pako

55Qualified whaleProven trader

0x71edffd0d70a1da823ff07a3c6fc81457294d338· stats updated 21h ago

Realized PnL

+$317,025

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

82%

302 of 370 resolved

Resolved markets

370

Portfolio value

$241,376

Capital deployed

$13,292,139

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$18,541

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 20.7/30Return 2.0/25Consistency 19.8/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -7.3Total 55.1 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	43.9¢	$148,878	+$26,640	Trade ↗
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	45.5¢	$31,228	+$14,055	Trade ↗
Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	68.2¢	$23,626	-$31,014	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	65.8¢	$6,633	-$2,457	Trade ↗
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?	No	88.4¢	$6,406	+$346	Trade ↗
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?	No	56.2¢	$6,184	+$2,330	Trade ↗
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?	No	77.4¢	$5,020	+$882	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	45.0¢	$3,675	-$3,075	Trade ↗
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	74.5¢	$3,595	+$450	Trade ↗
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?	No	94.0¢	$1,588	+$36	Trade ↗
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?	No	90.0¢	$975	+$54	Trade ↗
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	Yes	18.8¢	$708	-$1,177	Trade ↗
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?	Yes	84.7¢	$544	+$56	Trade ↗
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	77.0¢	$414	-$485	Trade ↗
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	81.4¢	$377	-$297	Trade ↗
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	37.6¢	$236	-$243	Trade ↗
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027?	No	81.5¢	$228	+$32	Trade ↗
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.6% before 2027?	No	74.0¢	$223	+$50	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	13.4¢	$183	+$140	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	Yes	36.4¢	$179	-$25	Trade ↗
Record crypto liquidation in 2026?	No	80.1¢	$143	+$19	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	71.0¢	$88	+$17	Trade ↗
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	Yes	23.9¢	$74	-$199	Trade ↗
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	62.2¢	$37	-$122	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	45.0¢	$27	-$19	Trade ↗
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	24.7¢	$16	-$40	Trade ↗
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.0% before 2027?	No	87.7¢	$14	+$1	Trade ↗
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	5.3¢	$11	-$23	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	30.0¢	$9	-$10	Trade ↗
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	85.0¢	$9	+$1	Trade ↗
Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	39.0¢	$9	+$5	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	1.6¢	$8	+$1	Trade ↗
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Yes	28.0¢	$6	-$22	Trade ↗
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	64.0¢	$5	+$1	Trade ↗
US recession by end of 2026?	No	76.0¢	$5	+$1	Trade ↗
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	No	81.0¢	$5	+$0	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	42.0¢	$4	-$18	Trade ↗
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	19.0¢	$3	-$7	Trade ↗
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	86.0¢	$2	-$2	Trade ↗
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81	Yes	64.0¢	$2	-$10	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	3.0¢	$1	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.8¢	$1	-$0	Trade ↗
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	7.0¢	$1	-$9	Trade ↗
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?	Yes	24.6¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?	Yes	28.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?	Yes	12.0¢	$0	-$10	Trade ↗
Will annual inflation increase by 2.7% in August?	Yes	2.5¢	$0	-$10	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?	Yes	38.0¢	$0	-$4	Trade ↗
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?	No	32.0¢	$0	-$189	Trade ↗
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 3?	Up	8.0¢	$0	-$39	Trade ↗
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% before 2027?	No	47.7¢	$0	-$16	Trade ↗
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?	Yes	57.0¢	$0	-$6	Trade ↗
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.5% before 2027?	No	28.0¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 1?	Up	10.0¢	$0	-$6,190	Trade ↗
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by June 30, 2026?	Yes	23.0¢	$0	-$10	Trade ↗
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?	No	74.0¢	$0	-$8	Trade ↗
Will Poland win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?	Yes	2.4¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% or more in July?	Yes	2.7¢	$0	-$387	Trade ↗
Ethereum flipped in 2026?	No	79.6¢	$0	-$16,937	Trade ↗
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 7, 2026?	No	6.0¢	$0	-$6	Trade ↗
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	21.0¢	$0	-$23	Trade ↗
Will Trump's remarks not air?	Yes	1.3¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	6.0¢	$0	-$6	Trade ↗
Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?	Yes	85.0¢	$0	-$4	Trade ↗
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	47.0¢	$0	-$35	Trade ↗
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	70.3¢	$0	-$4,412	Trade ↗
Bitcoin below MicroStrategy average buy price in 2026?	No	29.9¢	$0	-$148	Trade ↗
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	6.5¢	$0	-$80	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?	No	91.9¢	$0	-$4,004	Trade ↗
Will Trump say "Bibi" or "Netanyahu" during Address to the Nation?	Yes	23.0¢	$0	-$17	Trade ↗
Will Senegal vs. Iraq end in a draw?	Yes	15.0¢	$0	-$8	Trade ↗
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?	Yes	33.0¢	$0	-$36	Trade ↗
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	93.0¢	$0	-$930	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 19?	Up	11.0¢	$0	-$110	Trade ↗
US bank failure by January 31?	No	99.0¢	$0	-$99	Trade ↗
Will the August 2025 unemployment rate be 4.1%?	Yes	7.4¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	7.0¢	$0	-$7	Trade ↗
Will Trump say "Proxy" or "Hezbollah" during Address to the Nation?	No	33.0¢	$0	-$16	Trade ↗
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of February?	Yes	57.0¢	$0	-$7	Trade ↗
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	Yes	61.0¢	$0	-$6	Trade ↗
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?	Yes	3.7¢	$0	-$8	Trade ↗
Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.4% by March 31?	No	64.1¢	$0	-$252	Trade ↗
Will the August 2025 unemployment rate be 4.0%?	Yes	1.4¢	$0	-$4	Trade ↗
Aster all time high by December 31?	Yes	17.0¢	$0	-$9	Trade ↗
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?	No	2.9¢	$0	-$7	Trade ↗
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together in 2025?	Yes	37.0¢	$0	-$7	Trade ↗
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?	No	35.7¢	$0	-$3	Trade ↗
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	12.3¢	$0	-$100	Trade ↗
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 20?	Yes	29.4¢	$0	-$74	Trade ↗
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?	No	64.0¢	$0	-$393	Trade ↗
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	0.8¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗
Bitcoin 15%+ daily candle in 2026?	No	48.0¢	$0	-$5	Trade ↗
Will one person dissent the October Fed decision?	Yes	57.0¢	$0	-$143	Trade ↗
Will the US not strike another country before 2027?	Yes	0.6¢	$0	-$19	Trade ↗
Will Netherlands win on 2025-11-14?	Yes	59.0¢	$0	-$6	Trade ↗
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	20.0¢	$0	-$20	Trade ↗
Will Trump say "Congo" during events with Polish president on September 3?	No	48.6¢	$0	-$328	Trade ↗
Will the US strike another country first?	Yes	0.9¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	22.0¢	$0	-$220	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 December 8-14?	Yes	10.0¢	$0	-$10	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
31d ago	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	BUY	Yes	35.0¢	$18,541