Outsid3rTrading

95Qualified whaleProven trader

0xf1ef8705e9f63c790c6fffd6329aea7011718cd6· stats updated 15h ago

Realized PnL

+$1,909,838

closed + open positions

Return on capital

24%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$305,503

Capital deployed

$7,799,655

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$34,210

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 30.0/30Return 20.4/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 95.4 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	86.0¢	$27,450	+$1,650	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	82.7¢	$27,450	+$2,650	Trade ↗
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	75.0¢	$22,969	-$1,503	Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	81.3¢	$17,820	-$79	Trade ↗
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	19.4¢	$16,450	+$2,848	Trade ↗
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	90.5¢	$14,175	+$600	Trade ↗
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	93.8¢	$11,442	+$182	Trade ↗
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	58.2¢	$9,756	-$726	Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	92.0¢	$9,250	+$50	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	56.4¢	$9,091	+$2,882	Trade ↗
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	88.4¢	$8,690	+$735	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	74.0¢	$8,149	+$750	Trade ↗
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	79.9¢	$7,550	-$444	Trade ↗
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	97.2¢	$7,297	+$12	Trade ↗
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	81.9¢	$6,757	+$284	Trade ↗
Spread: Philadelphia Union (-1.5)	New England Revolution	58.0¢	$6,738	+$2,678	Trade ↗
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	79.0¢	$6,405	+$875	Trade ↗
Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	95.2¢	$6,115	+$181	Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	43.0¢	$4,965	+$1,706	Trade ↗
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	78.0¢	$4,770	+$90	Trade ↗
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	91.0¢	$4,650	+$100	Trade ↗
Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2026 NFC East?	No	52.0¢	$4,360	+$200	Trade ↗
Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	76.0¢	$4,275	+$475	Trade ↗
Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Mbappé	74.6¢	$4,192	-$37	Trade ↗
No one announced as next James Bond?	No	78.0¢	$4,033	+$133	Trade ↗
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5	Over	56.0¢	$3,885	-$35	Trade ↗
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	69.0¢	$3,200	+$440	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	31.0¢	$2,865	+$432	Trade ↗
Bengals vs. Ravens	Ravens	47.0¢	$2,835	-$455	Trade ↗
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	4.2¢	$2,808	+$2,142	Trade ↗
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	27.3¢	$2,775	-$1,325	Trade ↗
Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	77.0¢	$2,695	+$449	Trade ↗
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	Yes	78.5¢	$2,652	+$33	Trade ↗
Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	84.7¢	$2,561	+$252	Trade ↗
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	44.1¢	$2,213	+$8	Trade ↗
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	49.5¢	$2,055	-$2,893	Trade ↗
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	17.4¢	$1,725	-$6,995	Trade ↗
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?	No	40.0¢	$1,633	+$856	Trade ↗
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	45.0¢	$1,520	-$2,080	Trade ↗
Will Kylian Mbappé finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	70.8¢	$1,382	-$46	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	Yes	16.9¢	$1,350	-$343	Trade ↗
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	34.0¢	$1,260	-$1,800	Trade ↗
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	1.6¢	$1,199	+$560	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat?	Yes	73.0¢	$1,168	+$141	Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	57.1¢	$1,050	-$2,374	Trade ↗
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	17.1¢	$988	-$644	Trade ↗
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	73.9¢	$876	+$96	Trade ↗
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes	33.0¢	$875	-$775	Trade ↗
Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	75.8¢	$764	+$16	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	56.9¢	$690	-$2,721	Trade ↗
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	7.0¢	$675	-$1,425	Trade ↗
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	25.5¢	$639	-$891	Trade ↗
Ballon d'Or 2026: Rodri or Lionel Messi to finish higher?	Rodri	75.0¢	$379	-$5	Trade ↗
