omnibus-424779

77Qualified whaleProven trader

0x42477970683d4d0a52ec7082fee5d760cc5591c4· stats updated 1d ago

Realized PnL

+$401,558

closed + open positions

Return on capital

15%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$15,499

Capital deployed

$2,701,829

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$237,754

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

229

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 22.6/30Return 12.4/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -2.9Total 77.0 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	22.2¢	$6,145	-$2,113	Trade ↗
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?	Yes	75.3¢	$1,750	-$15,817	Trade ↗
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	5.8¢	$923	+$660	Trade ↗
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	Yes	35.9¢	$719	-$23,906	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	76.4¢	$597	+$51	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	29.0¢	$382	-$1,630	Trade ↗
Will Zeeshan Wahla win the next Surrey City Centre British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	42.8¢	$277	+$109	Trade ↗
Will Margareta Dovgal win the next Vancouver-Yaletown British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	42.0¢	$276	+$80	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	30.9¢	$224	-$200	Trade ↗
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	42.6¢	$171	+$96	Trade ↗
Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?	Yes	32.3¢	$152	-$1,154	Trade ↗
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	2.2¢	$151	+$30	Trade ↗
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	31.0¢	$150	+$2	Trade ↗
BYU vs. UCF	BYU	86.0¢	$147	-$4	Trade ↗
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	71.0¢	$142	+$3	Trade ↗
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	25.3¢	$135	-$261	Trade ↗
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	91.2¢	$128	+$8	Trade ↗
Will the Toronto Maple Leafs be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	4.2¢	$121	-$40	Trade ↗
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	27.2¢	$118	+$2	Trade ↗
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	9.0¢	$113	+$31	Trade ↗
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?	Yes	70.0¢	$112	+$12	Trade ↗
Will Kristina Loewen win the next Kelowna Centre British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	52.7¢	$108	+$41	Trade ↗
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	15.8¢	$90	-$1	Trade ↗
UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Merab Dvalishvili	41.7¢	$86	+$20	Trade ↗
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	88.0¢	$85	-$14	Trade ↗
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	74.9¢	$83	-$5	Trade ↗
Will "Leave" win any Alberta electoral division in the independence referendum?	Yes	43.4¢	$75	+$42	Trade ↗
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	7.1¢	$72	-$17	Trade ↗
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	17.1¢	$69	+$52	Trade ↗
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	31.5¢	$59	-$9	Trade ↗
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	Yes	9.0¢	$57	-$109	Trade ↗
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	39.0¢	$57	+$7	Trade ↗
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	5.6¢	$55	-$44	Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	22.2¢	$54	-$9	Trade ↗
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	87.9¢	$52	-$47	Trade ↗
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	24.3¢	$49	-$24	Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	64.0¢	$49	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	33.0¢	$44	+$7	Trade ↗
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?	Yes	28.9¢	$44	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	No	14.0¢	$39	+$33	Trade ↗
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?	Yes	22.2¢	$38	-$62	Trade ↗
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	7.5¢	$35	-$76	Trade ↗
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	10.4¢	$34	-$21	Trade ↗
Will the Montreal Canadiens be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	4.2¢	$33	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	Yes	9.4¢	$33	-$96	Trade ↗
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	12.9¢	$32	-$14	Trade ↗
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	9.7¢	$32	-$24	Trade ↗
Will Loki die in Avengers: Doomsday?	No	16.1¢	$31	+$7	Trade ↗
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	15.0¢	$31	+$13	Trade ↗
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	10.0¢	$31	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	26.1¢	$28	+$3	Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	2.6¢	$28	-$152	Trade ↗
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	16.4¢	$27	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	61.6¢	$24	+$8	Trade ↗
Ballon d'Or 2026: Rodri or Lionel Messi to finish higher?	Rodri	62.0¢	$23	+$4	Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	83.7¢	$23	-$1	Trade ↗
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	11.8¢	$22	-$32	Trade ↗
Will the Edmonton Oilers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	8.8¢	$22	+$5	Trade ↗
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	20.5¢	$20	+$0	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	23.5¢	$19	+$12	Trade ↗
Will the San Jose Sharks be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	3.4¢	$18	-$14	Trade ↗
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	10.0¢	$17	-$6	Trade ↗
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	40.0¢	$17	-$30	Trade ↗
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	3.1¢	$16	-$25	Trade ↗
Brooklyn Nets 2026-27 Regular Season Wins: O/U 23.5	U 23.5	53.0¢	$15	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	87.0¢	$15	+$2	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by September 30, 2027?	No	49.0¢	$15	-$5	Trade ↗
Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	35.0¢	$14	-$5	Trade ↗
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	12.7¢	$13	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	6.7¢	$13	-$15	Trade ↗
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	74.5¢	$13	+$3	Trade ↗
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	25.0¢	$12	-$8	Trade ↗
Will the Florida Panthers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	11.0¢	$12	-$6	Trade ↗
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested by December 31?	Yes	5.8¢	$12	-$3	Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	7.4¢	$12	-$4	Trade ↗
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	5.6¢	$12	-$3	Trade ↗
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	49.0¢	$12	+$2	Trade ↗
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	92.3¢	$12	+$1	Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	93.0¢	$11	+$0	Trade ↗
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	0.9¢	$11	+$4	Trade ↗
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?	Yes	9.7¢	$11	-$16	Trade ↗
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	94.0¢	$10	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	52.3¢	$10	-$0	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	77.7¢	$10	+$0	Trade ↗
Will T1 win Worlds 2026?	Yes	16.0¢	$10	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	3.3¢	$10	-$16	Trade ↗
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	No	71.0¢	$9	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	22.6¢	$9	+$7	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	17.2¢	$9	-$19	Trade ↗
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	4.1¢	$9	+$0	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	91.0¢	$9	+$1	Trade ↗
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	6.5¢	$9	-$16	Trade ↗
Will Bijan Robinson finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing yards?	Yes	13.2¢	$8	+$3	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	2.1¢	$8	-$4	Trade ↗
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	Yes	7.0¢	$8	-$15	Trade ↗
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?	Yes	37.0¢	$8	+$4	Trade ↗
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	81.8¢	$8	-$0	Trade ↗
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	72.7¢	$8	+$2	Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	26.0¢	$7	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Katie Pavlich be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	2.2¢	$7	+$1	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
2d ago	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	SELL	Yes	74.6¢	$11,603
34d ago	Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox	SELL	Chicago White Sox	95.6¢	$20,148
34d ago	Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox	BUY	Chicago White Sox	94.4¢	$19,913
38d ago	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-09-17?	BUY	No	69.0¢	$14,410
47d ago	US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova	BUY	Aryna Sabalenka	71.5¢	$39,733
48d ago	US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Stefanos Tsitsipas	BUY	Ben Shelton	73.3¢	$51,551
48d ago	US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Stefanos Tsitsipas	BUY	Ben Shelton	74.6¢	$35,581
51d ago	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-04?	BUY	No	33.2¢	$14,952
51d ago	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-04?	BUY	No	32.9¢	$14,934
69d ago	Spread: AEK (-2.5)	BUY	PFK Levski Sofia	95.6¢	$14,928