0x4247…91c4

71Qualified whaleProven trader

0x42477970683d4d0a52ec7082fee5d760cc5591c4· stats updated 1d ago

Realized PnL

+$351,303

closed + open positions

Return on capital

16%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$55,964

Capital deployed

$2,237,151

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$171,679

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

196

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 21.5/30Return 13.1/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -9.0Total 70.6 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova	Aryna Sabalenka	71.5¢	$39,170	-$563	Trade ↗
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?	Yes	75.3¢	$3,850	-$13,717	Trade ↗
LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	27.2¢	$3,541	-$96	Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	54.6¢	$3,239	-$568	Trade ↗
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	Yes	35.9¢	$1,610	-$23,015	Trade ↗
Will Indiana Fever win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	No	91.0¢	$725	-$16	Trade ↗
Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?	Yes	50.8¢	$554	+$65	Trade ↗
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	47.3¢	$271	+$44	Trade ↗
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	42.6¢	$149	+$75	Trade ↗
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	2.2¢	$131	+$14	Trade ↗
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	91.2¢	$127	+$8	Trade ↗
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	9.1¢	$108	+$22	Trade ↗
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	Yes	9.0¢	$102	-$65	Trade ↗
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?	Yes	70.0¢	$97	-$3	Trade ↗
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	5.6¢	$96	-$6	Trade ↗
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	15.8¢	$90	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	46.4¢	$88	+$10	Trade ↗
Will the Toronto Maple Leafs be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	4.5¢	$88	-$41	Trade ↗
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	10.4¢	$88	+$32	Trade ↗
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	Yes	97.4¢	$80	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	87.9¢	$73	-$26	Trade ↗
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	7.1¢	$69	-$20	Trade ↗
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	39.0¢	$65	+$15	Trade ↗
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	8.1¢	$62	+$3	Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	46.1¢	$60	+$10	Trade ↗
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	4.8¢	$51	-$4	Trade ↗
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	24.3¢	$47	-$33	Trade ↗
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	22.0¢	$45	-$25	Trade ↗
Will Coco Gauff win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	18.3¢	$44	+$7	Trade ↗
Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	9.5¢	$44	-$8	Trade ↗
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	33.9¢	$42	-$12	Trade ↗
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	7.5¢	$42	-$69	Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	22.2¢	$41	-$22	Trade ↗
Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	Yes	1.5¢	$37	-$39	Trade ↗
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	9.8¢	$36	-$18	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	Yes	9.4¢	$34	-$94	Trade ↗
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?	Yes	22.2¢	$34	-$66	Trade ↗
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	12.9¢	$32	-$15	Trade ↗
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	Yes	54.0¢	$31	+$6	Trade ↗
Will Linda Noskova win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	6.1¢	$28	-$8	Trade ↗
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	3.8¢	$25	+$3	Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	83.4¢	$25	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	38.9¢	$23	+$9	Trade ↗
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	20.3¢	$23	+$4	Trade ↗
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	13.0¢	$20	+$1	Trade ↗
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	72.0¢	$20	+$0	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	Yes	2.8¢	$19	-$8	Trade ↗
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	10.0¢	$17	-$6	Trade ↗
Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	10.0¢	$17	-$1	Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	44.7¢	$17	+$3	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by September 30, 2027?	No	49.0¢	$16	-$3	Trade ↗
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	16.0¢	$16	-$2	Trade ↗
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	13.0¢	$16	-$37	Trade ↗
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	25.0¢	$16	-$4	Trade ↗
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	Yes	50.0¢	$15	+$0	Trade ↗
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	15.0¢	$15	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	6.7¢	$15	-$14	Trade ↗
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	87.0¢	$14	+$2	Trade ↗
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	6.5¢	$14	-$10	Trade ↗
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	12.7¢	$14	+$1	Trade ↗
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?	Yes	9.7¢	$14	-$12	Trade ↗
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	74.5¢	$13	+$3	Trade ↗
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	6.8¢	$13	-$9	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	23.5¢	$12	+$5	Trade ↗
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	92.3¢	$11	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	3.3¢	$11	-$14	Trade ↗
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	11.8¢	$11	-$7	Trade ↗
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	90.0¢	$10	+$0	Trade ↗
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	13.7¢	$10	+$1	Trade ↗
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	3.6¢	$10	+$7	Trade ↗
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	40.0¢	$9	-$39	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	52.9¢	$9	-$0	Trade ↗
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	0.4¢	$9	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	2.6¢	$8	-$3	Trade ↗
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	5.0¢	$7	-$3	Trade ↗
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	81.8¢	$7	-$1	Trade ↗
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	72.7¢	$7	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Bijan Robinson finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing yards?	Yes	13.2¢	$7	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	12.9¢	$7	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested by December 31?	Yes	6.0¢	$7	+$1	Trade ↗
NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?	Yes	6.3¢	$7	-$15	Trade ↗
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	36.5¢	$6	-$0	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	94.7¢	$6	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	24.9¢	$6	-$15	Trade ↗
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	4.1¢	$6	-$2	Trade ↗
Will the Montreal Canadiens be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	3.7¢	$6	-$0	Trade ↗
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	37.3¢	$6	-$38	Trade ↗
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	70.0¢	$6	-$1	Trade ↗
Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	0.9¢	$6	-$3	Trade ↗
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	20.0¢	$6	-$17	Trade ↗
Will Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?	Yes	17.0¢	$6	+$2	Trade ↗
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	8.5¢	$6	-$5	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	2.2¢	$5	-$0	Trade ↗
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	0.9¢	$5	-$4	Trade ↗
Will Nassourdine Imavov be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	33.0¢	$5	+$1	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	0.7¢	$5	-$1	Trade ↗
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	Yes	34.0¢	$5	+$3	Trade ↗
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	9.0¢	$5	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	25.7¢	$5	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	1.7¢	$5	-$1	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
1d ago	US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova	BUY	Aryna Sabalenka	71.5¢	$39,733
3d ago	US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Stefanos Tsitsipas	BUY	Ben Shelton	74.6¢	$35,581
3d ago	US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Stefanos Tsitsipas	BUY	Ben Shelton	73.3¢	$51,551
5d ago	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-04?	BUY	No	33.2¢	$14,952
5d ago	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-04?	BUY	No	32.9¢	$14,934
24d ago	Spread: AEK (-2.5)	BUY	PFK Levski Sofia	95.6¢	$14,928