ImJustKen

90Qualified whaleProven trader

0x9d84ce0306f8551e02efef1680475fc0f1dc1344· stats updated 2h ago

Realized PnL

+$17,234,843

closed + open positions

Return on capital

18%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$710,192

Capital deployed

$97,864,325

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$519,582

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

413

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 30.0/30Return 14.7/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 89.7 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	82.1¢	$102,702	-$2,090	Trade ↗
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	72.7¢	$91,850	+$5,730	Trade ↗
No one announced as next James Bond?	No	75.6¢	$58,541	-$5,599	Trade ↗
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	92.0¢	$28,011	+$669	Trade ↗
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	5.2¢	$24,692	+$23,010	Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	61.8¢	$23,625	+$8,184	Trade ↗
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	3.9¢	$15,277	+$3,630	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	22.1¢	$13,348	-$1,758	Trade ↗
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	90.1¢	$11,955	+$73	Trade ↗
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	10.0¢	$9,844	-$1,108	Trade ↗
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	20.1¢	$8,882	+$195	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	71.1¢	$8,879	+$2,344	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	31.1¢	$8,393	+$1,038	Trade ↗
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	12.8¢	$8,228	-$31,429	Trade ↗
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	83.0¢	$8,173	+$50	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	Yes	17.4¢	$7,646	-$2,195	Trade ↗
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	1.7¢	$7,635	+$2,564	Trade ↗
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	31.9¢	$7,372	-$4,408	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	94.3¢	$6,928	+$93	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	12.0¢	$6,875	-$8,075	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	90.0¢	$6,809	-$191	Trade ↗
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	17.1¢	$6,456	-$13,616	Trade ↗
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?	Yes	41.1¢	$6,418	+$67	Trade ↗
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.7¢	$5,410	+$1,914	Trade ↗
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	46.8¢	$4,929	+$737	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	64.5¢	$4,338	+$394	Trade ↗
Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	68.7¢	$4,330	+$700	Trade ↗
Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Yes	82.4¢	$4,207	-$387	Trade ↗
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	89.4¢	$4,083	-$225	Trade ↗
Stripe IPO before 2027?	No	83.4¢	$4,025	+$592	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	86.2¢	$3,885	-$987	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-06 House seat?	Yes	94.2¢	$3,684	+$74	Trade ↗
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	17.5¢	$3,661	-$83	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Nebraska governor race in 2026?	No	90.3¢	$3,582	-$200	Trade ↗
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	6.3¢	$3,375	-$6,108	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-03 House seat?	Yes	94.0¢	$3,360	+$61	Trade ↗
New pandemic in 2026?	No	89.3¢	$3,269	+$249	Trade ↗
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	1.2¢	$3,254	+$2,500	Trade ↗
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?	Yes	46.4¢	$3,114	-$413	Trade ↗
Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	77.0¢	$3,045	+$186	Trade ↗
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	11.8¢	$3,042	+$915	Trade ↗
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	2.6¢	$2,992	+$296	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026?	Yes	94.6¢	$2,970	+$93	Trade ↗
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	76.5¢	$2,907	+$476	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?	Yes	94.2¢	$2,882	+$66	Trade ↗
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?	No	46.3¢	$2,835	-$113	Trade ↗
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?	No	85.8¢	$2,767	+$225	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska governor race in 2026?	Yes	91.8¢	$2,627	-$178	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	64.0¢	$2,506	-$1,660	Trade ↗
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	Yes	23.2¢	$2,495	+$789	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the MS-01 House seat?	Yes	94.0¢	$2,461	+$58	Trade ↗
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	No	74.1¢	$2,445	+$552	Trade ↗
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	83.0¢	$2,440	+$319	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?	Yes	87.6¢	$2,399	+$225	Trade ↗
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.7¢	$2,347	+$1,823	Trade ↗
Will Toy Story 5 have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	91.0¢	$2,241	+$106	Trade ↗
Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	61.8¢	$2,013	-$1,095	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	30.1¢	$2,011	+$352	Trade ↗
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?	No	89.8¢	$2,009	+$183	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?	Yes	91.2¢	$1,981	+$131	Trade ↗
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?	Yes	65.0¢	$1,911	+$632	Trade ↗
US strike on Mexico by December 31?	No	82.5¢	$1,864	+$271	Trade ↗
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	30.0¢	$1,832	-$167	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	90.0¢	$1,825	-$52	Trade ↗
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	37.0¢	$1,821	+$596	Trade ↗
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	11.0¢	$1,753	-$4,571	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Maryland governor race in 2026?	Yes	93.6¢	$1,751	+$72	Trade ↗
Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	29.2¢	$1,743	+$1,050	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	Yes	58.5¢	$1,739	-$1,489	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	92.6¢	$1,735	+$52	Trade ↗
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	43.0¢	$1,725	-$1,500	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?	Yes	91.3¢	$1,683	-$5	Trade ↗
Tim Walz in jail by December 31?	No	92.0¢	$1,681	+$118	Trade ↗
Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?	No	89.9¢	$1,667	+$167	Trade ↗
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?	No	83.8¢	$1,535	+$89	Trade ↗
James Norton announced as next James Bond?	No	88.5¢	$1,531	+$155	Trade ↗
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027?	No	83.0¢	$1,526	+$236	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?	No	70.7¢	$1,515	+$339	Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	No	91.0¢	$1,513	+$98	Trade ↗
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?	No	76.0¢	$1,502	+$316	Trade ↗
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?	No	88.0¢	$1,494	+$174	Trade ↗
Freddie Mac IPO before 2027?	No	82.9¢	$1,486	+$197	Trade ↗
Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?	No	82.5¢	$1,480	+$197	Trade ↗
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.7¢	$1,402	+$877	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026?	Yes	91.1¢	$1,341	-$167	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	89.0¢	$1,244	-$140	Trade ↗
Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?	No	87.6¢	$1,212	+$84	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the LA-03 House seat?	Yes	94.0¢	$1,189	+$19	Trade ↗
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?	Yes	79.0¢	$1,150	-$79	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?	Yes	3.0¢	$1,150	+$400	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	90.2¢	$1,141	-$362	Trade ↗
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	90.7¢	$1,126	+$28	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	OpenAI	11.3¢	$1,102	-$1,378	Trade ↗
Will Andrew Scott win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	14.9¢	$1,078	+$211	Trade ↗
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" make it into the IMDb Top 250?	No	64.9¢	$1,077	-$89	Trade ↗
Will The Odyssey win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	57.6¢	$1,076	-$417	Trade ↗
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	1.3¢	$1,076	+$367	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?	No	10.0¢	$1,074	+$644	Trade ↗
Will Dune: Part Three win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	50.2¢	$1,026	+$45	Trade ↗
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?	No	86.1¢	$976	+$111	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
34d ago	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	SELL	No	96.0¢	$47,186
41d ago	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	BUY	Yes	64.0¢	$15,071
44d ago	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	BUY	Yes	80.0¢	$50,417
60d ago	Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	BUY	No	41.8¢	$11,860
63d ago	No one announced as next James Bond?	BUY	No	75.0¢	$45,566
63d ago	No one announced as next James Bond?	BUY	No	73.2¢	$20,307
64d ago	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	BUY	Yes	31.0¢	$14,921
72d ago	Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	BUY	Yes	23.0¢	$12,970
74d ago	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	BUY	Yes	97.0¢	$14,204
76d ago	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?	BUY	Yes	93.7¢	$19,086
76d ago	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	BUY	Yes	92.7¢	$90,550
76d ago	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	BUY	Yes	23.1¢	$10,241
76d ago	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	BUY	Yes	21.4¢	$25,566
77d ago	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	BUY	Yes	84.9¢	$43,190
79d ago	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?	BUY	No	97.2¢	$12,796
79d ago	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	BUY	No	91.8¢	$29,433
79d ago	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	BUY	No	89.9¢	$11,222
79d ago	Fed rate hike in 2026?	BUY	Yes	50.0¢	$44,995