$50-$50Trade ↗
Spread: BYU (-6.5)BYU56.0¢$33+$0Trade ↗
Pittsburgh vs. Miami (FL)Pittsburgh8.0¢$7-$117Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%?Yes1.0¢$7+$2Trade ↗
Rice vs. Florida AtlanticFlorida Atlantic75.0¢$3+$0Trade ↗
UFC 333: Azamat Murzakanov vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)Azamat Murzakanov64.0¢$2-$2,053Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 6–8%?Yes0.1¢$1+$1Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?Yes0.1¢$0+$0Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

TimeMarketSideOutcomePriceSize
4d ago2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUYYes64.0¢$32,000
4d ago2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseSELLYes27.0¢$20,250
15d agoUFC Fight Night: Niko Price vs. Leon Shahbazyan (Welterweight, Prelims)BUYLeon Shahbazyan56.0¢$11,200
17d ago2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseBUYYes28.0¢$19,135
37d agoWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUYYes77.0¢$20,654
38d agoWill United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUYYes99.2¢$28,975
38d agoWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUYYes75.0¢$21,233
41d agoWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUYNo85.0¢$12,551
41d agoWill the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?BUYYes99.9¢$14,463
41d agoWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUYNo99.7¢$124,625
59d agoCounter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group BBUYTeam Falcons73.8¢$11,070
60d agoWill Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?SELLYes92.0¢$12,840
60d agoWill Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?SELLNo93.0¢$16,533
64d agoWill Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?BUYYes72.5¢$13,902
67d agoWill Mark Sanford be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?BUYNo99.9¢$60,451
68d agoWill James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?BUYNo99.3¢$74,475
68d agoWill James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?BUYNo99.3¢$22,066
68d agoWill James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?BUYNo99.3¢$36,118
68d agoWill James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?BUYNo99.3¢$34,131
72d agoWill Mark Sanford be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?SELLNo99.9¢$14,415
72d agoWill Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?BUYYes96.8¢$19,240
73d agoUFC 330: Neil Magny vs. Ramiz Brahimaj (Welterweight, Prelims)BUYRamiz Brahimaj55.0¢$10,994
74d agoWill Mark Sanford be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?BUYNo99.9¢$27,672
76d agoWill Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?BUYYes99.2¢$27,034