SaylorMoon

86Qualified whaleProven trader

0xecb14ac6e9ca447ce2f2912e6217b43d7b655da3· stats updated 2d ago

Realized PnL

+$4,277,311

closed + open positions

Return on capital

14%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$204,084

Capital deployed

$30,006,300

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$139,821

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 30.0/30Return 11.9/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -0.4Total 86.4 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	90.0¢	$55,500	+$1,500	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	63.9¢	$33,909	+$1,326	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	90.0¢	$27,750	+$750	Trade ↗
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	47.7¢	$14,340	+$20	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	13.7¢	$13,721	+$5,627	Trade ↗
Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	20.6¢	$11,423	+$6,357	Trade ↗
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?	No	52.3¢	$8,608	+$3,744	Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	10.6¢	$5,950	-$1,450	Trade ↗
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	67.5¢	$5,931	+$250	Trade ↗
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	47.5¢	$4,750	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	33.2¢	$4,081	+$1,136	Trade ↗
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	41.6¢	$3,774	+$1,717	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	64.0¢	$3,571	+$134	Trade ↗
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	7.8¢	$3,571	-$3,325	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	63.0¢	$3,325	+$175	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	63.0¢	$2,792	+$127	Trade ↗
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?	Yes	13.1¢	$340	-$315	Trade ↗
Will Carolyn Parrish win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election?	Yes	58.7¢	$154	-$231	Trade ↗
Will Jeff Leiper win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?	Yes	7.3¢	$125	+$55	Trade ↗
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	No	10.6¢	$113	-$838	Trade ↗
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	2.5¢	$70	-$250	Trade ↗
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?	No	64.0¢	$67	-$3	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	77.0¢	$60	+$3	Trade ↗
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?	Yes	13.8¢	$42	-$5	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	10.6¢	$33	-$131	Trade ↗
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?	Yes	7.4¢	$28	-$343	Trade ↗
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?	No	29.0¢	$27	-$559	Trade ↗
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	70.0¢	$15	+$1	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	36.0¢	$7	-$34	Trade ↗
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	Yes	13.5¢	$5	-$72	Trade ↗
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	Yes	16.9¢	$2	-$57	Trade ↗
Steelers vs. Buccaneers	Buccaneers	36.8¢	$0	-$2,986	Trade ↗
Spread: Oklahoma (-6.5)	Oklahoma	52.0¢	$0	-$2,394	Trade ↗
Chargers vs. Chiefs	Chargers	22.0¢	$0	-$3,658	Trade ↗
Bears vs. Falcons	Falcons	13.7¢	$0	-$1,375	Trade ↗
Spread: Houston (-3.5)	Houston	51.0¢	$0	-$2,562	Trade ↗
UFC Fight Night: SuYoung You vs. Cody Chovancek (Bantamweight, Prelims)	Cody Chovancek	57.0¢	$0	-$33	Trade ↗
Commanders vs. 49ers	Commanders	22.0¢	$0	-$3,667	Trade ↗
Celtics vs. Pistons	Celtics	54.1¢	$0	-$3,443	Trade ↗
Cavaliers vs. 76ers	Cavaliers	44.0¢	$0	-$1,955	Trade ↗
Jets vs. Patriots	Jets	25.0¢	$0	-$2,083	Trade ↗
Panthers vs. Eagles	Eagles	42.0¢	$0	-$3,500	Trade ↗
Bills vs. Raiders	Raiders	32.0¢	$0	-$2,667	Trade ↗
Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	47.0¢	$0	-$9,699	Trade ↗
Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 152k?	No	7.0¢	$0	-$3	Trade ↗
Chargers vs. Bills	Chargers	25.0¢	$0	-$5,022	Trade ↗
Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 160k?	No	25.0¢	$0	-$125	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
7d ago	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	SELL	No	68.0¢	$13,404
7d ago	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL	No	84.0¢	$45,684
20d ago	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	BUY	No	64.0¢	$17,271
45d ago	US Open WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Coco Gauff	SELL	Coco Gauff	56.5¢	$14,971
45d ago	US Open WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Coco Gauff	BUY	Coco Gauff	50.0¢	$13,253
73d ago	Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?	BUY	Yes	98.0¢	$35,238