WhaleWatcher

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

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24h volume
$139,088
Liquidity
$580,416
Whale net flow (24h)
+$237,975
3 tracked trades · buys $237,975 · sells $0
Outcomes
Yes / No

Smart-money consensus (open positions of qualified whales)

Yes 46%54% No
80 qualified whales · $783K positioned

Largest whale trades (7 days)

TimeTraderSideOutcomePriceSize
1d agoelmcap2BUYNo94.0¢$172,175

New position: $172k on NO at 94¢. Cuts against smart money, which is 43% NO (79 whales).

1d agoMysticFindBUYNo93.0¢$56,168

Bought $56k of NO at 93¢ while still holding the other side — their 2nd add this week, 24% of their portfolio. Cuts against smart money, which is 42% NO (77 whales).

1d ago0x3ed1ff9ace4cebcabf59f9f1caf2ec523d2d0db0-1792772818154BUYNo94.0¢$47,000

New position: $47k on NO at 94¢. Cuts against smart money, which is 43% NO (78 whales).

6d agofoodenjoyerBUYYes13.0¢$31,616

Increased YES from $9k → $40k at 13¢ — 5% of their portfolio. Smart money is 79% YES (73 whales).

1d agowelcometowinnercircleBUYNo93.0¢$29,046

New position: $29k on NO at 93¢. Cuts against smart money, which is 47% NO (77 whales).

3d agoarjennnnnBUYNo92.0¢$25,865

New position: $26k on NO at 92¢ — 11% of their portfolio. Cuts against smart money, which is 30% NO (79 whales).

5d agoStarryPathBUYNo86.0¢$21,951

New position: $22k on NO at 86¢. Cuts against smart money, which is 20% NO (70 whales).

5d agotimetowanderBUYNo86.0¢$21,500

Re-entered with $22k on NO at 86¢ — 65% of their portfolio. Cuts against smart money, which is 25% NO (73 whales).

6d agojsmythysonBUYYes12.0¢$21,084

Increased YES from $64k → $85k at 12¢ — their 4th add this week, 32% of their portfolio. Smart money is 78% YES (73 whales).

6d ago0xf5592765133941c40C77e52Bc56bbe7EC167F462-1755612447740SELLNo86.0¢$20,383

Trimmed NO from $35k → $14k at 86¢ — their 3rd sale this week. Smart money is 23% NO (75 whales).

6d ago0xf5592765133941c40C77e52Bc56bbe7EC167F462-1755612447740SELLNo86.0¢$20,290

Trimmed NO from $55k → $35k at 86¢ — their 2nd sale this week. Smart money is 25% NO (76 whales).

6d ago0xf5592765133941c40C77e52Bc56bbe7EC167F462-1755612447740SELLNo86.0¢$20,282

Trimmed NO from $84k → $64k at 86¢. Smart money is 28% NO (76 whales).

1d agoarjennnnnBUYNo94.0¢$18,800

Re-entered with $19k on NO at 94¢ — their 2nd add this week. Cuts against smart money, which is 43% NO (78 whales).

5d agotimetowanderBUYNo87.0¢$18,270

Increased NO from $10k → $28k at 87¢ — their 2nd add this week, 41% of their portfolio. Cuts against smart money, which is 27% NO (74 whales).

3d agoMysticFindBUYNo89.0¢$17,800

Bought $18k of NO at 89¢ while still holding the other side — 6% of their portfolio. Cuts against smart money, which is 27% NO (80 whales).

3d agob3908BUYNo94.0¢$17,418

New position: $17k on NO at 94¢ — 88% of their portfolio. Cuts against smart money, which is 31% NO (79 whales).

6d ago0xf5592765133941c40C77e52Bc56bbe7EC167F462-1755612447740SELLNo87.0¢$14,329

Exited NO, selling a $14k position at 87¢ — their 4th sale this week. Smart money is 21% NO (75 whales).

4d agoallenzzzBUYNo89.0¢$13,350

Bought $13k of NO at 89¢. Cuts against smart money, which is 32% NO (79 whales).

4d agowan123BUYYes13.0¢$13,000

Bought $13k of YES at 13¢ while still holding the other side. Smart money is 69% YES (79 whales).

6d agojsmythysonBUYYes14.0¢$12,762

Increased YES from $105k → $118k at 14¢ — their 5th add this week, 12% of their portfolio. Smart money is 80% YES (72 whales).

Top holders

Yes
No