WhaleWatcher

aff3

57Qualified whaleProven trader
0xe52c0a1327a12edc7bd54ea6f37ce00a4ca96924· stats updated 14h ago
Realized PnL
+$233,536
closed + open positions
Return on capital
2%
realized PnL ÷ capital deployed
Win rate
79%
208 of 264 resolved
Resolved markets
264
Portfolio value
$541,431
Capital deployed
$11,333,461
lifetime cost of all positions
Tracked whale volume
$349,786
volume seen by WhaleWatcher
Open positions
20

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 18.2/30Return 1.7/25Consistency 18.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -0.4Total 57.4 / 100

Current positions

MarketOutcomeAvg priceValueUnrealized PnLTrade
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No85.0¢$147,204-$922Trade ↗
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No87.1¢$132,107+$9,107Trade ↗
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No89.9¢$77,403+$3,775Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes87.0¢$38,517+$234Trade ↗
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No93.0¢$29,925+$1,642Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes64.5¢$17,986+$264Trade ↗
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No95.8¢$17,654-$16Trade ↗
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?No92.0¢$15,043+$1,197Trade ↗
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No79.9¢$13,680+$890Trade ↗
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?No92.5¢$13,317+$294Trade ↗
Will Qinwen Zheng win the 2026 Women’s US Open?No96.6¢$12,134-$18Trade ↗
Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?No92.0¢$10,934+$722Trade ↗
Will Karen Khachanov win the 2026 Men's US Open?No95.8¢$4,194+$11Trade ↗
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No90.6¢$3,644-$92Trade ↗
Lindsay Clancy sentenced to prison time in 2026?No92.0¢$2,640+$42Trade ↗
Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No96.6¢$1,824-$48Trade ↗
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?No96.0¢$1,701+$7Trade ↗
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?Yes65.0¢$1,080-$220Trade ↗
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Yes98.0¢$420+$4Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes53.0¢$26-$0Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

TimeMarketSideOutcomePriceSize
14h agoWill Qinwen Zheng win the 2026 Women’s US Open?BUYNo96.6¢$12,152
21h agoWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUYYes87.0¢$13,709
1d agoFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?BUYNo84.0¢$12,093
1d agoFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?BUYNo85.0¢$11,102
2d agoFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?BUYNo87.0¢$15,400
3d agoWill Learner Tien win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUYNo96.5¢$15,914
4d agoLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?BUYNo92.6¢$13,023
5d agoWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUYNo95.8¢$17,669
12d agoWill Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?SELLNo89.1¢$13,282
12d agoFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?BUYNo86.0¢$15,397
17d agoFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?BUYNo83.0¢$17,928
19d agoWill Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUYNo93.8¢$15,292
19d agoUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?BUYNo98.0¢$24,371
19d agoWill the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUYYes65.0¢$10,956
22d agoWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?BUYYes99.8¢$99,800
25d agoWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?BUYNo99.0¢$15,523
25d agoWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?BUYNo98.7¢$12,034
33d agoSpain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?BUYNo97.8¢$14,142