WhaleWatcher

aff3

56Qualified whaleProven trader
0xe52c0a1327a12edc7bd54ea6f37ce00a4ca96924· stats updated 2d ago
Realized PnL
+$265,614
closed + open positions
Return on capital
2%
realized PnL ÷ capital deployed
Win rate
79%
218 of 275 resolved
Resolved markets
275
Portfolio value
$598,556
Capital deployed
$11,651,635
lifetime cost of all positions
Tracked whale volume
$579,721
volume seen by WhaleWatcher
Open positions
15

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 19.2/30Return 1.9/25Consistency 18.3/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -3.8Total 55.6 / 100

Current positions

MarketOutcomeAvg priceValueUnrealized PnLTrade
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No84.0¢$262,852+$29,236Trade ↗
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No93.0¢$214,463+$3,354Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes88.3¢$52,601+$2,371Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No85.0¢$19,631-$353Trade ↗
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No95.8¢$17,940+$270Trade ↗
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?No92.5¢$13,507+$484Trade ↗
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?No84.8¢$6,981+$1,023Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No85.0¢$2,796-$311Trade ↗
Lindsay Clancy sentenced to prison time in 2026?No92.0¢$2,746+$148Trade ↗
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?No96.0¢$1,727+$34Trade ↗
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No90.0¢$1,701-$90Trade ↗
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No96.7¢$974-$3Trade ↗
Will SPD be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?Yes96.2¢$449-$4Trade ↗
Will SPD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?No86.0¢$155+$12Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes53.0¢$34+$7Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

TimeMarketSideOutcomePriceSize
7d agoWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUYNo95.0¢$143,066
7d agoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUYNo85.0¢$19,984
20d agoWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUYNo94.0¢$32,900
32d agoWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUYYes93.0¢$11,948
35d agoFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026BUYNo96.0¢$22,037
46d agoWill Qinwen Zheng win the 2026 Women’s US Open?BUYNo96.6¢$12,152
46d agoWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUYYes87.0¢$13,709
47d agoFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?BUYNo84.0¢$12,093
47d agoFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?BUYNo85.0¢$11,102
48d agoFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?BUYNo87.0¢$15,400
49d agoWill Learner Tien win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUYNo96.5¢$15,914
50d agoLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?BUYNo92.6¢$13,023
51d agoWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUYNo95.8¢$17,669
58d agoWill Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?SELLNo89.1¢$13,282
58d agoFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?BUYNo86.0¢$15,397
63d agoFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?BUYNo83.0¢$17,928
65d agoWill Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUYNo93.8¢$15,292
65d agoUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?BUYNo98.0¢$24,371
65d agoWill the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUYYes65.0¢$10,956
67d agoWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?BUYYes99.8¢$99,800
70d agoWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?BUYNo99.0¢$15,523
70d agoWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?BUYNo98.7¢$12,034
79d agoSpain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?BUYNo97.8¢$14,142