kinderSman

71Qualified whaleProven trader

0xa6d9b55a6a3a54a9d50ca94c64f00af69c50fd2f· stats updated 2d ago

Realized PnL

+$364,657

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$67,827

Capital deployed

$6,966,644

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$12,997

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 21.8/30Return 4.4/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 71.2 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	81.0¢	$12,285	+$1,755	Trade ↗
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	99.2¢	$10,969	+$62	Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	85.5¢	$10,395	+$995	Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	91.0¢	$9,250	+$150	Trade ↗
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	No	98.1¢	$3,017	+$47	Trade ↗
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	85.8¢	$2,942	-$493	Trade ↗
Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?	No	99.1¢	$1,993	+$11	Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	No	98.8¢	$1,983	+$7	Trade ↗
China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	91.0¢	$1,919	+$99	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	95.7¢	$1,910	-$4	Trade ↗
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	95.6¢	$1,774	-$24	Trade ↗
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?	No	80.2¢	$1,592	-$122	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	23.1¢	$1,326	-$60	Trade ↗
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	99.0¢	$995	+$5	Trade ↗
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	No	98.9¢	$980	-$7	Trade ↗
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?	No	96.0¢	$979	+$19	Trade ↗
New pandemic in 2026?	No	93.0¢	$958	+$28	Trade ↗
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	98.4¢	$694	+$5	Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	19.0¢	$450	+$70	Trade ↗
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?	No	99.5¢	$397	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	97.9¢	$394	+$2	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	61.6¢	$330	-$3,369	Trade ↗
Kanye West arrested in Russia by October 31?	No	97.6¢	$110	+$2	Trade ↗
GTA VI released by October 31?	No	97.2¢	$100	+$3	Trade ↗
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31?	Yes	90.9¢	$86	+$1	Trade ↗
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?	Yes	29.3¢	$0	-$35	Trade ↗
France vs. England: O/U 0.5	Under	3.9¢	$0	-$511	Trade ↗
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 16-22?	Yes	83.2¢	$0	-$2,495	Trade ↗
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $200 and $250?	Yes	7.0¢	$0	-$7	Trade ↗
France vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5	Under	95.7¢	$0	-$287	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
35d ago	Will voter turnout be less than 47% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	BUY	No	99.7¢	$12,997