QMG-CORE

71Qualified whaleProven trader

0xcaab19659b995951a44cc992447cb2ad5be324dd· stats updated 9h ago

Realized PnL

+$371,878

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$450,529

Capital deployed

$8,119,785

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$11,868

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

211

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 22.0/30Return 3.8/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 70.8 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	21.7¢	$79,743	+$61,614	Trade ↗
US recession by end of 2026?	No	91.0¢	$19,720	+$206	Trade ↗
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	No	95.1¢	$18,462	-$498	Trade ↗
Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	95.8¢	$15,860	+$48	Trade ↗
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	93.0¢	$15,320	+$446	Trade ↗
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	92.7¢	$14,976	+$126	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	83.0¢	$12,760	-$515	Trade ↗
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?	No	92.4¢	$10,528	+$550	Trade ↗
New pandemic in 2026?	No	92.0¢	$9,631	+$458	Trade ↗
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	95.9¢	$8,589	+$58	Trade ↗
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	87.9¢	$8,415	+$507	Trade ↗
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	78.4¢	$7,651	-$191	Trade ↗
Will Mailza Assis win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial election?	Yes	97.6¢	$7,490	+$40	Trade ↗
Kimi K4 released by October 31, 2026?	No	95.2¢	$7,464	+$340	Trade ↗
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?	No	90.0¢	$6,321	+$335	Trade ↗
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	No	91.2¢	$6,012	+$324	Trade ↗
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	94.7¢	$5,831	+$147	Trade ↗
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	98.2¢	$5,599	+$59	Trade ↗
Will Kuwait recognize Israel by December 31?	No	93.1¢	$5,390	+$204	Trade ↗
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	27.4¢	$4,939	+$3,544	Trade ↗
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No	87.5¢	$4,309	+$305	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?	Yes	95.4¢	$4,299	-$38	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?	No	97.2¢	$3,924	+$23	Trade ↗
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	No	48.0¢	$3,837	+$1,945	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	20.0¢	$3,825	+$2,825	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	20.3¢	$3,668	-$12,913	Trade ↗
Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial election?	Yes	96.7¢	$3,634	+$89	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Maine governor race in 2026?	Yes	96.5¢	$3,589	-$34	Trade ↗
Will Arruda win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial election?	No	99.4¢	$3,412	+$2	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?	Yes	95.9¢	$3,347	+$11	Trade ↗
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?	No	95.1¢	$3,312	+$43	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?	No	95.3¢	$3,296	-$27	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?	No	94.1¢	$3,143	+$71	Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	21.0¢	$3,000	-$150	Trade ↗
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	98.7¢	$2,980	+$18	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?	No	93.3¢	$2,961	+$155	Trade ↗
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?	No	89.7¢	$2,957	+$266	Trade ↗
Will James Talarico be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	97.7¢	$2,926	-$49	Trade ↗
GTA VI released by November 30?	Yes	93.0¢	$2,906	+$116	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?	Yes	97.7¢	$2,843	-$5	Trade ↗
Will Marco Rubio be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	95.9¢	$2,822	-$77	Trade ↗
Will Bernie Sanders be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	99.9¢	$2,819	-$29	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	89.3¢	$2,745	+$65	Trade ↗
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?	No	97.7¢	$2,692	+$34	Trade ↗
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	86.7¢	$2,632	+$23	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Illinois governor race in 2026?	No	97.0¢	$2,484	+$13	Trade ↗
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso do Sul?	Yes	99.1¢	$2,407	-$26	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?	Yes	95.6¢	$2,109	+$36	Trade ↗
Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	93.4¢	$2,093	-$21	Trade ↗
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Sergipe?	Yes	99.3¢	$2,092	-$9	Trade ↗
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Paraíba?	Yes	99.4¢	$2,088	-$32	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Illinois governor race in 2026?	Yes	96.6¢	$2,053	+$8	Trade ↗
Will Alysa Liu be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	98.6¢	$1,973	-$19	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Maryland governor race in 2026?	Yes	95.9¢	$1,880	+$33	Trade ↗
Modi out by December 31, 2026?	No	94.7¢	$1,878	+$28	Trade ↗
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?	No	92.1¢	$1,875	+$97	Trade ↗
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?	No	92.5¢	$1,804	+$47	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?	Yes	94.1¢	$1,801	+$27	Trade ↗
France declares state of siege (martial law) by November 15, 2026?	No	97.9¢	$1,781	+$17	Trade ↗
Will Alan Rick win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial election?	No	97.5¢	$1,734	+$25	Trade ↗
Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Yes	88.2¢	$1,710	-$55	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?	Yes	95.1¢	$1,680	+$36	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	95.5¢	$1,560	+$22	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Yes	94.5¢	$1,543	+$25	Trade ↗
France declares state of siege (martial law) by October 31, 2026?	No	98.8¢	$1,538	+$5	Trade ↗
JD Vance out as VP by December 31?	No	94.0¢	$1,515	+$17	Trade ↗
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Bahia?	No	99.5¢	$1,450	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026?	No	94.6¢	$1,435	+$55	Trade ↗
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Roraima?	Yes	99.6¢	$1,416	-$26	Trade ↗
Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027?	No	87.0¢	$1,411	-$69	Trade ↗
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Bahia?	Yes	99.4¢	$1,409	+$2	Trade ↗
Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026?	No	90.5¢	$1,400	+$67	Trade ↗
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	Yes	4.5¢	$1,395	+$1,259	Trade ↗
Will Starbucks acquire Chipotle in 2026?	No	96.0¢	$1,310	+$12	Trade ↗
Lindsay Clancy sentenced to prison time in 2026?	No	95.3¢	$1,183	+$22	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Wyoming governor race in 2026?	Yes	95.3¢	$1,182	+$33	Trade ↗
Will Ilhan Omar be deported by December 31, 2026?	No	95.2¢	$1,178	+$23	Trade ↗
Will Steffen Krach be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	No	99.7¢	$1,164	-$5	Trade ↗
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by March 31, 2027?	No	78.3¢	$1,118	-$58	Trade ↗
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Maranhão?	Yes	99.6¢	$1,098	-$16	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	93.0¢	$1,072	+$43	Trade ↗
ECB rate cut in 2026?	No	92.4¢	$1,026	+$33	Trade ↗
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	No	95.0¢	$1,021	+$41	Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	16.0¢	$975	+$175	Trade ↗
Will Grok 5 be released by October 31, 2026?	No	95.4¢	$965	+$39	Trade ↗
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	95.0¢	$963	+$13	Trade ↗
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	96.0¢	$962	+$2	Trade ↗
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?	No	95.7¢	$961	+$4	Trade ↗
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Paraíba?	No	99.3¢	$956	+$2	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?	No	92.0¢	$951	+$31	Trade ↗
Yoon out of custody before 2027?	No	94.4¢	$949	+$5	Trade ↗
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	4.5¢	$930	+$794	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the South Dakota governor race in 2026?	No	94.1¢	$911	+$31	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?	Yes	93.0¢	$895	-$35	Trade ↗
Will DeepSeek IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	92.0¢	$846	+$26	Trade ↗
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Paraná?	Yes	98.7¢	$838	+$4	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Arkansas governor race in 2026?	Yes	95.5¢	$754	+$12	Trade ↗
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Piauí?	Yes	99.6¢	$661	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Piauí?	No	99.2¢	$648	+$4	Trade ↗
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from São Paulo?	Yes	99.5¢	$622	-$11	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
29d ago	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	BUY	No	96.0¢	$11,868