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Imperial (BO3) - Circuit X Curitiba Playoffs	Imperial	64.0¢	$353	+$127	Trade ↗
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?	Yes	60.0¢	$270	-$1,530	Trade ↗
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?	Yes	58.0¢	$238	-$1,213	Trade ↗
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	15.0¢	$235	-$1,265	Trade ↗
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	11.0¢	$235	-$536	Trade ↗
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?	Yes	31.3¢	$211	-$339	Trade ↗
Ballon d'Or 2026: Ousmane Dembélé or Khvicha Kvaratskhelia to finish higher?	Kvaratskhelia	71.0¢	$165	+$13	Trade ↗
Will Rodri finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	76.0¢	$107	+$8	Trade ↗
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	Yes	55.0¢	$97	-$1,003	Trade ↗
Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	73.0¢	$72	-$1	Trade ↗
Rockets vs. Hawks: O/U 227.5	Over	51.0¢	$9	-$0	Trade ↗
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)	G2	42.0¢	$0	-$2,520	Trade ↗
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs 3DMAX (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group B	3DMAX	50.0¢	$0	-$4,000	Trade ↗
Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5	Under	50.0¢	$0	-$4,000	Trade ↗
Will Levante UD win on 2026-09-16?	No	74.0¢	$0	-$269	Trade ↗
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group B	PARIVISION	50.0¢	$0	-$1,500	Trade ↗
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Wildcard (BO3) - iBUYPOWER Masters FML Group A	NRG	65.0¢	$0	-$687	Trade ↗
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)	G2	35.0¢	$0	-$33	Trade ↗
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs NRG (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs	MOUZ	86.0¢	$0	-$3,441	Trade ↗
Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?	No	54.0¢	$0	-$4,320	Trade ↗
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Closed Qualifier Group A	BESTIA	38.0¢	$0	-$2,280	Trade ↗
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	38.0¢	$0	-$2,280	Trade ↗
Spread: Broncos (-2.5)	Jaguars	48.0¢	$0	-$3,840	Trade ↗
UFC Fight Night: Vanessa Demopoulos vs. Yazmin Jauregui (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)	Vanessa Demopoulos	12.0¢	$0	-$6	Trade ↗
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. AC Milan: O/U 8.5 Total Corners	Over	56.0¢	$0	-$593	Trade ↗
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz	Carlos Alcaraz	77.0¢	$0	-$6,160	Trade ↗
Spread: Oklahoma (-4.5)	Oklahoma	51.0¢	$0	-$4,080	Trade ↗
Spread: Baylor (-19.5)	Baylor	51.0¢	$0	-$4,080	Trade ↗
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18?	No	35.0¢	$0	-$2,450	Trade ↗
Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	No	40.0¢	$0	-$8,000	Trade ↗
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Astralis (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A	Astralis	49.0¢	$0	-$2,940	Trade ↗
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Group C	fnatic	60.0¢	$0	-$476	Trade ↗
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5)	NIP	53.0¢	$0	-$273	Trade ↗
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 10.5 Total Corners	Over	50.0¢	$0	-$501	Trade ↗
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FURIA (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group B	Legacy	43.0¢	$0	-$3,010	Trade ↗
Map Handicap: MGC (-1.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+1.5)	magic	43.0¢	$0	-$1,597	Trade ↗
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO5) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs	Aurora Gaming	33.0¢	$0	-$1,980	Trade ↗
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs 1WIN (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: European Qualifier Playoffs	Nuclear TigeRES	43.0¢	$0	-$2,580	Trade ↗
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 (BO5) - Worlds Play-In	Cloud9	38.0¢	$0	-$3,040	Trade ↗
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: South American Closed Qualifier Playoffs	ShindeN	51.0¢	$0	-$429	Trade ↗
Spread: Boise State (-19.5)	Boise State	48.0¢	$0	-$5	Trade ↗
Eagles vs. Titans: O/U 39.5	Under	49.0¢	$0	-$3,920	Trade ↗
Spread: Rams (-6.5)	Giants	48.0¢	$0	-$1,920	Trade ↗
Counter-Strike: QUINTESSÊNCIA vs Procyon Gaming (BO3) - CCT South America Series 6 Group Stage	QUINTESSÊNCIA	32.0¢	$0	-$2,560	Trade ↗
Patriots vs. Bills: O/U 50.5	Under	52.0¢	$0	-$3,598	Trade ↗
Map Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5)	XLG Gaming	42.0¢	$0	-$4,200	Trade ↗
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs NIP (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group A	NIP	26.0¢	$0	-$1,820	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
1d ago	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	SELL	No	94.0¢	$14,100
49d ago	Will MOUZ Win the BLAST Open Porto 2026?	BUY	Yes	33.0¢	$20,110