WhaleWatcher

LlamaLoco0000

47Qualified whaleProven trader
0x93fb8127a1b21a112b11af936361225df0563e4a· stats updated 17h ago
Realized PnL
+$764,712
closed + open positions
Return on capital
3%
realized PnL ÷ capital deployed
Win rate
45%
134 of 296 resolved
Resolved markets
296
Portfolio value
$984,455
Capital deployed
$25,382,323
lifetime cost of all positions
Tracked whale volume
$227,584
volume seen by WhaleWatcher
Open positions
38

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 27.8/30Return 2.5/25Consistency 0.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -3.6Total 46.8 / 100

Current positions

MarketOutcomeAvg priceValueUnrealized PnLTrade
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?No90.2¢$421,454-$20,354Trade ↗
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?No60.9¢$226,342-$27,681Trade ↗
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes31.5¢$63,835-$31,963Trade ↗
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes22.8¢$61,356-$14,402Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes20.2¢$39,000-$1,384Trade ↗
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?Yes39.4¢$32,173-$86,274Trade ↗
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes10.8¢$29,639+$1,677Trade ↗
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes21.0¢$26,255-$73,819Trade ↗
Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?Yes24.8¢$24,214-$46,487Trade ↗
China x Japan military clash before 2027?Yes11.0¢$14,745-$26,416Trade ↗
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?Yes62.0¢$9,606+$2,019Trade ↗
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes30.5¢$7,421-$9,601Trade ↗
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes16.8¢$3,929-$16,750Trade ↗
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Yes13.8¢$3,547-$6,229Trade ↗
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes6.7¢$3,478-$3,928Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes26.6¢$3,358-$13,189Trade ↗
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?Yes7.3¢$3,167-$5,911Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes35.9¢$2,168-$6,988Trade ↗
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026?Yes50.0¢$2,081-$2,166Trade ↗
NATO article 5 before 2027?Yes14.0¢$1,406-$2,571Trade ↗
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?Yes20.6¢$853-$2,619Trade ↗
Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?Yes74.7¢$824+$191Trade ↗
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes37.7¢$734-$2,521Trade ↗
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes19.4¢$471-$206Trade ↗
Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026?Yes8.4¢$443-$308Trade ↗
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Yes6.5¢$408-$712Trade ↗
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?Yes24.9¢$353-$2,438Trade ↗
X banned in any European country by December 31?Yes21.2¢$308-$215Trade ↗
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes7.9¢$195+$73Trade ↗
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes16.0¢$177-$260Trade ↗
Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?Yes13.0¢$161+$107Trade ↗
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes7.0¢$149-$314Trade ↗
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes3.3¢$79-$1,651Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?Yes15.0¢$58-$87Trade ↗
UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?Yes8.9¢$36-$26Trade ↗
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 8,000 in 2026?Yes24.8¢$24-$123Trade ↗
Will the US announce a diesel export ban by December 31?Yes8.3¢$9+$2Trade ↗
Will Solana dip to $30 by December 31, 2026?Yes9.0¢$1-$5Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?Yes7.6¢$0-$5,014Trade ↗
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?Yes7.7¢$0-$33,587Trade ↗
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?Yes34.0¢$0-$850Trade ↗
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?Yes15.9¢$0-$5,170Trade ↗
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?Yes2.2¢$0-$1,762Trade ↗
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?Yes18.0¢$0-$1,998Trade ↗
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No47.2¢$0-$52,406Trade ↗
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?No59.7¢$0-$1,493Trade ↗
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes11.1¢$0-$871Trade ↗
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes23.1¢$0-$5,911Trade ↗
Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goalsYes10.0¢$0-$2,312Trade ↗
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes11.2¢$0-$5,595Trade ↗
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?Yes46.0¢$0-$1,150Trade ↗
Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)Ecuador65.0¢$0-$1,642Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?Yes21.3¢$0-$22,334Trade ↗
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes16.0¢$0-$48Trade ↗
Spread: Spain (-2.5)Spain7.4¢$0-$591Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?Yes4.4¢$0-$8,048Trade ↗
Trump out as President by June 30?Yes6.1¢$0-$542Trade ↗
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes13.0¢$0-$67Trade ↗
Will Mexico reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No39.0¢$0-$1,968Trade ↗
Will Trump say "World Cup" during Speech to the Nation?Yes27.0¢$0-$272Trade ↗
Will Han Feng Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?Yes24.5¢$0-$1,273Trade ↗
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?Yes34.0¢$0-$425Trade ↗
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 in June?Yes7.0¢$0-$1Trade ↗
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?Yes45.1¢$0-$3,559Trade ↗
Will Michael Gagliano Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?Yes13.7¢$0-$41Trade ↗
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No15.0¢$0-$750Trade ↗
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?No16.5¢$0-$3Trade ↗
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Yes32.9¢$0-$3,399Trade ↗
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes24.0¢$0-$12,029Trade ↗
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?Yes24.0¢$0-$960Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?Yes7.6¢$0-$4,650Trade ↗
Panama vs. England: England O/U 2.5Over53.0¢$0-$790Trade ↗
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?No47.0¢$0-$4,703Trade ↗
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $330 in June?Yes5.9¢$0-$47Trade ↗
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsYes41.0¢$0-$1,056Trade ↗
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?Yes50.5¢$0-$14,233Trade ↗
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes3.0¢$0-$212Trade ↗
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ assistsYes30.0¢$0-$600Trade ↗
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10?Yes3.0¢$0-$300Trade ↗
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $168 in June?Yes5.0¢$0-$234Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes6.0¢$0-$406Trade ↗
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?Yes7.7¢$0-$25,716Trade ↗
Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes28.5¢$0-$1,069Trade ↗
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?Yes7.7¢$0-$9,691Trade ↗
Houthis successfully target shipping by April 15?Yes42.2¢$0-$803Trade ↗
Will Canada reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No27.0¢$0-$1,350Trade ↗
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?Yes22.8¢$0-$2,947Trade ↗
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Yes3.4¢$0-$1,677Trade ↗
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $500 in June?Yes8.4¢$0-$10,561Trade ↗
Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goalsYes6.3¢$0-$475Trade ↗
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No27.6¢$0-$1,381Trade ↗
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Yes42.0¢$0-$300Trade ↗
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes2.6¢$0-$10,583Trade ↗
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?Yes22.0¢$0-$306Trade ↗
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes2.2¢$0-$1,100Trade ↗
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?Yes19.0¢$0-$475Trade ↗
Brahim Díaz: 1+ goalsYes38.0¢$0-$950Trade ↗
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen by April 30?Yes17.2¢$0-$410Trade ↗
Trump out as President by April 30?Yes1.5¢$0-$176Trade ↗
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?Yes4.6¢$0-$1,233Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

TimeMarketSideOutcomePriceSize
13d agoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUYYes18.0¢$16,358
13d agoNATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUYYes22.0¢$10,701
14d agoWill David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?BUYNo86.8¢$12,107
20d agoWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUYNo55.5¢$67,677
35d agoWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUYNo62.1¢$15,676
35d agoTrump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?SELLYes96.0¢$11,209
44d agoWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUYNo65.6¢$13,809
44d agoWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUYNo65.1¢$10,905
44d agoWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUYNo62.5¢$10,739
48d agoWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUYNo63.8¢$12,767
62d agoChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?BUYYes34.0¢$11,863
63d agoWill Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?SELLYes5.1¢$19,372
63d agoWill Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?SELLYes5.0¢$14,401