GOLADS96

29Proven trader

0x894df6e8ad9f01be25ea47e5733dde6dabfc04e2· stats updated 12h ago

Realized PnL

+$5,618

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

80%

43 of 54 resolved

Resolved markets

Portfolio value

$188,780

Capital deployed

$437,158

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$58,932

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 0.0/30Return 1.1/25Consistency 18.5/25Sample size 11.3/20Concentration -1.4Total 29.5 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	84.5¢	$60,000	-$3,387	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	83.6¢	$16,187	+$1,563	Trade ↗
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	No	90.1¢	$14,415	+$452	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	84.9¢	$11,872	+$216	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	80.0¢	$10,585	+$320	Trade ↗
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	No	92.9¢	$9,188	+$66	Trade ↗
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	93.5¢	$8,701	+$456	Trade ↗
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?	No	93.2¢	$8,370	-$14	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	95.5¢	$7,805	-$36	Trade ↗
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	89.7¢	$5,805	+$264	Trade ↗
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?	No	88.5¢	$4,923	+$498	Trade ↗
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	23.1¢	$3,883	-$970	Trade ↗
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?	No	72.9¢	$3,076	+$184	Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	81.7¢	$2,782	-$78	Trade ↗
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	68.5¢	$2,713	+$314	Trade ↗
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	90.0¢	$2,712	-$77	Trade ↗
Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by October 31?	No	88.5¢	$1,991	+$79	Trade ↗
Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by October 31, 2026?	No	78.0¢	$1,966	+$360	Trade ↗
US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	No	90.6¢	$1,949	+$137	Trade ↗
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?	No	90.8¢	$1,715	-$7	Trade ↗
Saudi troops enter Taiz Governorate by October 31, 2026?	No	84.6¢	$1,468	+$198	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	93.0¢	$1,466	+$71	Trade ↗
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?	No	89.3¢	$1,245	+$118	Trade ↗
Saudi troops enter Marib Governorate by October 31, 2026?	No	89.6¢	$849	+$78	Trade ↗
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	43.9¢	$469	-$146	Trade ↗
Israel military action against Yemen by October 31?	No	89.0¢	$335	+$23	Trade ↗
Will Trump praise Allah again by October 31?	No	63.6¢	$322	+$68	Trade ↗
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?	No	90.0¢	$293	+$28	Trade ↗
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 15, 2026?	No	32.0¢	$289	+$174	Trade ↗
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 4?	Yes	69.2¢	$259	-$0	Trade ↗
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 12?	Yes	62.4¢	$189	-$4	Trade ↗
France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30?	No	90.0¢	$186	-$8	Trade ↗
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 30, 2026?	No	14.0¢	$177	+$76	Trade ↗
Another NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?	Yes	41.6¢	$169	-$130	Trade ↗
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 8?	Yes	67.7¢	$153	+$11	Trade ↗
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?	No	35.0¢	$87	-$69	Trade ↗
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31?	No	74.0¢	$74	$0	Trade ↗
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	1.5¢	$68	-$8	Trade ↗
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 6?	Yes	62.6¢	$43	+$11	Trade ↗
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 3?	Yes	51.0¢	$0	-$170	Trade ↗
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?	No	64.4¢	$0	-$837	Trade ↗
Counter-Strike: OG vs Falcons Force (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group A	OG	71.0¢	$0	-$213	Trade ↗
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Orion Wanderers (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group A	Orion Wanderers	11.0¢	$0	-$83	Trade ↗
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs SINQU (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group A	SINQU	21.0¢	$0	-$210	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	13.0¢	$0	-$780	Trade ↗
EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by December 31?	No	11.0¢	$0	-$12	Trade ↗
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FURIA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	PARIVISION	34.0¢	$0	-$170	Trade ↗
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	Spirit	63.0¢	$0	-$473	Trade ↗
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs STATE (BO3) - 1win Private Club #2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs	STATE	16.0¢	$0	-$80	Trade ↗
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026?	Yes	1.3¢	$0	-$5	Trade ↗
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	FURIA	42.0¢	$0	-$420	Trade ↗
Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	G2	58.0¢	$0	-$176	Trade ↗
EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by October 31?	No	22.0¢	$0	-$8	Trade ↗
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	Legacy	57.0¢	$0	-$1,140	Trade ↗
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	13.4¢	$0	-$128	Trade ↗
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs 1WIN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	Legacy	56.0¢	$0	-$420	Trade ↗
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	9z	25.0¢	$0	-$375	Trade ↗
Counter-Strike: Omega vs Noir Verse (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #10 Playoffs	Omega	40.0¢	$0	-$30	Trade ↗
Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs Lazer Cats (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group B	Rebels Gaming	54.0¢	$0	-$134	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
3d ago	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	BUY	No	84.0¢	$34,767
26d ago	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	BUY	No	86.0¢	$12,470
26d ago	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	BUY	No	90.0¢	$11,695