rdba

56Qualified whaleProven trader

0xc4d1a863e9cc45d02ba22d3a1ae9ba7822018ce8· stats updated 2d ago

Realized PnL

+$1,084,418

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

71%

176 of 248 resolved

Resolved markets

248

Portfolio value

$3,599,400

Capital deployed

$118,095,007

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$51,767

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 30.0/30Return 0.8/25Consistency 13.1/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -7.6Total 56.3 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	50.0¢	$2,260,500	+$610,500	Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	50.0¢	$1,039,500	-$610,500	Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	75.7¢	$208,750	+$19,584	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	78.0¢	$51,468	-$299	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	94.7¢	$6,953	+$258	Trade ↗
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	90.9¢	$5,524	-$231	Trade ↗
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	93.5¢	$5,142	-$507	Trade ↗
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	96.0¢	$4,243	-$558	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	52.8¢	$4,103	+$793	Trade ↗
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	98.7¢	$3,367	+$39	Trade ↗
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	97.9¢	$2,431	+$47	Trade ↗
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	96.0¢	$1,859	+$70	Trade ↗
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	50.0¢	$1,070	+$118	Trade ↗
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	83.9¢	$790	+$58	Trade ↗
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	2.8¢	$699	+$231	Trade ↗
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	95.0¢	$687	+$22	Trade ↗
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	50.0¢	$627	-$1,471	Trade ↗
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	97.9¢	$487	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	5.3¢	$438	-$743	Trade ↗
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	95.6¢	$200	+$8	Trade ↗
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	94.0¢	$192	+$6	Trade ↗
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	50.0¢	$167	-$810	Trade ↗
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	96.0¢	$97	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	7.1¢	$47	-$18	Trade ↗
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	4.0¢	$34	+$13	Trade ↗
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	1.0¢	$15	-$12	Trade ↗
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	1.1¢	$5	-$33	Trade ↗
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	2.0¢	$2	-$11	Trade ↗
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	2.1¢	$1	-$9	Trade ↗
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	1.0¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Jim Walden win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	5.4¢	$0	-$16,561	Trade ↗
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	2.0¢	$0	-$7,518	Trade ↗
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	2.0¢	$0	-$1,272	Trade ↗
Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	2.0¢	$0	-$7,518	Trade ↗
Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	5.5¢	$0	-$12,562	Trade ↗
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	2.0¢	$0	-$7,518	Trade ↗
Will Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	5.4¢	$0	-$16,561	Trade ↗
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	2.0¢	$0	-$7,518	Trade ↗
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 6?	Yes	6.0¢	$0	-$773	Trade ↗
Will Matt Goodwin – Reform win the Gorton and Denton by-election?	Yes	16.7¢	$0	-$67	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in December?	Yes	25.0¢	$0	-$2,617	Trade ↗
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	5.4¢	$0	-$16,561	Trade ↗
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	2.0¢	$0	-$4,244	Trade ↗
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	2.0¢	$0	-$7,218	Trade ↗
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?	Yes	26.0¢	$0	-$837	Trade ↗
Will Andrew Yang win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	5.4¢	$0	-$16,561	Trade ↗
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	No	5.7¢	$0	-$6,555	Trade ↗
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	2.0¢	$0	-$7,518	Trade ↗
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2025-10-18?	Yes	11.0¢	$0	-$11	Trade ↗
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	2.0¢	$0	-$7,424	Trade ↗
Will Team Falcons win The International 2025 Tournament?	No	45.0¢	$0	-$1,703	Trade ↗
Will Michael Bloomberg win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	5.4¢	$0	-$16,561	Trade ↗
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?	No	35.8¢	$0	-$1,439	Trade ↗
Will Scott Stringer win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	5.4¢	$0	-$16,561	Trade ↗
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 40% and 50% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	9.4¢	$0	-$330	Trade ↗
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	2.0¢	$0	-$7,518	Trade ↗
Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	2.0¢	$0	-$7,518	Trade ↗
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	2.0¢	$0	-$846	Trade ↗
Will Rudy Giuliani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	5.4¢	$0	-$16,561	Trade ↗
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	2.0¢	$0	-$7,518	Trade ↗
Will Zellnor Myrie win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	5.4¢	$0	-$16,561	Trade ↗
Will XRP dip to $1.70 in December?	Yes	48.0¢	$0	-$1,672	Trade ↗
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?	No	41.0¢	$0	-$70	Trade ↗
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	2.0¢	$0	-$7,518	Trade ↗
League of Legends: BNK FEARX vs. DRX	DRX	38.0¢	$0	-$57	Trade ↗
Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?	No	28.1¢	$0	-$17	Trade ↗
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	2.0¢	$0	-$7,116	Trade ↗
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	2.0¢	$0	-$7,310	Trade ↗
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	9.0¢	$0	-$225	Trade ↗
Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	2.0¢	$0	-$5,395	Trade ↗
Iowa vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers	Nebraska Cornhuskers	32.0¢	$0	-$36	Trade ↗
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	2.0¢	$0	-$7,106	Trade ↗
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	2.1¢	$0	-$7,809	Trade ↗
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	2.4¢	$0	-$9,090	Trade ↗
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?	No	52.0¢	$0	-$1,011	Trade ↗
Will Adrienne Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	5.4¢	$0	-$16,561	Trade ↗
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	2.0¢	$0	-$4,201	Trade ↗
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 50% and 60% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?	No	3.2¢	$0	-$295	Trade ↗
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	2.0¢	$0	-$7,518	Trade ↗
Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-19?	No	38.0¢	$0	-$96	Trade ↗
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	2.0¢	$0	-$7,436	Trade ↗
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	2.0¢	$0	-$4,071	Trade ↗
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?	Yes	7.0¢	$0	-$91	Trade ↗
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	2.0¢	$0	-$1,524	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
4d ago	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	Yes	78.0¢	$51,767