0x8B4bcA1D794779E66e023D44391B2A86C5ab541B-1769764313952

78Qualified whaleProven trader

0x8b4bca1d794779e66e023d44391b2a86c5ab541b· stats updated 18h ago

Realized PnL

+$1,014,354

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$3,951,471

Capital deployed

$30,033,501

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$478,602

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 30.0/30Return 2.8/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 77.8 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	91.1¢	$546,975	+$14,225	Trade ↗
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	98.9¢	$373,313	+$2,553	Trade ↗
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	87.5¢	$280,500	+$17,895	Trade ↗
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	91.6¢	$210,888	+$10,918	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?	No	98.8¢	$200,245	+$1,721	Trade ↗
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	81.6¢	$182,685	+$27,657	Trade ↗
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	95.1¢	$175,749	+$1,675	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	90.8¢	$144,022	+$7,003	Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	79.3¢	$138,938	+$10,046	Trade ↗
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	85.4¢	$132,300	+$12,764	Trade ↗
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	82.8¢	$123,929	+$13,548	Trade ↗
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	93.6¢	$121,670	+$2,515	Trade ↗
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	96.5¢	$112,926	+$3,279	Trade ↗
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?	No	98.9¢	$94,772	+$161	Trade ↗
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	No	94.5¢	$93,164	+$4,581	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	82.3¢	$92,040	+$4,438	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	96.7¢	$89,955	+$2,885	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	90.4¢	$68,783	+$49	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	No	95.4¢	$66,096	+$1,222	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	83.2¢	$65,754	+$7,276	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	86.8¢	$65,192	+$528	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	79.6¢	$63,594	-$4,393	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	83.6¢	$61,239	+$5,881	Trade ↗
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	95.0¢	$45,712	+$557	Trade ↗
Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	97.7¢	$39,700	+$620	Trade ↗
China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	93.0¢	$30,855	+$165	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	92.5¢	$28,742	+$1,047	Trade ↗
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	97.3¢	$26,672	+$412	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	87.8¢	$23,527	-$7,313	Trade ↗
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	94.3¢	$22,345	+$740	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	89.2¢	$22,118	+$2,053	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?	No	89.0¢	$18,429	+$699	Trade ↗
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	No	95.2¢	$13,823	+$560	Trade ↗
Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026?	No	90.4¢	$12,564	+$1,123	Trade ↗
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	83.7¢	$12,220	+$1,340	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	79.9¢	$12,165	-$6,901	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?	No	80.0¢	$11,625	+$1,625	Trade ↗
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	92.8¢	$11,100	-$39	Trade ↗
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	88.0¢	$9,569	+$752	Trade ↗
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	94.0¢	$9,450	+$50	Trade ↗
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	85.2¢	$9,265	+$743	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	95.6¢	$8,569	-$152	Trade ↗
Trump out as President by September 30?	No	98.8¢	$8,527	+$27	Trade ↗
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	Yes	95.9¢	$6,801	+$86	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	88.5¢	$6,468	-$1,322	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	86.2¢	$5,265	+$463	Trade ↗
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	91.0¢	$4,887	+$338	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?	No	92.0¢	$4,868	+$268	Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	No	93.0¢	$4,847	+$198	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	91.0¢	$4,279	+$297	Trade ↗
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?	No	88.8¢	$4,274	+$446	Trade ↗
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?	No	90.6¢	$3,760	+$192	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	93.7¢	$3,680	-$354	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	84.7¢	$2,812	-$1,856	Trade ↗
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?	No	90.0¢	$2,486	-$258	Trade ↗
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	No	98.1¢	$2,466	+$14	Trade ↗
Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026?	No	92.0¢	$2,161	-$139	Trade ↗
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	No	75.0¢	$1,907	+$407	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	97.4¢	$1,567	-$5	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	98.0¢	$1,421	+$13	Trade ↗
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	No	87.1¢	$1,086	-$1,470	Trade ↗
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	No	87.2¢	$1,056	-$34	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	60.5¢	$865	+$260	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	98.1¢	$763	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	96.2¢	$516	+$14	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	95.4¢	$492	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	97.9¢	$311	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum reach $2,750 by December 31, 2026?	No	67.0¢	$285	-$385	Trade ↗
Will Hyperliquid reach $90 by December 31, 2026?	No	73.0¢	$267	-$828	Trade ↗
Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	91.0¢	$101	+$4	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	97.0¢	$38	$0	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	97.0¢	$28	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?	No	78.0¢	$10	+$2	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
2d ago	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	SELL	No	99.6¢	$115,934
6d ago	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	BUY	No	98.7¢	$10,554
13d ago	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	BUY	No	95.0¢	$49,370
13d ago	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in August?	BUY	No	97.9¢	$18,932
13d ago	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?	BUY	No	99.6¢	$64,478
13d ago	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in August?	BUY	No	99.3¢	$20,926
14d ago	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?	BUY	No	97.6¢	$20,443
14d ago	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	BUY	No	95.0¢	$32,322
14d ago	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in August?	SELL	No	99.9¢	$11,323
14d ago	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	BUY	No	93.6¢	$18,715
14d ago	Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August?	SELL	No	99.9¢	$18,818
14d ago	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	BUY	No	92.9¢	$19,873
20d ago	Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in August?	BUY	No	99.4¢	$11,443
20d ago	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?	BUY	No	98.8¢	$17,407
29d ago	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?	BUY	No	92.0¢	$14,525
30d ago	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?	BUY	No	93.0¢	$11,160
30d ago	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 12, 2026?	BUY	No	96.1¢	$12,090
30d ago	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	SELL	No	93.0¢	$10,290