wan123

76Qualified whaleProven trader

0xde7be6d489bce070a959e0cb813128ae659b5f4b· stats updated 1d ago

Realized PnL

+$4,171,527

closed + open positions

Return on capital

10%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

79%

178 of 224 resolved

Resolved markets

224

Portfolio value

$732,130

Capital deployed

$43,758,783

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$44,510

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 30.0/30Return 7.9/25Consistency 18.4/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 76.4 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	68.6¢	$133,637	+$7,227	Trade ↗
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	41.3¢	$100,133	+$55,891	Trade ↗
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	99.4¢	$95,906	+$145	Trade ↗
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	61.2¢	$77,995	+$8,273	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	48.5¢	$36,906	+$754	Trade ↗
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	50.3¢	$33,983	+$15,913	Trade ↗
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	37.4¢	$32,802	+$8,396	Trade ↗
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	89.7¢	$26,882	+$1,902	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	46.0¢	$26,250	+$3,251	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	46.0¢	$25,750	+$2,752	Trade ↗
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	16.3¢	$22,788	-$1,121	Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	70.6¢	$21,012	+$3,653	Trade ↗
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	10.0¢	$19,000	-$1,000	Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	41.4¢	$17,803	+$3,496	Trade ↗
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	45.4¢	$16,436	+$1,058	Trade ↗
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	58.7¢	$8,258	+$3,406	Trade ↗
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	62.7¢	$5,528	+$185	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	52.0¢	$5,141	+$1,351	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	30.1¢	$4,104	+$180	Trade ↗
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?	No	71.7¢	$3,143	+$446	Trade ↗
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?	Yes	22.0¢	$2,150	-$50	Trade ↗
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	23.5¢	$1,618	-$923	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-03 House seat?	Yes	79.5¢	$1,483	+$121	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	Yes	7.0¢	$1,462	-$3,530	Trade ↗
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	41.0¢	$1,371	-$2,795	Trade ↗
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	65.9¢	$1,358	+$421	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	46.6¢	$1,133	+$233	Trade ↗
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	No	49.5¢	$1,116	+$447	Trade ↗
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	29.4¢	$935	+$612	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the WA-03 House seat?	No	81.2¢	$932	+$72	Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	23.1¢	$928	-$2,364	Trade ↗
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	9.0¢	$846	-$1	Trade ↗
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?	No	81.4¢	$516	+$36	Trade ↗
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?	No	73.0¢	$513	+$101	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	Yes	15.0¢	$404	-$353	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	No	14.9¢	$398	-$390	Trade ↗
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	4.2¢	$396	+$14	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	61.0¢	$309	+$42	Trade ↗
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	9.1¢	$306	-$252	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the TN-09 House seat?	Yes	35.7¢	$125	+$76	Trade ↗
Will Jared Goff win the 2026 NFL MVP?	Yes	2.0¢	$112	+$49	Trade ↗
Israeli election results in a hung parliament?	Yes	24.3¢	$92	+$26	Trade ↗
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	46.0¢	$80	-$140	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	Yes	14.0¢	$50	-$13,950	Trade ↗
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	11.5¢	$29	-$3,286	Trade ↗
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	7.8¢	$10	-$1,541	Trade ↗
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?	Yes	11.9¢	$0	-$3,974	Trade ↗
Rockets vs. Lakers	Rockets	47.0¢	$0	-$22,497	Trade ↗
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	Yes	4.9¢	$0	-$36,200	Trade ↗
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?	No	3.9¢	$0	-$2,954	Trade ↗
Spread: Pistons (-11.5)	Pistons	28.0¢	$0	-$668	Trade ↗
Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders	Akron Zips	27.1¢	$0	-$13,500	Trade ↗
Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	2.9¢	$0	-$1,329	Trade ↗
Will Rick Jackson win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?	No	55.0¢	$0	-$19	Trade ↗
Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	5.2¢	$0	-$216	Trade ↗
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	19.8¢	$0	-$1,167	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	12.0¢	$0	-$127	Trade ↗
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	Yes	9.5¢	$0	-$3,840	Trade ↗
Utah State Aggies vs. Villanova Wildcats: O/U 147.5	Under	53.2¢	$0	-$4,997	Trade ↗
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	15.0¢	$0	-$5,516	Trade ↗
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	2.9¢	$0	-$1,329	Trade ↗
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	Yes	23.2¢	$0	-$5,952	Trade ↗
Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?	No	18.6¢	$0	-$2,876	Trade ↗
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	40.0¢	$0	-$181	Trade ↗
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	35.7¢	$0	-$43,144	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	Yes	5.9¢	$0	-$516	Trade ↗
Hawks vs. Knicks	Hawks	28.5¢	$0	-$19,017	Trade ↗
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?	Yes	5.7¢	$0	-$4,445	Trade ↗
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	9.2¢	$0	-$56,314	Trade ↗
Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-11.5)	Hofstra Pride	49.0¢	$0	-$14,700	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	Yes	15.5¢	$0	-$66,808	Trade ↗
Will the State of the Union be 130 minutes or longer?	Yes	13.6¢	$0	-$8,620	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	8.7¢	$0	-$485	Trade ↗
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?	Yes	22.1¢	$0	-$431	Trade ↗
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers	Vanderbilt Commodores	24.1¢	$0	-$15,344	Trade ↗
Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	36.0¢	$0	-$18,000	Trade ↗
Jimmy Lai released by June 30?	Yes	4.3¢	$0	-$489	Trade ↗
Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	22.7¢	$0	-$8,559	Trade ↗
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?	Yes	46.3¢	$0	-$1,492	Trade ↗
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	32.3¢	$0	-$4,613	Trade ↗
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?	Yes	5.3¢	$0	-$58	Trade ↗
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	9.4¢	$0	-$15,963	Trade ↗
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	Yes	26.1¢	$0	-$148	Trade ↗
Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	2.9¢	$0	-$1,329	Trade ↗
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?	Yes	11.0¢	$0	-$11,326	Trade ↗
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?	Yes	31.1¢	$0	-$6,220	Trade ↗
Knicks vs. 76ers	76ers	32.3¢	$0	-$23,260	Trade ↗
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	Yes	36.8¢	$0	-$1,156	Trade ↗
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?	Yes	1.8¢	$0	-$766	Trade ↗
Pistons vs. Magic	Pistons	44.8¢	$0	-$22,000	Trade ↗
Will Jordan strike Iran by March 31?	Yes	11.0¢	$0	-$243	Trade ↗
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-9.5)	Northern Iowa Panthers	45.4¢	$0	-$9,999	Trade ↗
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	31.2¢	$0	-$24,768	Trade ↗
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	6.9¢	$0	-$808	Trade ↗
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	36.9¢	$0	-$6,342	Trade ↗
Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 5% and 10.00%?	No	32.0¢	$0	-$320	Trade ↗
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	No	26.2¢	$0	-$15,113	Trade ↗
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	26.2¢	$0	-$10,339	Trade ↗
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	Timberwolves	18.8¢	$0	-$28,024	Trade ↗
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-10.5)	Northern Iowa Panthers	51.0¢	$0	-$10,200	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
18d ago	Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffs	BUY	Team Yandex	30.0¢	$15,000
19d ago	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffs	BUY	Team Liquid	37.0¢	$18,500
27d ago	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	BUY	No	70.0¢	$11,010