WhaleWatcher

qmarktea2

71Qualified whaleProven trader
0xed107a85a4585a381e48c7f7ca4144909e7dd2e5· stats updated 1d ago
Realized PnL
+$2,449,558
closed + open positions
Return on capital
1%
realized PnL ÷ capital deployed
Win rate
100%
500 of 500 resolved
Resolved markets
500
Portfolio value
$7,014,054
Capital deployed
$374,573,035
lifetime cost of all positions
Tracked whale volume
$577,350
volume seen by WhaleWatcher
Open positions
96

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 30.0/30Return 0.5/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -4.2Total 71.3 / 100

Current positions

MarketOutcomeAvg priceValueUnrealized PnLTrade
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No50.0¢$3,227,875+$1,102,875Trade ↗
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes50.0¢$1,022,125-$1,102,875Trade ↗
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No98.8¢$831,058+$6,297Trade ↗
Trump out as President before 2027?No91.8¢$226,563+$6,588Trade ↗
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?No93.2¢$219,057+$13,133Trade ↗
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No96.6¢$197,688+$5,460Trade ↗
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No88.1¢$184,281+$16,234Trade ↗
Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?No98.2¢$149,808+$1,591Trade ↗
Trump out as President by September 30?No98.9¢$147,874+$423Trade ↗
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No91.4¢$120,100+$7,978Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No99.6¢$89,164+$330Trade ↗
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?No99.4¢$86,754+$162Trade ↗
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Yes94.4¢$78,858+$2,207Trade ↗
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?No95.7¢$45,979+$1,488Trade ↗
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?No90.6¢$41,177+$2,994Trade ↗
China x Japan military clash before 2027?No92.5¢$32,409+$340Trade ↗
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No99.0¢$28,743+$248Trade ↗
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?No89.2¢$24,016+$2,066Trade ↗
Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?No99.2¢$18,719+$143Trade ↗
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?No93.5¢$18,700+$1Trade ↗
Will Fomo launch a token by September 30 2026?No96.6¢$16,133+$408Trade ↗
Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026?No98.3¢$15,035+$72Trade ↗
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?No84.4¢$14,688+$1,571Trade ↗
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?No56.4¢$13,925+$4,286Trade ↗
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?No94.2¢$11,495+$258Trade ↗
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?No89.3¢$9,886+$737Trade ↗
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?No98.2¢$8,820+$111Trade ↗
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?No97.8¢$8,078+$120Trade ↗
Major CEX insolvent in 2026?No91.9¢$8,074+$346Trade ↗
Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?No94.8¢$7,100+$317Trade ↗
GTA VI released by October 31?No96.7¢$5,412+$91Trade ↗
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No85.6¢$5,397-$138Trade ↗
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31?No92.0¢$5,233+$84Trade ↗
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?No98.1¢$4,934+$47Trade ↗
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?No84.6¢$4,500+$270Trade ↗
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?No91.8¢$4,205+$99Trade ↗
Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?No98.5¢$3,948+$8Trade ↗
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by October 31?No96.6¢$3,882+$58Trade ↗
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?No85.5¢$3,755+$320Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes49.5¢$3,375-$4,050Trade ↗
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?No93.9¢$3,269-$17Trade ↗
Will Pacifica launch a token by September 30 2026?No97.9¢$3,194+$46Trade ↗
Will Dreamcash launch a token by December 31, 2026?No87.8¢$2,810+$39Trade ↗
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026?No92.9¢$2,690+$46Trade ↗
Will Steph Curry's next team be Golden State Warriors?Yes93.8¢$2,507+$32Trade ↗
Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2Pacquiao49.0¢$2,416+$24Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?No93.0¢$2,392+$63Trade ↗
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?No88.8¢$2,364+$186Trade ↗
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?Yes87.7¢$2,364+$146Trade ↗
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?No92.4¢$2,350+$52Trade ↗
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?No93.0¢$2,075+$68Trade ↗
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No86.2¢$2,033+$228Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?No92.5¢$1,944+$94Trade ↗
Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027?No94.0¢$1,917+$64Trade ↗
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?No90.3¢$1,917+$110Trade ↗
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No94.0¢$1,911+$31Trade ↗
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?No86.5¢$1,866+$128Trade ↗
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?No94.7¢$1,737+$18Trade ↗
Will Trump pardon Himself before 2027?No93.9¢$1,706+$52Trade ↗
Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2026?No91.8¢$1,674+$46Trade ↗
Will Dreamcash launch a token by September 30, 2026?No97.5¢$1,435+$34Trade ↗
Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by December 31, 2026?No96.0¢$1,338+$6Trade ↗
Base FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes64.8¢$1,253-$122Trade ↗
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?Yes97.5¢$1,159+$25Trade ↗
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?No74.8¢$1,096+$179Trade ↗
Waymo IPO before 2027?No80.2¢$1,038+$179Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?No79.8¢$962+$162Trade ↗
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?No95.3¢$960+$7Trade ↗
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?No89.4¢$940+$14Trade ↗
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027?Yes44.1¢$918-$147Trade ↗
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?No79.4¢$895+$101Trade ↗
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027?Yes62.5¢$728-$6Trade ↗
Will Rabby launch a token by September 30, 2026?No98.0¢$720+$11Trade ↗
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No92.0¢$636+$41Trade ↗
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?No91.0¢$631+$4Trade ↗
Will QFEX launch a token by December 31, 2026?No93.1¢$615+$21Trade ↗
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?No99.0¢$550+$2Trade ↗
Will QFEX launch a token by September 30, 2026?No96.7¢$538+$15Trade ↗
US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?No95.7¢$514+$4Trade ↗
Phoebe Gates arrested by December 31?No95.0¢$467+$12Trade ↗
Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026?No81.7¢$416+$28Trade ↗
Will Consensys IPO by September 30 2026?No98.6¢$398+$3Trade ↗
Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?No81.7¢$386+$43Trade ↗
Record crypto liquidation in 2026?No90.0¢$240+$5Trade ↗
Obama arrested before 2027?No93.0¢$197+$9Trade ↗
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 15?No99.3¢$181+$1Trade ↗
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?No91.5¢$170+$7Trade ↗
Anduril Industries IPO before 2027?No81.9¢$164+$22Trade ↗
Will Ventuals launch a token by September 30 2026?No96.1¢$153+$5Trade ↗
Will Lisa Cook be arrested before 2027?No94.0¢$119+$3Trade ↗
GTA VI released by September 30?No99.0¢$91+$1Trade ↗
Will Coingecko be acquired in 2026?No78.9¢$80+$7Trade ↗
Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?No91.0¢$52+$3Trade ↗
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?No99.0¢$44+$0Trade ↗
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in August?No99.0¢$5+$0Trade ↗
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?No93.0¢$5+$0Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

TimeMarketSideOutcomePriceSize
1d agoWill Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?SELLNo99.6¢$60,777
2d agoWill Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?BUYNo99.0¢$12,596
3d agoWill Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?BUYNo98.8¢$17,223
3d agoWill Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?BUYNo98.9¢$69,230
4d agoWill Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?BUYNo98.9¢$79,202
4d agoTrump out as President by September 30?BUYNo98.9¢$27,860
4d agoTrump out as President by September 30?BUYNo98.7¢$18,882
5d agoFed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?BUYNo99.6¢$16,418
5d agoFed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?BUYNo99.4¢$15,090
10d agoTrump out as President by August 31?BUYNo99.9¢$34,039
10d agoWill Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in August 2026?BUYNo99.9¢$10,238
11d agoKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?BUYNo99.9¢$24,975
12d agoFed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?BUYNo99.3¢$13,601
13d agoTrump out as President by August 31?BUYNo99.7¢$46,276
13d agoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUYNo99.6¢$23,744
14d agoWill Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?BUYNo98.7¢$28,984
15d agoUkraine election called by August 31, 2026?BUYNo99.7¢$34,306
18d agoWill Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?BUYNo98.5¢$17,265
18d agoWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?BUYNo98.4¢$26,644