SaylorMoon

81Qualified whaleProven trader

0xecb14ac6e9ca447ce2f2912e6217b43d7b655da3· stats updated 1d ago

Realized PnL

+$4,251,820

closed + open positions

Return on capital

12%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$95,357

Capital deployed

$34,453,900

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$35,238

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 30.0/30Return 10.3/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -4.8Total 80.5 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	67.2¢	$46,500	+$9,930	Trade ↗
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?	No	52.3¢	$10,620	+$3,972	Trade ↗
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	52.0¢	$9,350	+$4,150	Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	39.0¢	$8,900	+$1,100	Trade ↗
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?	No	52.0¢	$6,525	-$1,275	Trade ↗
Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	47.0¢	$6,088	-$3,611	Trade ↗
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	76.9¢	$6,077	+$853	Trade ↗
Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	5.7¢	$850	+$240	Trade ↗
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	24.3¢	$447	+$49	Trade ↗
Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	6.5¢	$0	-$1,392	Trade ↗
Will LeBron James play for the New Orleans Pelicans in 2026-27?	Yes	2.8¢	$0	-$3,130	Trade ↗
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	41.4¢	$0	-$2,232	Trade ↗
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	1.8¢	$0	-$369	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	20.3¢	$0	-$33	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	74.8¢	$0	-$25,147	Trade ↗
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	Yes	9.0¢	$0	-$822	Trade ↗
Will LeBron James play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?	Yes	2.8¢	$0	-$3,130	Trade ↗
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	33.0¢	$0	-$83	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?	No	34.4¢	$0	-$16,049	Trade ↗
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?	No	40.0¢	$0	-$800	Trade ↗
Will LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?	Yes	2.8¢	$0	-$3,130	Trade ↗
Will Monique Taylor win the 2026 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek provincial by-election?	Yes	44.1¢	$0	-$1,206	Trade ↗
Will LeBron James play for the Utah Jazz in 2026-27?	Yes	2.8¢	$0	-$3,130	Trade ↗
Will LeBron James play for the Sacramento Kings in 2026-27?	Yes	2.8¢	$0	-$3,130	Trade ↗
Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	38.4¢	$0	-$3,152	Trade ↗
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-16?	Yes	21.0¢	$0	-$1,125	Trade ↗
Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?	Yes	2.8¢	$0	-$3,130	Trade ↗
Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?	Yes	2.8¢	$0	-$2,462	Trade ↗
Canadiens vs. Sabres	Sabres	53.2¢	$0	-$2,417	Trade ↗
Will "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be between 120k and 140k?	Yes	34.4¢	$0	-$424	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?	Yes	37.0¢	$0	-$185	Trade ↗
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Canadiens vs. Lightning	Lightning	55.0¢	$0	-$1,120	Trade ↗
Will LeBron James play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?	Yes	2.8¢	$0	-$3,130	Trade ↗
US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien	Learner Tien	62.0¢	$0	-$1,278	Trade ↗
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	57.0¢	$0	-$5,700	Trade ↗
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?	Yes	12.5¢	$0	-$1,633	Trade ↗
Will LeBron James play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?	Yes	2.8¢	$0	-$3,130	Trade ↗
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	Yes	22.0¢	$0	-$106	Trade ↗
Will LeBron James play for the Phoenix Suns in 2026-27?	Yes	2.8¢	$0	-$3,126	Trade ↗
Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta Dream	Seattle Storm	16.0¢	$0	-$2,471	Trade ↗
Will LeBron James play for the Milwaukee Bucks in 2026-27?	Yes	2.8¢	$0	-$3,130	Trade ↗
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	39.0¢	$0	-$1,312	Trade ↗
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?	Yes	2.8¢	$0	-$3,130	Trade ↗
Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	8.8¢	$0	-$5,857	Trade ↗
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?	Yes	0.1¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?	Yes	2.8¢	$0	-$2,483	Trade ↗
Will LeBron James play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27?	Yes	2.8¢	$0	-$3,130	Trade ↗
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	7.4¢	$0	-$539	Trade ↗
