CDAP1

28Qualified whaleProven trader

0xe033e9d4a0e8b30c417f3f7abcb029bc695940a5· stats updated 12h ago

Realized PnL

+$231,836

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

74%

17 of 23 resolved

Resolved markets

Portfolio value

$250,959

Capital deployed

$7,900,787

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$252,602

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 18.1/30Return 2.5/25Consistency 14.9/25Sample size 5.6/20Concentration -13.2Total 27.9 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	64.6¢	$228,455	+$35,474	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	33.0¢	$13,576	-$2,158	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	7.0¢	$5,496	-$3,053	Trade ↗
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?	No	49.3¢	$1,370	+$678	Trade ↗
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?	Yes	3.2¢	$742	+$620	Trade ↗
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	15.2¢	$387	+$326	Trade ↗
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?	No	88.0¢	$384	+$14	Trade ↗
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	5.4¢	$372	-$337	Trade ↗
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?	Yes	20.0¢	$33	-$239	Trade ↗
Will the Fed Hike-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	No	90.5¢	$31	+$2	Trade ↗
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	74.0¢	$25	+$1	Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	57.4¢	$22	+$3	Trade ↗
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?	Yes	70.5¢	$20	-$0	Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	21.1¢	$17	-$1	Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	7.8¢	$14	-$6	Trade ↗
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	Yes	19.0¢	$6	-$0	Trade ↗
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	Yes	4.2¢	$3	-$6	Trade ↗
Will the Fed Pause-Pause-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	Yes	7.9¢	$3	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	3.0¢	$2	-$125	Trade ↗
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	Yes	3.3¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	Yes	7.0¢	$0	-$11	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	15.5¢	$0	-$48,887	Trade ↗
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	1.6¢	$0	-$478	Trade ↗
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	16.0¢	$0	-$15	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	2.9¢	$0	-$6,582	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	0.5¢	$0	-$9,515	Trade ↗
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	2.1¢	$0	-$1,886	Trade ↗
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	0.9¢	$0	-$58	Trade ↗
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?	Yes	18.9¢	$0	-$331	Trade ↗
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?	Yes	10.6¢	$0	-$166	Trade ↗
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	0.8¢	$0	-$1,600	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	0.8¢	$0	-$5,646	Trade ↗
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	Yes	3.5¢	$0	-$51	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	2.1¢	$0	-$14,705	Trade ↗
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	0.5¢	$0	-$18	Trade ↗
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	63.9¢	$0	-$111	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
3d ago	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	SELL	Yes	76.1¢	$25,042
6d ago	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	BUY	Yes	77.0¢	$14,478
20d ago	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	BUY	Yes	74.0¢	$11,482
27d ago	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	BUY	Yes	70.0¢	$69,997
33d ago	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	BUY	Yes	69.4¢	$14,344
44d ago	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	SELL	Yes	81.0¢	$15,387
44d ago	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	SELL	Yes	80.0¢	$13,591
45d ago	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	BUY	Yes	50.0¢	$10,000
52d ago	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	BUY	Yes	49.0¢	$10,780
52d ago	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	BUY	Yes	49.0¢	$10,774
55d ago	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	BUY	Yes	53.0¢	$10,326
60d ago	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	SELL	Yes	34.0¢	$34,000
74d ago	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	SELL	Yes	31.0¢	$12,400