themain

29Proven trader

0x2f9da73ca8430dc4bdbd75f9c76d91592ca5deb3· stats updated 2d ago

Realized PnL

+$23,996

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

89%

33 of 37 resolved

Resolved markets

Portfolio value

$201,018

Capital deployed

$365,512

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$35,076

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 0.0/30Return 5.5/25Consistency 24.5/25Sample size 8.7/20Concentration -9.3Total 29.4 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	70.3¢	$143,998	+$13,624	Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	78.6¢	$34,650	-$479	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	40.8¢	$8,457	+$142	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	34.2¢	$7,291	-$636	Trade ↗
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	45.1¢	$4,421	+$110	Trade ↗
Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?	Yes	72.6¢	$607	-$36	Trade ↗
Will Lorenzo Pazolini win the Governor of Espírito Santo election?	Yes	37.5¢	$518	+$310	Trade ↗
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	No	78.0¢	$369	-$39	Trade ↗
Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?	No	70.4¢	$284	-$8	Trade ↗
Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial second round?	No	63.0¢	$182	+$22	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%?	Yes	27.2¢	$113	+$3	Trade ↗
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	Yes	74.3¢	$71	-$3	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	27.1¢	$59	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Sanderson win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?	Yes	67.9¢	$0	-$870	Trade ↗
Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-07?	Yes	46.0¢	$0	-$109	Trade ↗
Will Carlos Jordy win the most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?	Yes	49.3¢	$0	-$331	Trade ↗
Will Marcel Van Hattem win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?	Yes	78.9¢	$0	-$3,770	Trade ↗
Will Filipe Barros win the second-most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?	Yes	38.0¢	$0	-$102	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
4d ago	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	No	80.0¢	$19,028
9d ago	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	No	77.0¢	$16,048