Will LeBron James play for the Chicago Bulls in 2026-27?	Yes	2.8¢	$0	-$3,130	Trade ↗
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	5.4¢	$0	-$562	Trade ↗
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-07?	No	23.9¢	$0	-$1,226	Trade ↗
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)	Ilia Topuria	79.0¢	$0	-$15,800	Trade ↗
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 550k and 600k?	Yes	12.5¢	$0	-$789	Trade ↗
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Tabilo	Alejandro Tabilo	32.0¢	$0	-$2,003	Trade ↗
Will "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 160k?	Yes	16.7¢	$0	-$76	Trade ↗
Will LeBron James play for the Charlotte Hornets in 2026-27?	Yes	2.8¢	$0	-$3,130	Trade ↗
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	51.0¢	$0	-$5,100	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	57.0¢	$0	-$10	Trade ↗
Will Italy be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	8.8¢	$0	-$43	Trade ↗
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	49.5¢	$0	-$30,021	Trade ↗
Will Denmark vs. Ukraine end in a draw?	Yes	18.3¢	$0	-$716	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	75.0¢	$0	-$3,909	Trade ↗
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	0.2¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?	Yes	2.0¢	$0	-$3,611	Trade ↗
Will Iain Black win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?	Yes	8.3¢	$0	-$18	Trade ↗
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	46.7¢	$0	-$18,700	Trade ↗
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 300k?	Yes	12.5¢	$0	-$1,896	Trade ↗
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)	Cavaliers	53.0¢	$0	-$1,596	Trade ↗
Trump kiss by May 31?	No	48.2¢	$0	-$2,170	Trade ↗
Will Romania win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	Yes	10.1¢	$0	-$86	Trade ↗
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Yes	12.4¢	$0	-$727	Trade ↗
Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?	No	66.8¢	$0	-$689	Trade ↗
Will "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be between 80k and 100k?	Yes	16.7¢	$0	-$76	Trade ↗
England vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5	Under	22.4¢	$0	-$1,415	Trade ↗
Will LeBron James play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27?	Yes	2.8¢	$0	-$3,130	Trade ↗
Will LeBron James play for the Atlanta Hawks in 2026-27?	Yes	2.8¢	$0	-$3,130	Trade ↗
Will Max Holloway win by KO or TKO?	No	46.0¢	$0	-$54,280	Trade ↗
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	2.8¢	$0	-$279	Trade ↗
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?	Yes	62.7¢	$0	-$1,181	Trade ↗
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	61.9¢	$0	-$1,649	Trade ↗
Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	82.0¢	$0	-$14	Trade ↗
Will LeBron James play for the Indiana Pacers in 2026-27?	Yes	2.8¢	$0	-$3,130	Trade ↗
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	22.6¢	$0	-$62,781	Trade ↗
Will "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 80k?	Yes	16.7¢	$0	-$76	Trade ↗
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	13.0¢	$0	-$1,344	Trade ↗
Will "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be between 100k and 120k?	No	10.0¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will LeBron James play for the Brooklyn Nets in 2026-27?	Yes	2.8¢	$0	-$3,130	Trade ↗
Will Nigel Farage win 50–60% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	0.6¢	$0	-$28	Trade ↗
State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30?	Yes	15.9¢	$0	-$80	Trade ↗
Will LeBron James play for the Portland Trail Blazers in 2026-27?	Yes	2.8¢	$0	-$3,130	Trade ↗
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	29.3¢	$0	-$2,015	Trade ↗
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5	Under	9.0¢	$0	-$90	Trade ↗
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	15.9¢	$0	-$4,770	Trade ↗
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?	Yes	29.9¢	$0	-$2,996	Trade ↗
Will "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be between 120k and 140k?	Yes	16.1¢	$0	-$371	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	No	56.5¢	$0	-$13,477	Trade ↗
Will Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	35.0¢	$0	-$696	Trade ↗
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	22.4¢	$0	-$21,814	Trade ↗
France vs. Iraq: France 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	46.0¢	$0	-$229	Trade ↗
Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	Yes	1.0¢	$0	-$8	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
28d ago	Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?	BUY	Yes	98.0¢	$35,238