CDAP1

18Qualified whaleSpecialist

0xe033e9d4a0e8b30c417f3f7abcb029bc695940a5· stats updated 6d ago

Realized PnL

+$86,592

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

68%

13 of 19 resolved

Resolved markets

Portfolio value

$133,406

Capital deployed

$6,565,956

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$78,280

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 10.1/30Return 1.1/25Consistency 11.5/25Sample size 4.3/20Concentration -9.5Total 17.5 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	44.5¢	$96,442	-$4,468	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	35.7¢	$25,949	+$4,630	Trade ↗
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	38.9¢	$6,835	+$422	Trade ↗
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?	Yes	2.9¢	$1,574	+$1,464	Trade ↗
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?	No	49.3¢	$1,369	+$677	Trade ↗
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	5.4¢	$593	-$115	Trade ↗
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	15.2¢	$355	+$294	Trade ↗
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	55.0¢	$245	+$109	Trade ↗
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?	Yes	20.0¢	$34	-$238	Trade ↗
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	0.5¢	$7	-$11	Trade ↗
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	3.0¢	$2	-$125	Trade ↗
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	Yes	7.8¢	$0	-$13	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	15.5¢	$0	-$48,887	Trade ↗
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	1.6¢	$0	-$478	Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	No	6.0¢	$0	-$7	Trade ↗
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	16.0¢	$0	-$15	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	2.9¢	$0	-$6,582	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	0.5¢	$0	-$9,515	Trade ↗
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	2.1¢	$0	-$1,886	Trade ↗
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	0.9¢	$0	-$58	Trade ↗
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?	Yes	18.9¢	$0	-$331	Trade ↗
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?	Yes	10.6¢	$0	-$166	Trade ↗
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	0.8¢	$0	-$1,600	Trade ↗
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	Yes	3.5¢	$0	-$51	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	2.1¢	$0	-$14,705	Trade ↗
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	59.3¢	$0	-$103	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
6d ago	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	BUY	Yes	49.0¢	$10,780
6d ago	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	BUY	Yes	49.0¢	$10,774
9d ago	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	BUY	Yes	53.0¢	$10,326
14d ago	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	SELL	Yes	34.0¢	$34,000
28d ago	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	SELL	Yes	31.0¢	$12,400