WhaleWatcher

arjennnnn

60Qualified whaleProven trader
0x24ded84d901a743cfee095f8082b0f9f647183cb· stats updated 3d ago
Realized PnL
+$393,839
closed + open positions
Return on capital
5%
realized PnL ÷ capital deployed
Win rate
100%
500 of 500 resolved
Resolved markets
500
Portfolio value
$469,728
Capital deployed
$7,998,077
lifetime cost of all positions
Tracked whale volume
$440,710
volume seen by WhaleWatcher
Open positions
18

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 22.4/30Return 4.1/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -11.9Total 59.6 / 100

Current positions

MarketOutcomeAvg priceValueUnrealized PnLTrade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes56.9¢$397,160+$155,596Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Yes95.8¢$59,540+$1,058Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?No93.0¢$4,702+$52Trade ↗
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?Yes92.7¢$2,827-$138Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes78.1¢$2,491+$2Trade ↗
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Top Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group StageHanwha Life Esports78.0¢$1,946+$12Trade ↗
Will Gen.G Go 0-3 in the Worlds 2026 Swiss Stage?No95.7¢$870+$29Trade ↗
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes22.5¢$52-$23,158Trade ↗
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-03?Yes63.0¢$20-$0Trade ↗
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes1.3¢$3-$60Trade ↗
Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes1.3¢$3-$60Trade ↗
Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes1.3¢$3-$60Trade ↗
Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes1.3¢$3-$60Trade ↗
Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes1.3¢$3-$60Trade ↗
Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes1.3¢$3-$60Trade ↗
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes1.3¢$3-$60Trade ↗
Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes1.3¢$3-$60Trade ↗
Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes1.3¢$2-$48Trade ↗
Will the International Association of Judges win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes1.4¢$0-$11Trade ↗
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Gen.G84.9¢$0-$132Trade ↗
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?Yes59.0¢$0-$358Trade ↗
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos AlcarazCarlos Alcaraz77.0¢$0-$111Trade ↗
Will Chow Hang-tung win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes1.4¢$0-$11Trade ↗
Will Raphinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes0.0¢$0$0Trade ↗
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes1.4¢$0-$8Trade ↗
Will the International Criminal Court win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes1.4¢$0-$11Trade ↗
Will the International Peace Research Association win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes1.4¢$0-$11Trade ↗
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes3.2¢$0-$854Trade ↗
Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes1.4¢$0-$11Trade ↗
Will Yad Vashem win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes1.4¢$0-$11Trade ↗
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes3.2¢$0-$854Trade ↗
Will Amazon Prime Video be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?Yes9.9¢$0-$2Trade ↗
Trump renames AI by September 30?No78.1¢$0-$391Trade ↗
Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes1.4¢$0-$11Trade ↗
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes3.2¢$0-$854Trade ↗
Will Mohamed Salah win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes0.0¢$0$0Trade ↗
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes1.4¢$0-$11Trade ↗
Will Bukayo Saka win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes0.0¢$0$0Trade ↗
Will Cristiano Ronaldo win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes0.0¢$0$0Trade ↗
Will Committee to Protect Journalists win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes1.4¢$0-$9Trade ↗
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes1.4¢$0-$11Trade ↗
Will ICRC win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes1.4¢$0-$11Trade ↗
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London PlayoffsFUT Esports80.0¢$0-$3Trade ↗
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes3.2¢$0-$854Trade ↗
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes1.4¢$0-$11Trade ↗
Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague South America Closed Qualifier PlayoffsPlayTime70.0¢$0-$1Trade ↗
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes3.2¢$0-$424Trade ↗
Will Julian Alvarez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes0.0¢$0$0Trade ↗
Will the Parents Circle – Families Forum win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes1.4¢$0-$11Trade ↗
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes1.4¢$0-$11Trade ↗
Will Desire Doue win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes0.0¢$0$0Trade ↗
Will Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes1.4¢$0-$11Trade ↗
Will Jimmy Lai win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes1.4¢$0-$11Trade ↗
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes3.2¢$0-$854Trade ↗
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes1.4¢$0-$11Trade ↗
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes1.4¢$0-$11Trade ↗
Will Federico Valverde win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes0.0¢$0$0Trade ↗
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes3.2¢$0-$424Trade ↗
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes1.4¢$0-$7Trade ↗
Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?Yes9.9¢$0-$5Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?No64.0¢$0-$6Trade ↗
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes1.4¢$0-$11Trade ↗
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes3.2¢$0-$854Trade ↗
Will the International Space Station win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes1.4¢$0-$10Trade ↗
Will Ilham Tohti win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes1.4¢$0-$11Trade ↗
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes3.2¢$0-$854Trade ↗
Will Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes1.4¢$0-$11Trade ↗
Will Pedri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes0.0¢$0$0Trade ↗
Will UNHCR win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes1.4¢$0-$11Trade ↗
Will Reporters Without Borders win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes1.4¢$0-$11Trade ↗
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group AscendAnyone's Legend87.3¢$0-$147Trade ↗
Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes3.2¢$0-$424Trade ↗
Will World Central Kitchen win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes1.4¢$0-$11Trade ↗
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes3.2¢$0-$424Trade ↗
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?Yes60.0¢$0-$45Trade ↗
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes3.2¢$0-$854Trade ↗
Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes3.2¢$0-$854Trade ↗
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes3.2¢$0-$854Trade ↗
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes1.4¢$0-$11Trade ↗
Will Doctors Without Borders win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes1.4¢$0-$11Trade ↗
Will Rodrygo win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes0.0¢$0$0Trade ↗
Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes1.4¢$0-$11Trade ↗
Will Cole Palmer win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes0.0¢$0$0Trade ↗
Will Hussam Abu Safiya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes1.4¢$0-$11Trade ↗
Will Enzo Fernandez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes0.0¢$0$0Trade ↗
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes1.4¢$0-$11Trade ↗
Will Sara Al-Saqqa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes1.4¢$0-$11Trade ↗
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes3.2¢$0-$854Trade ↗
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes1.4¢$0-$11Trade ↗
Will Dominik Szoboszlai win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes0.0¢$0$0Trade ↗
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes1.4¢$0-$11Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)