
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Smart-money consensus (open positions of qualified whales)
Largest whale trades (7 days)
| Time | Trader | Side | Outcome | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | elmcap2 | BUY | Yes | 94.0¢ | $210,870 |
Increased YES from $4k → $215k at 94¢. Smart money is 97% YES (121 whales). | |||||
| 1d ago | welcometowinnercircle | BUY | Yes | 93.0¢ | $150,670 |
Increased YES from $4k → $154k at 93¢ — their 2nd add this week, 13% of their portfolio. Smart money is 97% YES (120 whales). | |||||
| 3d ago | arjennnnn | BUY | Yes | 92.0¢ | $92,934 |
Increased YES from $224k → $317k at 92¢ — their 3rd add this week, 38% of their portfolio. Smart money is 97% YES (107 whales). | |||||
| 12h ago | welcometowinnercircle | BUY | Yes | 95.0¢ | $76,831 |
Increased YES from $210k → $287k at 95¢ — their 3rd add this week, 6% of their portfolio. Smart money is 98% YES (121 whales). | |||||
| 3d ago | pako | BUY | Yes | 93.0¢ | $75,436 |
Increased YES from $247k → $322k at 93¢ — 27% of their portfolio. Smart money is 97% YES (108 whales). | |||||
| 2d ago | MisTKy | SELL | Yes | 91.0¢ | $73,083 |
Exited YES, selling a $75k position at 91¢. Cuts against smart money, which is 97% YES (115 whales). | |||||
| 5d ago | arjennnnn | BUY | Yes | 85.0¢ | $71,611 |
Re-entered with $72k on YES at 85¢. Smart money is 97% YES (97 whales). | |||||
| 6d ago | Vilgefortz | BUY | Yes | 86.0¢ | $65,184 |
Increased YES from $88k → $153k at 86¢ — their 3rd add this week, 28% of their portfolio. Smart money is 97% YES (97 whales). | |||||
| 3d ago | alangreenspan | BUY | Yes | 88.0¢ | $50,000 |
Bought $50k of YES at 88¢. Smart money is 96% YES (107 whales). | |||||
| 2d ago | alangreenspan | BUY | Yes | 94.0¢ | $50,000 |
Increased YES from $53k → $103k at 94¢ — their 2nd add this week, 94% of their portfolio. Smart money is 99% YES (113 whales). | |||||
| 6d ago | Vilgefortz | BUY | Yes | 87.0¢ | $47,763 |
Re-entered with $48k on YES at 87¢ — 13% of their portfolio. Smart money is 97% YES (95 whales). | |||||
| 23h ago | 0x3ed1ff9ace4cebcabf59f9f1caf2ec523d2d0db0-1792772818154 | BUY | Yes | 95.0¢ | $47,500 |
Re-entered with $48k on YES at 95¢. Smart money is 97% YES (121 whales). | |||||
| 2d ago | MysticFind | BUY | Yes | 94.0¢ | $43,951 |
Bought $44k of YES at 94¢ while still holding the other side — their 3rd add this week, 18% of their portfolio. Smart money is 97% YES (107 whales). | |||||
| 4d ago | MisTKy | BUY | Yes | 87.0¢ | $43,500 |
Increased YES from $26k → $69k at 87¢ — their 2nd add this week, 19% of their portfolio. Smart money is 97% YES (103 whales). | |||||
| 6d ago | DooBieZ | BUY | Yes | 88.0¢ | $43,336 |
Bought $43k of YES at 88¢. Smart money is 97% YES (96 whales). | |||||
| 3d ago | Ronaldo2100 | BUY | Yes | 88.0¢ | $39,111 |
Increased YES from $276k → $315k at 88¢ — their 2nd add this week, 9% of their portfolio. Smart money is 96% YES (104 whales). | |||||
| 2d ago | MisTKy | BUY | Yes | 92.0¢ | $37,278 |
Re-entered with $37k on YES at 92¢ — their 3rd add this week, 21% of their portfolio. Smart money is 97% YES (114 whales). | |||||
| 3d ago | MysticFind | BUY | Yes | 89.0¢ | $35,600 |
Bought $36k of YES at 89¢ while still holding the other side — 13% of their portfolio. Smart money is 96% YES (107 whales). | |||||
| 6d ago | Vilgefortz | BUY | Yes | 87.0¢ | $34,800 |
Re-entered with $35k on YES at 87¢ — 9% of their portfolio. Smart money is 97% YES (95 whales). | |||||
| 1d ago | 0x3ed1ff9ace4cebcabf59f9f1caf2ec523d2d0db0-1792772818154 | BUY | Yes | 92.0¢ | $31,280 |
Bought $31k of YES at 92¢. Cuts against smart money, which is 0% YES (118 whales). | |||||
Top holders
- HH168550K shares
arjennnnn481K shares- suntori452K shares
- Ronaldo2100420K shares
- welcometowinnercircle378K shares
- pako352K shares
- gaven-willwin337K shares
- xrr67328K shares
elmcap2289K shares- Vilgefortz261K shares
- 0xa5ef…29666.2M shares
- jsmythyson869K shares
- LimitOrderLarry219K shares
- wan123100K shares
MysticFind81K shares- SaylorMoon70K shares
- dips.55K shares
nigiri9954K shares
WarewaPain53K shares- Dreamlawn51K shares
WhaleWatcher