WhaleWatcher

Erasmus.

74Qualified whaleProven traderSpecialist
0xc6587b11a2209e46dfe3928b31c5514a8e33b784· stats updated 12h ago
Realized PnL
+$5,279,006
closed + open positions
Return on capital
5%
realized PnL ÷ capital deployed
Win rate
100%
500 of 500 resolved
Resolved markets
500
Portfolio value
$530,034
Capital deployed
$102,365,447
lifetime cost of all positions
Tracked whale volume
$249,122
volume seen by WhaleWatcher
Open positions
13

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 30.0/30Return 4.3/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -5.1Total 74.2 / 100

Current positions

MarketOutcomeAvg priceValueUnrealized PnLTrade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No74.2¢$266,635+$55,044Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes51.6¢$101,503+$1,668Trade ↗
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No90.5¢$71,880+$4,799Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes41.0¢$28,725+$2,803Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No82.7¢$25,393+$2,924Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No50.0¢$24,533+$2,026Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes30.0¢$4,270+$70Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes48.4¢$2,584+$105Trade ↗
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes37.5¢$2,026-$11,800Trade ↗
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes93.0¢$1,321-$83Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?No91.0¢$1,125+$69Trade ↗
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes65.1¢$38-$68Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes15.0¢$1-$0Trade ↗
Bill Belichick engaged in 2025?Yes34.2¢$0-$157Trade ↗
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes12.5¢$0-$6,584Trade ↗
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?Yes5.4¢$0-$251Trade ↗
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?Yes10.0¢$0-$302Trade ↗
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?Yes9.0¢$0-$2,317Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes43.7¢$0-$176,834Trade ↗
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?Yes27.9¢$0-$571Trade ↗
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?Yes4.5¢$0-$116Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Yes1.6¢$0-$629Trade ↗
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?Yes34.5¢$0-$16,114Trade ↗
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?Yes18.0¢$0-$369Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?Yes65.1¢$0-$1,339Trade ↗
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?Yes0.8¢$0-$286Trade ↗
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?Yes54.7¢$0-$1,801Trade ↗
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes16.5¢$0-$33,593Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?Yes22.6¢$0-$178Trade ↗
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?Yes48.6¢$0-$9,745Trade ↗
Weed rescheduled in 2025?Yes28.0¢$0-$28Trade ↗
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes21.6¢$0-$378,477Trade ↗
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes12.4¢$0-$4,332Trade ↗
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Yes33.6¢$0-$5,555Trade ↗
Will the government shutdown end November 12?Yes42.2¢$0-$56,088Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes15.8¢$0-$51,211Trade ↗
Will Eric Adams drop out by September 30?No83.0¢$0-$8,786Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes17.0¢$0-$55,371Trade ↗
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?Yes20.0¢$0-$20Trade ↗
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Yes15.7¢$0-$792Trade ↗
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?Yes52.8¢$0-$928Trade ↗
US national XRP reserve in 2025?Yes13.2¢$0-$537Trade ↗
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Yes9.8¢$0-$197Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes41.0¢$0-$2,465Trade ↗
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?No3.0¢$0-$403Trade ↗
Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?No42.0¢$0-$4,200Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?Yes27.0¢$0-$656Trade ↗
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Yes18.0¢$0-$167Trade ↗
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?Yes1.2¢$0-$516Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes48.4¢$0-$88,011Trade ↗
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?Yes8.5¢$0-$121Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes30.7¢$0-$7,921Trade ↗
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Yes32.8¢$0-$3,607Trade ↗
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes2.1¢$0-$4,613Trade ↗
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?Yes62.0¢$0-$20,032Trade ↗
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes40.3¢$0-$656Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?Yes7.8¢$0-$196Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Yes12.0¢$0-$626Trade ↗
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes6.6¢$0-$37,713Trade ↗
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?No60.0¢$0-$990Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes11.6¢$0-$11,559Trade ↗
Israel strikes Iran by October 31?Yes19.0¢$0-$3Trade ↗
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?Yes8.8¢$0-$615Trade ↗
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?Yes24.7¢$0-$5,869Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)