LlamaLoco0000

51Qualified whaleProven trader

0x93fb8127a1b21a112b11af936361225df0563e4a· stats updated 2d ago

Realized PnL

+$772,521

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

45%

133 of 294 resolved

Resolved markets

294

Portfolio value

$423,406

Capital deployed

$24,230,577

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$58,403

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 27.9/30Return 2.7/25Consistency 0.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 50.6 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	31.5¢	$83,281	-$12,195	Trade ↗
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	67.7¢	$60,170	-$2,203	Trade ↗
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	22.1¢	$44,088	-$1,276	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	39.4¢	$36,081	-$82,365	Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	21.3¢	$29,032	-$13,589	Trade ↗
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	10.8¢	$28,654	+$3,825	Trade ↗
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	22.9¢	$26,922	-$68,098	Trade ↗
China x Japan military clash before 2027?	Yes	11.0¢	$24,264	-$16,897	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	24.8¢	$18,517	-$52,184	Trade ↗
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	30.5¢	$8,231	-$8,792	Trade ↗
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?	Yes	62.0¢	$8,138	+$551	Trade ↗
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	6.7¢	$8,116	+$710	Trade ↗
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Yes	16.8¢	$7,980	-$12,698	Trade ↗
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?	Yes	7.3¢	$6,457	-$2,620	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	26.6¢	$5,907	-$10,640	Trade ↗
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	Yes	13.8¢	$4,611	-$5,165	Trade ↗
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	18.7¢	$3,450	-$7,586	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	35.9¢	$3,444	-$5,713	Trade ↗
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026?	Yes	50.0¢	$3,227	-$1,020	Trade ↗
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	Yes	57.5¢	$2,487	-$7,052	Trade ↗
NATO article 5 before 2027?	Yes	14.0¢	$2,259	-$1,719	Trade ↗
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?	Yes	20.6¢	$1,731	-$1,741	Trade ↗
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	3.3¢	$1,393	-$337	Trade ↗
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	37.7¢	$1,166	-$2,089	Trade ↗
Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?	Yes	74.7¢	$782	+$148	Trade ↗
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	24.9¢	$729	-$2,063	Trade ↗
Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	8.4¢	$582	-$170	Trade ↗
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	19.4¢	$453	-$224	Trade ↗
X banned in any European country by December 31?	Yes	21.2¢	$370	-$154	Trade ↗
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	7.0¢	$248	-$215	Trade ↗
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	7.9¢	$204	+$82	Trade ↗
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	16.0¢	$177	-$260	Trade ↗
Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?	Yes	13.0¢	$109	+$54	Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?	Yes	15.0¢	$82	-$63	Trade ↗
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 8,000 in 2026?	Yes	24.8¢	$31	-$115	Trade ↗
UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	Yes	8.9¢	$30	-$31	Trade ↗
Will Solana dip to $30 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	9.0¢	$2	-$4	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?	Yes	7.6¢	$0	-$5,014	Trade ↗
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	Yes	7.7¢	$0	-$33,587	Trade ↗
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	34.0¢	$0	-$850	Trade ↗
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	15.9¢	$0	-$5,170	Trade ↗
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?	Yes	2.2¢	$0	-$1,762	Trade ↗
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	18.0¢	$0	-$1,998	Trade ↗
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	47.2¢	$0	-$52,406	Trade ↗
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	No	59.7¢	$0	-$1,493	Trade ↗
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	11.1¢	$0	-$871	Trade ↗
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	23.1¢	$0	-$5,911	Trade ↗
Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goals	Yes	10.0¢	$0	-$2,312	Trade ↗
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	11.2¢	$0	-$5,595	Trade ↗
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	46.0¢	$0	-$1,150	Trade ↗
Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)	Ecuador	65.0¢	$0	-$1,642	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?	Yes	21.3¢	$0	-$22,334	Trade ↗
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?	Yes	16.0¢	$0	-$48	Trade ↗
Spread: Spain (-2.5)	Spain	7.4¢	$0	-$591	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	4.4¢	$0	-$8,048	Trade ↗
Trump out as President by June 30?	Yes	6.1¢	$0	-$542	Trade ↗
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?	Yes	13.0¢	$0	-$67	Trade ↗
Will Mexico reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	39.0¢	$0	-$1,968	Trade ↗
Will Trump say "World Cup" during Speech to the Nation?	Yes	27.0¢	$0	-$272	Trade ↗
Will Han Feng Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?	Yes	24.5¢	$0	-$1,273	Trade ↗
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	34.0¢	$0	-$425	Trade ↗
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 in June?	Yes	7.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?	Yes	45.1¢	$0	-$3,559	Trade ↗
Will Michael Gagliano Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?	Yes	13.7¢	$0	-$41	Trade ↗
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	15.0¢	$0	-$750	Trade ↗
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	16.5¢	$0	-$3	Trade ↗
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	Yes	32.9¢	$0	-$3,399	Trade ↗
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	24.0¢	$0	-$12,029	Trade ↗
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	24.0¢	$0	-$960	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?	Yes	7.6¢	$0	-$4,650	Trade ↗
Panama vs. England: England O/U 2.5	Over	53.0¢	$0	-$790	Trade ↗
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?	No	47.0¢	$0	-$4,703	Trade ↗
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $330 in June?	Yes	5.9¢	$0	-$47	Trade ↗
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals	Yes	41.0¢	$0	-$1,056	Trade ↗
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	50.5¢	$0	-$14,233	Trade ↗
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	3.0¢	$0	-$212	Trade ↗
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ assists	Yes	30.0¢	$0	-$600	Trade ↗
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	3.0¢	$0	-$300	Trade ↗
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $168 in June?	Yes	5.0¢	$0	-$234	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	Yes	6.0¢	$0	-$406	Trade ↗
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	Yes	7.7¢	$0	-$25,716	Trade ↗
Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	28.5¢	$0	-$1,069	Trade ↗
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	Yes	7.7¢	$0	-$9,691	Trade ↗
Houthis successfully target shipping by April 15?	Yes	42.2¢	$0	-$803	Trade ↗
Will Canada reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	27.0¢	$0	-$1,350	Trade ↗
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?	Yes	22.8¢	$0	-$2,947	Trade ↗
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	3.4¢	$0	-$1,677	Trade ↗
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $500 in June?	Yes	8.4¢	$0	-$10,561	Trade ↗
Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goals	Yes	6.3¢	$0	-$475	Trade ↗
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	27.6¢	$0	-$1,381	Trade ↗
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?	Yes	42.0¢	$0	-$300	Trade ↗
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	2.6¢	$0	-$10,583	Trade ↗
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	22.0¢	$0	-$306	Trade ↗
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	2.2¢	$0	-$1,100	Trade ↗
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	19.0¢	$0	-$475	Trade ↗
Brahim Díaz: 1+ goals	Yes	38.0¢	$0	-$950	Trade ↗
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen by April 30?	Yes	17.2¢	$0	-$410	Trade ↗
Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	1.5¢	$0	-$176	Trade ↗
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	4.6¢	$0	-$1,233	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?	Yes	4.2¢	$0	-$1,915	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
2d ago	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	BUY	No	63.8¢	$12,767
16d ago	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	BUY	Yes	34.0¢	$11,863
18d ago	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	SELL	Yes	5.1¢	$19,372
18d ago	Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?	SELL	Yes	5.0¢	$14,401