End123

56Qualified whaleProven trader

0x8df73e2962d0184ea1f71621784d46ca6b5936c4· stats updated 1d ago

Realized PnL

+$121,465

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

82%

410 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$258,309

Capital deployed

$2,417,313

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$101,431

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

113

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 12.9/30Return 4.2/25Consistency 20.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -1.3Total 55.7 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	90.7¢	$81,641	+$706	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	87.0¢	$41,555	+$2,889	Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	83.0¢	$27,500	-$167	Trade ↗
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	81.8¢	$22,418	+$3,626	Trade ↗
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	96.0¢	$21,753	+$384	Trade ↗
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	82.0¢	$7,865	+$1,073	Trade ↗
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	77.7¢	$5,982	+$1,146	Trade ↗
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	79.1¢	$5,644	+$917	Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	No	91.0¢	$4,865	+$315	Trade ↗
Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League MVP Award?	Yes	81.1¢	$3,853	+$598	Trade ↗
Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?	No	86.0¢	$2,086	+$117	Trade ↗
Will Jaylen Warren have 399.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	85.0¢	$1,961	+$292	Trade ↗
Will Quentin Johnston have 249.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	80.9¢	$1,317	+$220	Trade ↗
Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $75B by December 31?	No	88.0¢	$1,293	+$144	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	88.0¢	$1,275	+$49	Trade ↗
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?	No	91.0¢	$1,220	+$90	Trade ↗
Will Zay Flowers have 774.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	72.6¢	$1,198	+$192	Trade ↗
Will Courtland Sutton have 374.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	80.5¢	$1,139	+$47	Trade ↗
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $100B by December 31?	No	89.0¢	$1,096	+$102	Trade ↗
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?	Anthropic	81.9¢	$1,078	+$129	Trade ↗
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $22.5B by December 31?	No	94.0¢	$1,064	+$16	Trade ↗
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (LOW) $300B by December 31?	No	85.1¢	$1,058	+$153	Trade ↗
Will Jordan Addison have 474.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	75.4¢	$884	-$5	Trade ↗
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $25B by December 31?	No	95.4¢	$876	+$12	Trade ↗
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $32.5B by December 31?	No	80.8¢	$823	+$36	Trade ↗
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $400B by December 31?	No	92.0¢	$813	+$51	Trade ↗
Will Christian Watson have 399.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	99.9¢	$790	-$14	Trade ↗
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award?	No	79.6¢	$653	+$131	Trade ↗
MLB: Perfect Game thrown in 2026 season?	No	81.1¢	$645	+$10	Trade ↗
Will Omarion Hampton have 7.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	52.5¢	$602	-$133	Trade ↗
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $40B by December 31?	No	89.3¢	$585	+$38	Trade ↗
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31?	No	44.0¢	$565	+$87	Trade ↗
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (LOW) $400B by December 31?	No	75.2¢	$558	+$125	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	No	79.7¢	$552	+$38	Trade ↗
Will Christian Watson have 599.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	71.2¢	$545	+$145	Trade ↗
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31?	No	62.0¢	$530	+$186	Trade ↗
Will Chuba Hubbard have 624.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	59.4¢	$480	+$130	Trade ↗
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by December 31?	No	82.0¢	$471	+$76	Trade ↗
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by December 31?	Yes	47.3¢	$460	+$166	Trade ↗
Will Pittsburgh Steelers advance to the AFC Championship Game in the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	No	78.0¢	$441	+$91	Trade ↗
Will Jaylen Waddle have 674.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	64.5¢	$412	-$63	Trade ↗
Will Travis Kelce have 474.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	71.9¢	$370	+$83	Trade ↗
Will Tre Tucker have 574.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	52.2¢	$365	+$63	Trade ↗
Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31?	No	77.3¢	$362	-$138	Trade ↗
Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child?	No	83.1¢	$345	+$53	Trade ↗
Justin & Hailey Bieber split in 2026?	No	86.5¢	$343	-$13	Trade ↗
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?	No	77.6¢	$314	+$57	Trade ↗
Will Makai Lemon have 449.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	67.1¢	$304	-$48	Trade ↗
Will Jacory Croskey-Merritt have 574.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	49.9¢	$300	+$60	Trade ↗
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by December 31?	No	77.1¢	$282	+$56	Trade ↗
