ethBELIVER

43Qualified whaleProven trader

0x05f6cb63d4ffdfaecd7ad8acd0765b6f6a5a25a1· stats updated 18h ago

Realized PnL

+$496,702

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

72%

28 of 39 resolved

Resolved markets

Portfolio value

$493,490

Capital deployed

$10,720,281

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$597,520

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 24.3/30Return 3.9/25Consistency 13.6/25Sample size 9.1/20Concentration -8.2Total 42.7 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	57.4¢	$324,462	+$94,412	Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	50.0¢	$38,108	-$62,177	Trade ↗
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	70.4¢	$30,892	+$879	Trade ↗
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	71.9¢	$30,487	-$391	Trade ↗
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	69.7¢	$15,320	+$2,817	Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	45.7¢	$9,089	+$2,744	Trade ↗
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	61.0¢	$6,520	+$1,945	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	39.0¢	$4,694	+$1,693	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	70.5¢	$4,162	+$771	Trade ↗
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	82.9¢	$3,898	-$108	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	72.0¢	$3,870	-$450	Trade ↗
Kash Patel out by December 31?	No	23.8¢	$3,856	+$2,679	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	2.0¢	$3,081	+$1,711	Trade ↗
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	68.0¢	$2,669	+$131	Trade ↗
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	No	74.2¢	$2,586	+$641	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	20.0¢	$1,882	-$269	Trade ↗
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	13.6¢	$1,800	-$4,710	Trade ↗
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	Yes	10.9¢	$1,597	-$865	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	50.0¢	$958	-$472	Trade ↗
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	46.0¢	$937	+$471	Trade ↗
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	29.0¢	$838	+$543	Trade ↗
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	33.8¢	$664	-$882	Trade ↗
Iran leadership change by November 30?	Yes	9.0¢	$574	+$30	Trade ↗
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	20.3¢	$236	-$646	Trade ↗
Iran leadership change by October 31?	Yes	6.0¢	$121	-$438	Trade ↗
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	13.1¢	$89	-$23,138	Trade ↗
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	0.3¢	$71	+$43	Trade ↗
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?	Yes	9.0¢	$16	+$10	Trade ↗
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	79.0¢	$8	-$0	Trade ↗
Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	Yes	0.3¢	$3	-$1	Trade ↗
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	9.0¢	$1	+$1	Trade ↗
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?	No	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	19.1¢	$0	-$26,273	Trade ↗
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs	TEAM VISION	56.1¢	$0	-$4,921	Trade ↗
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals	No	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Will Trump dance during WHCA Dinner on April 25?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	No	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?	No	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026	No	51.0¢	$0	-$22,208	Trade ↗
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	No	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	Yes	3.7¢	$0	-$752	Trade ↗
Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q2 2026	Yes	11.8¢	$0	-$1,194	Trade ↗
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffs	Team Yandex	31.6¢	$0	-$25,042	Trade ↗
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be below 1%?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 10?	No	13.0¢	$0	-$41	Trade ↗
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	No	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be between 1.5% and 2%?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Monterrey Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Nikola Bartunkova	Antonia Ruzic	15.0¢	$0	-$45	Trade ↗
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Will Tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in Q2 2026	Yes	5.4¢	$0	-$266	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	No	2.8¢	$0	-$103	Trade ↗
Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	Yes	46.0¢	$0	-$1,481	Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?	Yes	0.2¢	$0	-$4	Trade ↗
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	Natus Vincere	62.6¢	$0	-$34,449	Trade ↗
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 5?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
49ers vs. Raiders	Raiders	50.0¢	$0	-$19,565	Trade ↗
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	Yes	5.0¢	$0	-$2,411	Trade ↗
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	3.6¢	$0	-$8	Trade ↗
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	No	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	14.9¢	$0	-$3,587	Trade ↗
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	No	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	No	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
3d ago	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	BUY	Yes	90.0¢	$27,303
5d ago	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	BUY	No	71.0¢	$13,213
5d ago	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	BUY	Yes	73.0¢	$14,600
12d ago	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	BUY	No	83.0¢	$41,500
15d ago	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	BUY	Vitality	86.0¢	$34,400
17d ago	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	BUY	No	99.3¢	$29,790
18d ago	Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	BUY	Natus Vincere	75.0¢	$22,500
27d ago	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	SELL	No	65.0¢	$19,314
27d ago	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	BUY	No	36.0¢	$16,375
31d ago	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	BUY	No	67.0¢	$11,977
38d ago	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	BUY	No	47.0¢	$24,754
38d ago	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	BUY	No	50.0¢	$10,000
45d ago	Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: European Qualifier Playoffs	BUY	1WIN	67.0¢	$26,800
45d ago	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	BUY	Yes	59.0¢	$13,003
53d ago	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?	BUY	No	88.0¢	$16,800
55d ago	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	BUY	Yes	42.0¢	$34,461
55d ago	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	BUY	Yes	53.0¢	$14,918
55d ago	Fed rate hike in 2026?	BUY	Yes	67.0¢	$11,343
58d ago	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants	BUY	San Francisco Giants	44.0¢	$14,960
58d ago	49ers vs. Raiders	BUY	Raiders	50.0¢	$10,180
58d ago	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B	SELL	Team Falcons	74.4¢	$15,186
58d ago	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B	BUY	Team Falcons	80.0¢	$24,000
58d ago	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B	BUY	Team Falcons	80.0¢	$24,000
58d ago	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B	BUY	Team Falcons	80.0¢	$32,000
58d ago	Colorado Rockies vs. Washington Nationals	BUY	Washington Nationals	70.0¢	$14,000