WhaleWatcher

ImJustKen

89Qualified whaleProven trader
0x9d84ce0306f8551e02efef1680475fc0f1dc1344· stats updated 21h ago
Realized PnL
+$20,529,158
closed + open positions
Return on capital
17%
realized PnL ÷ capital deployed
Win rate
100%
500 of 500 resolved
Resolved markets
500
Portfolio value
$906,751
Capital deployed
$122,545,457
lifetime cost of all positions
Tracked whale volume
$406,908
volume seen by WhaleWatcher
Open positions
398

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 30.0/30Return 14.0/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 89.0 / 100

Current positions

MarketOutcomeAvg priceValueUnrealized PnLTrade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No81.8¢$105,968+$4,524Trade ↗
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?No67.5¢$88,373+$25,253Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes66.8¢$83,118-$36,364Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No63.4¢$60,294-$21,985Trade ↗
No one announced as next James Bond?No75.5¢$45,576+$2,014Trade ↗
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes21.7¢$34,078-$16,975Trade ↗
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes4.9¢$26,800+$25,195Trade ↗
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No90.1¢$22,038-$488Trade ↗
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes3.8¢$16,019+$4,648Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes31.1¢$13,863-$1,270Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes22.1¢$13,291-$3,469Trade ↗
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No84.5¢$11,539-$62Trade ↗
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes9.9¢$9,514-$1,378Trade ↗
Fed rate hike in 2026?No43.3¢$9,097-$4,254Trade ↗
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes51.7¢$8,846+$370Trade ↗
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10.7¢$8,761+$2,235Trade ↗
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?No71.1¢$8,506+$1,971Trade ↗
New pandemic in 2026?No89.3¢$7,881+$398Trade ↗
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?No33.0¢$7,861+$2,032Trade ↗
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes83.2¢$7,625+$121Trade ↗
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes20.1¢$7,565-$15,833Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?No19.1¢$7,557-$1,170Trade ↗
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1.6¢$7,336+$2,668Trade ↗
Iran Nuke before 2027?No85.7¢$7,320+$754Trade ↗
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?No46.8¢$7,120+$590Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes17.4¢$7,079-$2,761Trade ↗
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?No39.3¢$6,718+$4,008Trade ↗
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes7.0¢$6,500-$483Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?No32.9¢$5,879+$279Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes72.0¢$5,738+$338Trade ↗
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Yes22.8¢$5,146+$2,225Trade ↗
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes90.7¢$5,122+$153Trade ↗
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?No90.1¢$4,835+$224Trade ↗
Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes82.4¢$4,820+$226Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?Yes86.2¢$4,631-$241Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026?Yes94.6¢$4,556+$79Trade ↗
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?Yes39.2¢$4,134+$26Trade ↗
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No11.0¢$4,053-$2,271Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No64.5¢$4,002+$58Trade ↗
Stripe IPO before 2027?No83.4¢$3,953+$491Trade ↗
Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?No68.7¢$3,881+$252Trade ↗
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes0.7¢$3,864+$368Trade ↗
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?No65.6¢$3,711-$838Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-06 House seat?Yes94.2¢$3,636+$26Trade ↗
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1.7¢$3,605+$2,511Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-03 House seat?Yes94.0¢$3,604+$19Trade ↗
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2.6¢$3,499+$832Trade ↗
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes4.3¢$3,356-$5,073Trade ↗
Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?No61.8¢$3,347+$238Trade ↗
Will “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series?Yes38.8¢$3,337+$1,758Trade ↗
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027Yes12.0¢$3,327+$1,548Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Yes58.5¢$3,230+$1Trade ↗
Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?No77.0¢$3,064+$204Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?Yes94.2¢$3,031+$74Trade ↗
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No78.3¢$2,964+$103Trade ↗
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?Yes46.4¢$2,962-$565Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?No92.3¢$2,940+$37Trade ↗
Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by September 30?No42.7¢$2,863+$1,602Trade ↗
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? No85.8¢$2,847+$305Trade ↗
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?Yes40.0¢$2,812-$188Trade ↗
US strike on Cuba by December 31?No76.5¢$2,748+$317Trade ↗
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?No74.1¢$2,437+$544Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the MS-01 House seat?Yes94.0¢$2,423+$13Trade ↗
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?No46.3¢$2,421-$527Trade ↗
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?No89.8¢$2,417+$191Trade ↗
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?No83.0¢$2,389+$268Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?No89.6¢$2,376+$123Trade ↗
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Yes43.0¢$2,363-$863Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?Yes87.6¢$2,321+$147Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?Yes93.3¢$2,113+$59Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?Yes91.2¢$1,963+$113Trade ↗
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?Yes35.8¢$1,859+$1,156Trade ↗
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes0.8¢$1,857+$1,310Trade ↗
Weed rescheduled by December 31?Yes23.8¢$1,829-$541Trade ↗
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?No82.0¢$1,766+$158Trade ↗
US strike on Mexico by December 31?No82.5¢$1,747+$153Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?Yes91.3¢$1,729+$41Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Maryland governor race in 2026?Yes93.6¢$1,725+$46Trade ↗
Will Toy Story 5 have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes88.0¢$1,712+$118Trade ↗
Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?No89.9¢$1,661+$162Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the LA-03 House seat?Yes94.0¢$1,638+$9Trade ↗
Tim Walz in jail by December 31?No92.0¢$1,631+$69Trade ↗
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes37.4¢$1,551-$383Trade ↗
Freddie Mac IPO before 2027?No82.9¢$1,538+$249Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No30.1¢$1,515-$144Trade ↗
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027?No83.0¢$1,513+$222Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?No91.0¢$1,508+$93Trade ↗
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?No88.0¢$1,493+$173Trade ↗
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?No85.4¢$1,489+$129Trade ↗
Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes29.2¢$1,470+$777Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?No70.7¢$1,440+$264Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?Yes70.7¢$1,440+$264Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?No81.8¢$1,433-$1,200Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026?Yes91.1¢$1,432-$76Trade ↗
Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?No87.1¢$1,413+$169Trade ↗
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?No76.0¢$1,412+$226Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?No90.2¢$1,366-$137Trade ↗
Will The Odyssey win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?No57.6¢$1,361-$132Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?No89.0¢$1,330-$54Trade ↗
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes24.6¢$1,315-$1,770Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

TimeMarketSideOutcomePriceSize
15d agoWill Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?BUYNo41.8¢$11,860
17d agoNo one announced as next James Bond?BUYNo75.0¢$45,566
17d agoNo one announced as next James Bond?BUYNo73.2¢$20,307
18d agoWill the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?BUYYes31.0¢$14,921
26d agoWill the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?BUYYes23.0¢$12,970
29d agoUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUYYes97.0¢$14,204
30d agoUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?BUYYes93.7¢$19,086
30d agoUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUYYes92.7¢$90,550
30d agoClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUYYes23.1¢$10,241
30d agoClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUYYes21.4¢$25,566
31d agoIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?BUYYes84.9¢$43,190
33d agoWill Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?BUYNo97.2¢$12,796
33d agoWill Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?BUYNo91.8¢$29,433
33d agoWill Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?BUYNo89.9¢$11,222
33d agoFed rate hike in 2026?BUYYes50.0¢$44,995