Will Kenneth Walker III have 524.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	78.6¢	$281	+$52	Trade ↗
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $30B by December 31?	No	85.8¢	$245	-$13	Trade ↗
Will Frontier Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?	No	87.0¢	$222	+$15	Trade ↗
Will Los Angeles Chargers advance to the AFC Championship Game in the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	No	88.5¢	$220	+$22	Trade ↗
Will Rico Dowdle have 549.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	71.3¢	$201	+$10	Trade ↗
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $250B by December 31?	No	85.7¢	$190	+$22	Trade ↗
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	5.6¢	$183	+$67	Trade ↗
Will Jacory Croskey-Merritt have 374.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	74.7¢	$183	+$14	Trade ↗
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $22.5B by December 31?	No	68.0¢	$181	-$166	Trade ↗
Will Chuba Hubbard have 424.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	84.0¢	$171	-$10	Trade ↗
Will Chase Brown have 5.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	53.0¢	$168	+$8	Trade ↗
Will Mike Evans have 424.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	80.3¢	$161	+$9	Trade ↗
Will Colston Loveland have 399.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	81.6¢	$139	+$10	Trade ↗
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $12.5B by December 31?	No	76.0¢	$131	+$29	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?	No	88.0¢	$119	+$8	Trade ↗
Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $75B by December 31?	No	80.0¢	$113	+$20	Trade ↗
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $25B by December 31?	No	77.1¢	$113	-$36	Trade ↗
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	Yes	56.9¢	$109	+$46	Trade ↗
Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $60B by December 31?	No	82.0¢	$104	+$17	Trade ↗
Will Romeo Doubs have 249.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	83.2¢	$90	+$4	Trade ↗
Will Bhayshul Tuten have 499.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	71.5¢	$90	+$20	Trade ↗
OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?	Meta	79.0¢	$87	+$14	Trade ↗
Will Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $7B by December 31?	Yes	66.9¢	$80	-$348	Trade ↗
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?	Yes	85.7¢	$73	-$6,149	Trade ↗
Will George Kittle have 524.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	62.1¢	$68	+$22	Trade ↗
Will Chase Brown have 424.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	63.6¢	$66	+$22	Trade ↗
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $225B by December 31?	No	66.0¢	$63	+$14	Trade ↗
Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026?	No	85.9¢	$61	+$8	Trade ↗
Will Jordan Addison have 274.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	83.3¢	$60	+$4	Trade ↗
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by December 31?	No	79.7¢	$53	+$7	Trade ↗
Will Bobby Witt Jr. win the 2026 AL Platinum Glove award?	Yes	46.0¢	$50	-$13	Trade ↗
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by December 31?	No	81.1¢	$50	+$8	Trade ↗
Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31?	No	85.2¢	$50	+$5	Trade ↗
Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $70B by December 31?	No	88.0¢	$48	+$4	Trade ↗
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award?	Yes	80.0¢	$43	+$7	Trade ↗
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $700B by December 31?	Yes	30.0¢	$42	-$125	Trade ↗
Will Romeo Doubs have 449.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	69.1¢	$41	+$1	Trade ↗
Will American Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?	No	91.0¢	$39	+$2	Trade ↗
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?	No	80.0¢	$39	+$7	Trade ↗
Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $150B by December 31?	No	84.0¢	$37	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $13.5B by December 31?	Yes	76.0¢	$34	-$122	Trade ↗
Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $70B by December 31?	No	84.8¢	$33	+$4	Trade ↗
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $125B by December 31?	Yes	50.3¢	$32	-$5	Trade ↗
Will the season series between the Cardinals and Seahawks end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	26.0¢	$31	+$18	Trade ↗
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $35B by December 31?	Yes	51.0¢	$30	-$57	Trade ↗
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $190B by December 31?	Yes	67.2¢	$30	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $5B by December 31?	No	84.0¢	$29	+$4	Trade ↗
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $75B by December 31?	No	78.0¢	$19	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $45B by December 31?	No	36.0¢	$18	+$12	Trade ↗
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by December 31?	No	29.0¢	$13	+$6	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
9d ago	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	BUY	Yes	91.0¢	$50,555
18d ago	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	BUY	Yes	93.0¢	$13,950
37d ago	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	BUY	No	96.0¢	$20,187
44d ago	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	BUY	No	82.0¢	$16,739