Votei14Voude22

72Qualified whaleProven trader

0x88c4919de76e526d55a32c1f8afb439dd1f1129a· stats updated 1d ago

Realized PnL

+$948,256

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

81%

365 of 450 resolved

Resolved markets

450

Portfolio value

$1,018,489

Capital deployed

$10,666,474

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$1,410,671

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 29.6/30Return 7.4/25Consistency 19.4/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -4.3Total 72.1 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	64.7¢	$475,641	+$85,179	Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	78.4¢	$228,211	+$3,102	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	84.9¢	$138,119	-$2,327	Trade ↗
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	No	82.5¢	$83,904	-$49	Trade ↗
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	Yes	72.1¢	$71,969	-$7,210	Trade ↗
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?	No	85.0¢	$5,699	-$106	Trade ↗
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará?	Yes	76.5¢	$3,786	+$360	Trade ↗
Will Vicentinho Júnior win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial election?	Yes	77.9¢	$2,652	+$317	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	39.2¢	$2,150	-$403	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	94.0¢	$1,536	+$62	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	89.0¢	$1,535	-$475	Trade ↗
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?	No	81.2¢	$1,248	-$299	Trade ↗
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	81.2¢	$656	+$77	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	No	90.3¢	$572	+$7	Trade ↗
Will Omar Aziz win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?	Yes	88.8¢	$484	-$37	Trade ↗
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Any Candidate Gets Most Votes Ever?	Yes	82.8¢	$152	-$20	Trade ↗
Will Professora Dorinha win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial election?	No	70.3¢	$145	+$29	Trade ↗
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?	Yes	44.0¢	$23	+$10	Trade ↗
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?	Yes	68.5¢	$7	-$12	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	78.8¢	$0	-$44,369	Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?	Yes	52.4¢	$0	-$9,685	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?	No	85.8¢	$0	-$2,278	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	No	81.1¢	$0	-$373	Trade ↗
Will San Diego FC win on 2026-05-02?	Yes	84.9¢	$0	-$400	Trade ↗
Will Mohsen Araki be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	0.9¢	$0	-$10	Trade ↗
Will Guilherme Derrite win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?	Yes	29.9¢	$0	-$205	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?	No	63.1¢	$0	-$499	Trade ↗
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	3.4¢	$0	-$26,793	Trade ↗
Will Carlos Portinho win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?	Yes	34.8¢	$0	-$20	Trade ↗
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?	Yes	69.0¢	$0	-$8,222	Trade ↗
Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round?	Yes	93.1¢	$0	-$7,691	Trade ↗
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5	Over	92.0¢	$0	-$4,261	Trade ↗
Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?	No	72.3¢	$0	-$1,782	Trade ↗
Will Maguinha Malta win the second-most votes in the 2026 Espírito Santo Senate election?	Yes	18.7¢	$0	-$127	Trade ↗
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	No	88.1¢	$0	-$4,963	Trade ↗
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giants	Pittsburgh Pirates	88.0¢	$0	-$9,144	Trade ↗
Will Carlos Jordy win the most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?	Yes	50.3¢	$0	-$396	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?	No	92.6¢	$0	-$1,823	Trade ↗
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	Yes	85.3¢	$0	-$14,911	Trade ↗
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?	Yes	82.7¢	$0	-$9,469	Trade ↗
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?	Yes	58.2¢	$0	-$1,888	Trade ↗
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	62.3¢	$0	-$2,351	Trade ↗
Will Marcel Van Hattem win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?	Yes	81.8¢	$0	-$356	Trade ↗
Iran closes its airspace by July 31?	No	63.3¢	$0	-$183	Trade ↗
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?	Yes	78.6¢	$0	-$10,381	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	No	85.9¢	$0	-$3,945	Trade ↗
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?	No	68.2¢	$0	-$329	Trade ↗
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?	Yes	54.9¢	$0	-$8,950	Trade ↗
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs	Cincinnati Reds	93.0¢	$0	-$19,522	Trade ↗
Will Marco Antônio Superman win the second-most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?	Yes	17.7¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?	No	34.5¢	$0	-$20,945	Trade ↗
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	80.4¢	$0	-$16,749	Trade ↗
Will André do Prado win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?	Yes	26.0¢	$0	-$360	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
2d ago	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	BUY	Yes	71.0¢	$22,973
3d ago	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	BUY	Yes	73.0¢	$11,520
6d ago	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	No	80.0¢	$10,000
9d ago	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	No	77.0¢	$13,110
9d ago	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	Yes	79.8¢	$20,000
9d ago	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	BUY	Yes	91.8¢	$15,500
10d ago	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	SELL	No	80.0¢	$19,829
11d ago	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	BUY	Yes	98.7¢	$12,000
11d ago	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	BUY	Yes	85.8¢	$67,000
11d ago	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	SELL	No	85.0¢	$85,000
12d ago	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15?	BUY	Yes	95.0¢	$10,433
12d ago	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	SELL	No	76.6¢	$10,531
13d ago	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	BUY	Yes	94.0¢	$20,412
13d ago	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	SELL	No	83.0¢	$24,900
15d ago	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	BUY	No	86.0¢	$20,000
15d ago	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL	No	84.0¢	$21,000
15d ago	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	BUY	Yes	95.0¢	$10,920
15d ago	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL	No	84.0¢	$10,920
16d ago	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL	No	84.0¢	$17,592
17d ago	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL	No	84.0¢	$16,800
17d ago	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	No	85.0¢	$35,366
17d ago	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL	No	84.0¢	$33,600
17d ago	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL	No	84.0¢	$16,800
17d ago	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	Yes	84.8¢	$15,014
17d ago	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL	No	84.0¢	$15,114