Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

24h volume

$252,543

Liquidity

$927,537

Whale net flow (24h)

-$14,288

1 tracked trades · buys $0 · sells $14,288

Outcomes

Yes / No

Smart-money consensus (open positions of qualified whales)

Yes 4%96% No

119 qualified whales · $4M positioned

Time	Trader	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
3d ago	GOLADS96	BUY	No	84.0¢	$34,767
Increased NO from $25k → $60k at 84¢ — 24% of their portfolio. Smart money is 98% NO (115 whales).
1d ago	LulaVaiPerder	SELL	No	82.9¢	$24,876
Trimmed NO from $242k → $217k at 83¢. Cuts against smart money, which is 98% NO (117 whales).
7d ago	0xf5592765133941c40C77e52Bc56bbe7EC167F462-1755612447740	SELL	No	84.1¢	$22,660
Exited NO, selling a $23k position at 84¢. Cuts against smart money, which is 97% NO (117 whales).
3d ago	0xff1e352d5310eab17d1e9fd7e00ec33f16c05e2	SELL	No	83.0¢	$20,005
Trimmed NO from $127k → $107k at 83¢. Cuts against smart money, which is 98% NO (115 whales).
7d ago	aff3	BUY	No	85.0¢	$19,984
New position: $20k on NO at 85¢. Smart money is 97% NO (116 whales).
3d ago	Vespuccii	SELL	No	84.0¢	$16,800
Trimmed NO from $21k → $4k at 84¢. Cuts against smart money, which is 98% NO (116 whales).
13h ago	LulaVaiPerder	SELL	No	80.0¢	$14,288
Trimmed NO from $215k → $201k at 80¢ — their 2nd sale this week. Cuts against smart money, which is 96% NO (119 whales).
5d ago	xm39	SELL	Yes	15.0¢	$12,389
Trimmed YES from $156k → $144k at 15¢. Smart money is 2% YES (115 whales).
1d ago	Mrkrabs1701	SELL	No	81.1¢	$12,167
Exited NO, selling a $13k position at 81¢. Cuts against smart money, which is 98% NO (117 whales).
3d ago	seal7	BUY	No	85.0¢	$10,200
New position: $10k on NO at 85¢ — 16% of their portfolio. Smart money is 98% NO (115 whales).

Yes