Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Macro Election 2View on Polymarket ↗

Trade this market ↗

24h volume

$375,147

Liquidity

$297,280

Whale net flow (24h)

-$20,009

1 tracked trades · buys $0 · sells $20,009

Outcomes

Yes / No

Smart-money consensus (open positions of qualified whales)

Yes 4%96% No

17 qualified whales · $89K positioned

Largest whale trades (7 days)

Time	Trader	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
2d ago	scottilicious	SELL	No	98.6¢	$30,879
Exited NO, selling a $31k position at 99¢. Cuts against smart money, which is 95% NO (17 whales).
6d ago	LePetitJambon	SELL	No	98.0¢	$25,458
Exited NO, selling a $26k position at 98¢. Cuts against smart money, which is 96% NO (15 whales).
14h ago	plumbis	SELL	No	99.2¢	$20,009
Trimmed NO from $113k → $93k at 99¢ — their 2nd sale this week. Cuts against smart money, which is 95% NO (16 whales).
1d ago	aloha1231	SELL	No	99.1¢	$13,724
Trimmed NO from $17k → $3k at 99¢. Cuts against smart money, which is 94% NO (16 whales).
1d ago	plumbis	SELL	No	99.1¢	$11,497
Trimmed NO from $124k → $112k at 99¢. Cuts against smart money, which is 94% NO (17 whales).

Top holders

Yes

bermantrader241K shares
0x950681D3643A5834ae200C4B0FaD0AAd959c098D-1767505049605240K shares
NIKEa235K shares
ChileCury189K shares
0xCB3143ee858E14d0B3FE40fFeaEa78416e646B0184K shares
CoffeeLover133K shares
viniciosrt117K shares
lava-lava115K shares
CoffeeDespiser96K shares
luucastro94K shares

No

0xa5ef…29663.3M shares
plumbis86K shares
0x8B4bcA1D794779E66e023D44391B2A86C5ab541B-176976431395240K shares
ScottyNooo31K shares
itsallupnow28K shares
Qtyu14K shares
afdafdafdafdafd13K shares
insidero5.2K shares
bosshog5K shares
thoodr5K shares