WhaleWatcher

wan123

77Qualified whaleProven trader
0xde7be6d489bce070a959e0cb813128ae659b5f4b· stats updated 8h ago
Realized PnL
+$5,236,831
closed + open positions
Return on capital
10%
realized PnL ÷ capital deployed
Win rate
79%
216 of 273 resolved
Resolved markets
273
Portfolio value
$1,385,484
Capital deployed
$52,467,474
lifetime cost of all positions
Tracked whale volume
$1,064,081
volume seen by WhaleWatcher
Open positions
82

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 30.0/30Return 8.3/25Consistency 18.2/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 76.5 / 100

Current positions

MarketOutcomeAvg priceValueUnrealized PnLTrade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No69.8¢$282,851+$6,836Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No59.1¢$175,774+$12,206Trade ↗
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No93.9¢$124,199+$4,119Trade ↗
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No43.5¢$112,481+$5,554Trade ↗
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No62.9¢$110,396+$21,949Trade ↗
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No41.3¢$81,334+$45,779Trade ↗
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes9.7¢$40,355+$13,314Trade ↗
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes52.1¢$39,874-$6,286Trade ↗
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes50.3¢$34,863+$16,793Trade ↗
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes37.4¢$28,820+$4,414Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No55.0¢$26,137+$8,279Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes28.0¢$25,500-$2,499Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes41.4¢$22,989+$8,681Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?No69.1¢$21,581-$2,285Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No46.0¢$20,075+$6,189Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No70.6¢$19,783+$2,425Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?No29.5¢$19,451-$2,648Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?No84.0¢$17,341-$867Trade ↗
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes11.1¢$17,278-$42,564Trade ↗
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes45.4¢$14,071-$1,707Trade ↗
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?No21.7¢$10,872+$1,420Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes46.0¢$10,738+$3,311Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Yes46.5¢$10,567+$5,629Trade ↗
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No41.0¢$9,723+$2,475Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?No23.7¢$9,674+$2,322Trade ↗
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes43.1¢$9,273+$460Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No66.0¢$9,231+$2,852Trade ↗
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?No58.7¢$8,262+$3,410Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?Yes74.3¢$6,865+$113Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?No72.5¢$6,258+$240Trade ↗
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No49.0¢$5,090+$1,577Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes15.6¢$4,811-$11,856Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes52.0¢$4,631+$841Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?No12.0¢$4,500-$7,500Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes53.3¢$4,217+$1,528Trade ↗
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?No71.7¢$3,444+$747Trade ↗
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes20.5¢$2,970-$1,711Trade ↗
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Yes28.2¢$2,611-$394Trade ↗
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes2.5¢$2,238-$500Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes20.0¢$2,130-$173Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-03 House seat?Yes79.5¢$1,560+$198Trade ↗
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No23.5¢$1,558-$982Trade ↗
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes72.0¢$1,497+$60Trade ↗
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No65.9¢$1,358+$422Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?No20.0¢$1,233-$100Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?Yes50.0¢$1,064+$528Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes3.0¢$998-$299Trade ↗
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?No49.5¢$995+$325Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the WA-03 House seat?No81.2¢$964+$103Trade ↗
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes29.4¢$941+$618Trade ↗
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes41.0¢$863-$3,303Trade ↗
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes22.0¢$850-$1,350Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes23.1¢$785-$2,507Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-05 House seat?Yes93.0¢$626+$15Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?No51.0¢$596+$76Trade ↗
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?No81.4¢$570+$90Trade ↗
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes46.6¢$551-$349Trade ↗
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?No73.0¢$537+$125Trade ↗
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Yes9.0¢$522-$325Trade ↗
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Yes9.8¢$506-$401Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Yes15.0¢$455-$302Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?No14.9¢$451-$337Trade ↗
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?Yes14.5¢$378-$338Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the AK-AL House seat?No10.1¢$375+$206Trade ↗
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Yes11.5¢$321-$466Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No61.0¢$282+$15Trade ↗
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?Yes9.1¢$224-$335Trade ↗
Will Ra'am be in the next Israeli government?Yes23.9¢$183+$35Trade ↗
Israeli election results in a hung parliament?Yes24.3¢$142+$76Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?Yes26.0¢$128+$19Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the TN-09 House seat?Yes35.7¢$110+$62Trade ↗
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?Yes9.4¢$110-$118Trade ↗
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No46.0¢$110-$110Trade ↗
Will Jared Goff win the 2026 NFL MVP?Yes2.0¢$101+$38Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?No18.8¢$89-$2,132Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?No27.0¢$63-$3,725Trade ↗
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes0.3¢$47+$25Trade ↗
Will Control Resonant win Best Audio Design at the 2026 Game Awards?Yes10.7¢$28-$32Trade ↗
Will Likud be in the next Israeli government?No65.0¢$17+$1Trade ↗
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes11.5¢$14-$3,300Trade ↗
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes4.2¢$14-$369Trade ↗
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes7.8¢$10-$1,541Trade ↗
Rockets vs. LakersRockets47.0¢$0-$22,497Trade ↗
Steelers vs. BuccaneersBuccaneers45.0¢$0-$20,000Trade ↗
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?Yes4.9¢$0-$36,200Trade ↗
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Yes9.5¢$0-$3,840Trade ↗
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?No3.9¢$0-$2,954Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes14.0¢$0-$14,000Trade ↗
Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red RaidersAkron Zips27.1¢$0-$13,500Trade ↗
Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes0.2¢$0-$75Trade ↗
Will Rick Jackson win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?No55.0¢$0-$19Trade ↗
Iran closes its airspace by May 7?Yes5.2¢$0-$216Trade ↗
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?Yes19.8¢$0-$1,167Trade ↗
Spread: Pistons (-11.5)Pistons28.0¢$0-$668Trade ↗
Utah State Aggies vs. Villanova Wildcats: O/U 147.5Under53.2¢$0-$4,997Trade ↗
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?Yes40.0¢$0-$181Trade ↗
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes35.7¢$0-$43,144Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?Yes5.9¢$0-$516Trade ↗
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-10.5)Northern Iowa Panthers51.0¢$0-$10,200Trade ↗
Patriots vs. BearsPatriots41.0¢$0-$13,667Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

