WhaleWatcher

pako

52Qualified whaleProven traderSpecialist
0x71edffd0d70a1da823ff07a3c6fc81457294d338· stats updated 2d ago
Realized PnL
+$449,909
closed + open positions
Return on capital
3%
realized PnL ÷ capital deployed
Win rate
81%
307 of 380 resolved
Resolved markets
380
Portfolio value
$364,646
Capital deployed
$13,871,870
lifetime cost of all positions
Tracked whale volume
$314,401
volume seen by WhaleWatcher
Open positions
33

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 23.5/30Return 2.7/25Consistency 19.2/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -13.2Total 52.2 / 100

Current positions

MarketOutcomeAvg priceValueUnrealized PnLTrade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes87.1¢$332,324+$26,012Trade ↗
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?No65.0¢$8,489+$2,731Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes65.8¢$7,462-$1,628Trade ↗
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes53.7¢$4,263+$1,278Trade ↗
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes74.5¢$3,639+$495Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes45.0¢$3,075-$3,675Trade ↗
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?No94.0¢$1,602+$50Trade ↗
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?No90.0¢$971+$51Trade ↗
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?No77.4¢$654+$137Trade ↗
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?Yes84.7¢$559+$72Trade ↗
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?Yes18.8¢$447-$1,438Trade ↗
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.6% before 2027?No74.0¢$228+$55Trade ↗
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027?No81.5¢$227+$40Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?Yes36.4¢$222+$17Trade ↗
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?Yes37.6¢$160-$320Trade ↗
Record crypto liquidation in 2026?No80.1¢$147+$23Trade ↗
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?No71.0¢$91+$20Trade ↗
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.0% before 2027?No87.7¢$14+$2Trade ↗
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?Yes45.0¢$14-$32Trade ↗
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes62.2¢$12-$147Trade ↗
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?No85.0¢$10+$1Trade ↗
Iran leadership change by December 31?No39.0¢$9+$5Trade ↗
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?No64.0¢$5+$2Trade ↗
US recession by end of 2026?No76.0¢$5+$1Trade ↗
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?No81.0¢$5+$1Trade ↗
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes30.0¢$4-$15Trade ↗
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes86.0¢$3-$1Trade ↗
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes28.0¢$3-$25Trade ↗
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Yes42.0¢$2-$20Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes3.0¢$1-$1Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes0.8¢$1-$0Trade ↗
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81Yes64.0¢$1-$11Trade ↗
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?Yes24.6¢$0-$0Trade ↗
Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?Yes12.0¢$0-$10Trade ↗
Will annual inflation increase by 2.7% in August?Yes2.5¢$0-$10Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?Yes38.0¢$0-$4Trade ↗
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?No32.0¢$0-$189Trade ↗
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?No81.4¢$0-$674Trade ↗
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 3?Up8.0¢$0-$39Trade ↗
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% before 2027?No47.7¢$0-$16Trade ↗
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?Yes57.0¢$0-$6Trade ↗
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.5% before 2027?No28.0¢$0-$2Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 1?Up10.0¢$0-$6,190Trade ↗
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by June 30, 2026?Yes12.7¢$0-$5Trade ↗
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?No74.0¢$0-$8Trade ↗
Will Poland win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?Yes2.4¢$0-$1Trade ↗
Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% or more in July?Yes2.7¢$0-$387Trade ↗
Ethereum flipped in 2026?No79.6¢$0-$16,937Trade ↗
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 7, 2026?No6.0¢$0-$6Trade ↗
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes21.0¢$0-$23Trade ↗
Will Trump's remarks not air?Yes1.3¢$0-$2Trade ↗
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25?Yes6.0¢$0-$6Trade ↗
Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?Yes85.0¢$0-$4Trade ↗
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?Yes47.0¢$0-$35Trade ↗
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes70.3¢$0-$4,412Trade ↗
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?No79.2¢$0-$925Trade ↗
Bitcoin below MicroStrategy average buy price in 2026?No29.9¢$0-$148Trade ↗
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes6.5¢$0-$80Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?No91.9¢$0-$4,004Trade ↗
Will Trump say "Bibi" or "Netanyahu" during Address to the Nation?Yes23.0¢$0-$17Trade ↗
Will Senegal vs. Iraq end in a draw?Yes15.0¢$0-$8Trade ↗
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?Yes33.0¢$0-$36Trade ↗
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Yes93.0¢$0-$930Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 19?Up11.0¢$0-$110Trade ↗
US bank failure by January 31?No99.0¢$0-$99Trade ↗
Will the August 2025 unemployment rate be 4.1%?Yes7.4¢$0-$2Trade ↗
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-26?Yes7.0¢$0-$7Trade ↗
Will Trump say "Proxy" or "Hezbollah" during Address to the Nation?No33.0¢$0-$16Trade ↗
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of February?Yes57.0¢$0-$7Trade ↗
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?Yes61.0¢$0-$6Trade ↗
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?Yes3.7¢$0-$8Trade ↗
Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.4% by March 31?No64.1¢$0-$252Trade ↗
Will the August 2025 unemployment rate be 4.0%?Yes1.4¢$0-$4Trade ↗
Aster all time high by December 31?Yes17.0¢$0-$9Trade ↗
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?No2.9¢$0-$7Trade ↗
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together in 2025?Yes37.0¢$0-$7Trade ↗
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?No35.7¢$0-$3Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes15.0¢$0-$2,869Trade ↗
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No12.3¢$0-$100Trade ↗
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 20?Yes5.9¢$0-$15Trade ↗
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?No64.0¢$0-$393Trade ↗
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes0.8¢$0-$2Trade ↗
Bitcoin 15%+ daily candle in 2026?No48.0¢$0-$5Trade ↗
Will one person dissent the October Fed decision?Yes57.0¢$0-$143Trade ↗
Will the US not strike another country before 2027?Yes0.6¢$0-$19Trade ↗
Will Netherlands win on 2025-11-14?Yes59.0¢$0-$6Trade ↗
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?Yes20.0¢$0-$20Trade ↗
Will Trump say "Congo" during events with Polish president on September 3?No48.6¢$0-$328Trade ↗
Will the US strike another country first?Yes0.9¢$0-$1Trade ↗
US forces enter Iran by April 30?No22.0¢$0-$220Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 December 8-14?Yes10.0¢$0-$10Trade ↗
Will 53 senators vote “Yea” for Trump’s Fed Chair nominee?Yes12.7¢$0-$8Trade ↗
Will BNB hit $1500 by December 31?Yes30.0¢$0-$22Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes27.0¢$0-$1Trade ↗
Will Trump say "Polymarket" by December 31?Yes2.4¢$0-$3Trade ↗
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?No5.0¢$0-$18Trade ↗
Negative GDP growth in Q3 2025?Yes5.0¢$0-$1Trade ↗
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?Yes42.0¢$0-$4Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in August?Yes1.9¢$0-$4Trade ↗
Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in August?Yes17.0¢$0-$17Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)