RenanPresidente.

64Qualified whaleProven trader

0x88c4919de76e526d55a32c1f8afb439dd1f1129a· stats updated 19h ago

Realized PnL

+$810,370

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

80%

288 of 358 resolved

Resolved markets

358

Portfolio value

$926,185

Capital deployed

$8,546,582

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$144,473

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 28.3/30Return 7.9/25Consistency 19.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -11.6Total 63.6 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	73.3¢	$769,325	+$109,728	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Yes	83.4¢	$60,699	+$2,171	Trade ↗
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	No	82.9¢	$22,286	+$409	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	35.6¢	$19,123	+$4,190	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	84.8¢	$17,778	-$175	Trade ↗
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	77.6¢	$14,232	+$1,614	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	No	92.1¢	$7,695	-$406	Trade ↗
Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?	Yes	77.0¢	$4,166	+$500	Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?	Yes	31.0¢	$1,568	+$382	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?	No	92.6¢	$1,532	-$291	Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?	Yes	44.2¢	$1,397	-$294	Trade ↗
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	No	79.5¢	$1,216	+$104	Trade ↗
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	No	91.7¢	$1,094	+$9	Trade ↗
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	54.0¢	$718	-$66	Trade ↗
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?	Yes	84.3¢	$685	-$11	Trade ↗
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	92.5¢	$652	-$46	Trade ↗
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás?	Yes	62.4¢	$622	+$202	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?	No	94.0¢	$443	-$30	Trade ↗
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	No	83.8¢	$384	+$20	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	No	81.1¢	$246	-$127	Trade ↗
Lula participates in debate before first round?	No	58.8¢	$241	+$18	Trade ↗
Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30?	No	89.1¢	$81	+$3	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	75.7¢	$0	-$42,620	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?	No	85.8¢	$0	-$2,278	Trade ↗
Will San Diego FC win on 2026-05-02?	Yes	84.9¢	$0	-$400	Trade ↗
Will Mohsen Araki be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	0.9¢	$0	-$10	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?	No	63.1¢	$0	-$499	Trade ↗
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	3.4¢	$0	-$26,793	Trade ↗
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?	Yes	69.0¢	$0	-$8,222	Trade ↗
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5	Over	92.0¢	$0	-$4,261	Trade ↗
Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?	No	72.3¢	$0	-$1,782	Trade ↗
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	No	88.1¢	$0	-$4,963	Trade ↗
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giants	Pittsburgh Pirates	88.0¢	$0	-$9,144	Trade ↗
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	Yes	85.3¢	$0	-$14,911	Trade ↗
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?	Yes	82.7¢	$0	-$9,469	Trade ↗
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?	Yes	58.2¢	$0	-$1,888	Trade ↗
Iran closes its airspace by July 31?	No	63.3¢	$0	-$183	Trade ↗
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?	Yes	78.6¢	$0	-$10,381	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	No	73.0¢	$0	-$3,351	Trade ↗
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?	No	68.2¢	$0	-$329	Trade ↗
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?	Yes	54.9¢	$0	-$8,950	Trade ↗
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs	Cincinnati Reds	93.0¢	$0	-$19,522	Trade ↗
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?	No	34.5¢	$0	-$20,945	Trade ↗
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	80.5¢	$0	-$16,769	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
6d ago	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	BUY	Yes	85.7¢	$12,816
6d ago	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL	No	86.0¢	$17,200
9d ago	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	BUY	Yes	81.9¢	$13,044
17d ago	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?	BUY	No	86.0¢	$13,242
17d ago	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August?	SELL	No	97.2¢	$13,304
28d ago	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	BUY	No	83.0¢	$25,667
29d ago	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	BUY	Yes	95.0¢	$24,600
29d ago	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL	No	82.0¢	$24,600