TimeMarketSideOutcomePriceSize
2d agoPatriots vs. BearsBUYPatriots41.0¢$13,667
3d agoCavaliers vs. 76ersBUYCavaliers44.0¢$11,733
3d agoWarriors vs. LakersBUYWarriors39.0¢$12,133
4d agoWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUYYes13.0¢$13,000
4d agoThunder vs. SpursBUYThunder51.0¢$11,333
4d agoCeltics vs. PistonsBUYCeltics53.0¢$11,778
4d agoWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUYNo72.0¢$19,477
6d agoCommanders vs. 49ersBUYCommanders22.0¢$22,000
6d agoWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUYNo72.0¢$36,000
6d agoCardinals vs. RamsBUYCardinals49.0¢$16,334
6d agoCardinals vs. RamsBUYRams20.0¢$15,555
6d agoCardinals vs. RamsBUYCardinals14.0¢$10,889
6d agoTitans vs. ColtsBUYTitans28.0¢$14,000
6d agoSteelers vs. BuccaneersBUYBuccaneers45.0¢$20,000
7d agoPanthers vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5BUYOver54.0¢$22,794
7d agoSaints vs. GiantsBUYSaints51.0¢$25,500
7d agoCowboys vs. PackersBUYCowboys50.0¢$25,000
7d agoChargers vs. ChiefsBUYChargers22.0¢$22,000
7d agoBills vs. RaidersBUYRaiders33.0¢$16,500
7d agoPanthers vs. EaglesBUYEagles40.0¢$20,000
7d agoJets vs. PatriotsBUYJets25.0¢$12,500
7d agoSpread: Patriots (-7.5)BUYJets53.0¢$21,960
9d agoSeahawks vs. BroncosBUYSeahawks26.0¢$13,000
9d agoWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELLNo71.0¢$19,794
13d agoBroncos vs. ChargersBUYChargers43.0¢$10,989