0x00c8…9ccd

88Qualified whaleProven trader

0x00c8ef6895e2fb38b538cac8c08edd6b82289ccd· stats updated 5h ago

Realized PnL

+$361,509

closed + open positions

Return on capital

25%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$4,582

Capital deployed

$1,437,388

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$10,149

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 21.7/30Return 21.0/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 87.7 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	63.0¢	$1,025	+$233	Trade ↗
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Yes	19.1¢	$729	-$1,420	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	36.0¢	$406	+$6	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	6.4¢	$361	-$49	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	10.2¢	$342	-$124	Trade ↗
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	37.3¢	$295	+$52	Trade ↗
Ethereum Up or Down - September 1, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	92.4¢	$119	+$9	Trade ↗
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	91.4¢	$106	+$6	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	No	91.0¢	$101	+$1	Trade ↗
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	24.7¢	$83	-$17	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	63.0¢	$79	+$29	Trade ↗
Steelers vs. Saints: O/U 44.5	Over	46.0¢	$74	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	54.9¢	$73	+$17	Trade ↗
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	30.0¢	$66	+$37	Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	17.4¢	$54	+$6	Trade ↗
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	14.0¢	$53	-$18	Trade ↗
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	12.6¢	$47	-$8	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	45.5¢	$42	-$8	Trade ↗
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	3.6¢	$41	+$32	Trade ↗
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	11.7¢	$37	-$97	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	66.1¢	$29	+$5	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	65.0¢	$29	+$10	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	39.0¢	$29	+$14	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	32.0¢	$28	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	67.8¢	$25	-$11	Trade ↗
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	4.0¢	$24	+$4	Trade ↗
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	44.5¢	$20	-$0	Trade ↗
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	72.6¢	$17	-$3	Trade ↗
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	3.9¢	$16	-$33	Trade ↗
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	23.9¢	$14	-$7	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	No	92.0¢	$11	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	58.1¢	$9	+$4	Trade ↗
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	Yes	18.0¢	$8	-$4	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	62.0¢	$8	+$3	Trade ↗
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	83.3¢	$8	+$0	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	58.0¢	$8	+$3	Trade ↗
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	0.1¢	$8	-$8	Trade ↗
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?	Yes	81.0¢	$8	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Spain win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?	Yes	39.0¢	$7	-$1	Trade ↗
XRP Up or Down - September 3, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	63.2¢	$6	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	No	71.2¢	$6	-$3	Trade ↗
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	36.4¢	$6	-$4	Trade ↗
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	14.8¢	$6	-$4	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	36.0¢	$6	-$39	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	62.0¢	$6	-$0	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy before 2027?	No	61.4¢	$5	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	5.0¢	$5	-$5	Trade ↗
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 22?	Yes	0.1¢	$5	-$5	Trade ↗
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?	No	1.4¢	$5	+$4	Trade ↗
Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	0.1¢	$5	-$5	Trade ↗
Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?	Yes	66.0¢	$5	-$8	Trade ↗
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	37.0¢	$4	-$1	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	95.0¢	$4	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	2.4¢	$4	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	Yes	8.6¢	$4	-$9	Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	54.0¢	$4	+$2	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	58.0¢	$3	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	0.3¢	$3	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Waymo operate in 16-19 cities on December 31 2026?	Yes	9.2¢	$3	+$1	Trade ↗
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	14.0¢	$3	-$16	Trade ↗
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	59.0¢	$3	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Waymo operate in 20-23 cities on December 31 2026?	Yes	1.3¢	$3	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.5¢	$2	+$0	Trade ↗
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?	Yes	60.0¢	$2	-$2	Trade ↗
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	91.1¢	$2	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	4.6¢	$2	-$3	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	38.0¢	$2	+$0	Trade ↗
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Yes	15.0¢	$2	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	0.2¢	$2	-$7	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	31.0¢	$2	-$0	Trade ↗
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?	Yes	9.0¢	$2	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	2.4¢	$2	-$0	Trade ↗
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	2.7¢	$2	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	5.3¢	$1	-$2	Trade ↗
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	0.5¢	$1	-$1	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.0T?	Yes	20.0¢	$1	-$1	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.0T and $1.25T?	Yes	12.0¢	$1	-$1	Trade ↗
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?	Yes	34.0¢	$1	-$15	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	36.0¢	$1	-$3	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	1.0¢	$1	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	4.5¢	$1	-$1	Trade ↗
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?	Yes	23.0¢	$1	-$4	Trade ↗
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	0.1¢	$1	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	1.2¢	$1	+$0	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	26.0¢	$1	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.5¢	$1	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	16.0¢	$1	-$4	Trade ↗
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	8.4¢	$1	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	0.2¢	$1	-$2	Trade ↗
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	Yes	1.5¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.3¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	74.0¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI announce a clip-on device for clothing in 2026?	Yes	10.3¢	$0	+$0	Trade ↗
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	58.0¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	31.1¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	1.1¢	$0	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?	Yes	51.8¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026?	Yes	15.0¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	18.0¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	0.8¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
36d ago	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	SELL	No	54.0¢	$10,149