WhaleWatcher

yen4u

75Qualified whaleProven trader
0xf0d5eb1cbe7350f1f896ade6c172e6700414c665· stats updated 2d ago
Realized PnL
+$506,404
closed + open positions
Return on capital
6%
realized PnL ÷ capital deployed
Win rate
100%
500 of 500 resolved
Resolved markets
500
Portfolio value
$222,662
Capital deployed
$7,950,765
lifetime cost of all positions
Tracked whale volume
$72,950
volume seen by WhaleWatcher
Open positions
59

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 24.5/30Return 5.3/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 74.8 / 100

Current positions

MarketOutcomeAvg priceValueUnrealized PnLTrade
Will GameStop acquire eBay?No86.8¢$28,431+$1,752Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No87.8¢$23,991-$97Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No18.5¢$20,611+$15,557Trade ↗
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No31.0¢$17,580+$10,638Trade ↗
Trump out as President before 2027?No92.2¢$16,244+$403Trade ↗
Kash Patel out by December 31?No72.9¢$10,159+$724Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No78.1¢$9,320+$805Trade ↗
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?No72.7¢$8,831+$2,347Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?No79.0¢$8,092+$1,255Trade ↗
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No91.5¢$6,470+$3Trade ↗
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?No67.2¢$6,470+$72Trade ↗
Will "DTF St. Louis" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?Yes96.4¢$5,732+$165Trade ↗
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes6.4¢$5,633+$3,336Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No4.7¢$5,094+$4,524Trade ↗
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Yes93.6¢$4,414-$229Trade ↗
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?No48.4¢$4,335+$1,630Trade ↗
Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?No99.7¢$4,237+$3Trade ↗
Will "DTF St. Louis" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?No96.8¢$3,989+$111Trade ↗
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes35.8¢$3,800+$1,512Trade ↗
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?No91.9¢$3,533+$108Trade ↗
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes34.5¢$3,109+$1,812Trade ↗
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?Yes95.5¢$3,051+$1Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?No85.0¢$1,928+$228Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?No77.3¢$1,926+$299Trade ↗
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?No85.5¢$1,569+$157Trade ↗
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes46.0¢$1,508+$128Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?No91.0¢$1,418+$53Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No72.4¢$1,314+$239Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-34 House seat?Yes98.1¢$1,208-$9Trade ↗
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?No92.0¢$1,136+$18Trade ↗
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No79.1¢$1,028-$8Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?No58.0¢$952+$306Trade ↗
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?No39.2¢$763+$126Trade ↗
Trump goes to space in 2026?No98.0¢$695-$0Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No68.0¢$659+$116Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No99.7¢$400+$1Trade ↗
Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026?No78.5¢$377+$57Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No55.0¢$320+$47Trade ↗
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?No65.3¢$307+$15Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?No99.5¢$301+$1Trade ↗
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?No87.5¢$300+$13Trade ↗
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 9, 2026?No80.1¢$269+$48Trade ↗
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes76.9¢$193+$38Trade ↗
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?No41.0¢$174-$578Trade ↗
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $70?No3.2¢$163+$46Trade ↗
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30?No96.6¢$119+$1Trade ↗
Kash Patel out by September 30?No93.2¢$117+$6Trade ↗
Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026?No86.7¢$104+$8Trade ↗
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $60?No3.2¢$71-$9Trade ↗
Obama divorce before 2027?No96.9¢$63+$0Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?No69.0¢$36+$9Trade ↗
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?No58.0¢$30+$1Trade ↗
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No95.4¢$29+$0Trade ↗
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?Yes82.0¢$20+$1Trade ↗
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?No59.7¢$17+$2Trade ↗
Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027?No34.9¢$11-$1Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes89.0¢$9-$0Trade ↗
Lindsay Clancy sentenced to prison time in 2026?No94.0¢$5-$0Trade ↗
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No33.2¢$0-$0Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump dance on May 20, 2026?Yes0.2¢$0-$2Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on May 17?Yes1.6¢$0-$1Trade ↗
Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)Yes21.1¢$0-$44Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump dance on May 12, 2026?Yes0.1¢$0-$0Trade ↗
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?Yes84.5¢$0-$2,624Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?Yes25.4¢$0-$1,154Trade ↗
Will "Bathroom" be said during Eurovision?Yes0.1¢$0-$1Trade ↗
Will Lacy and Marlon have between 6 and 7 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?Yes2.1¢$0-$1Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on April 28?No2.2¢$0-$158Trade ↗
Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026?Yes0.9¢$0-$2Trade ↗
Blast Open Rotterdam 2026: Will a player break something during a game? Yes4.9¢$0-$580Trade ↗
Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 38 million and 42 million?Yes0.1¢$0-$1Trade ↗
Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week?No12.7¢$0-$10,690Trade ↗
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14No65.8¢$0-$5,418Trade ↗
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?Yes0.9¢$0-$1Trade ↗
Will it rain in Miami, FL on August 31?No99.1¢$0-$659Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump dance on May 21, 2026?Yes1.0¢$0-$1Trade ↗
Will Trump accuse China of election interference by July 16?No0.5¢$0-$5Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on August 19?No99.5¢$0-$488Trade ↗
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?Yes0.1¢$0-$0Trade ↗
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?No20.4¢$0-$64Trade ↗
Empire State couple charged by July 4?No0.1¢$0-$1Trade ↗
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?No22.6¢$0-$6Trade ↗
Will Karoline Leavitt be between 25 and 30 minutes late to the next press briefing?No2.0¢$0-$7Trade ↗
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?No0.1¢$0-$10Trade ↗
Will Trump's Las Vegas remarks last 80 minutes or longer?Yes19.0¢$0-$5Trade ↗
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?Yes0.4¢$0-$20Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Elon Musk by June 30, 2026?Yes0.3¢$0-$1Trade ↗
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes7.1¢$0-$71Trade ↗
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?Yes0.1¢$0-$1Trade ↗
Will Trump praise Jesus by May 31, 2026?No4.0¢$0-$40Trade ↗
Will "Brian Ronan" win Best Sound Design of a Musical at the 2026 Tony Awards?Yes8.3¢$0-$50,977Trade ↗
No one announced as next James Bond?No8.6¢$0-$6,549Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump dance on May 8, 2026?Yes0.1¢$0-$1Trade ↗
Honor of Kings: Kuaishou Gaming vs Virtus.pro (BO7) - Honor of Kings World Cup PlayoffsVirtus.pro4.3¢$0-$129Trade ↗
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Yes92.0¢$0-$3,498Trade ↗
US and Iran sign an agreement by July 31, 2026?No11.2¢$0-$695Trade ↗
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 22?Yes0.1¢$0-$2Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 18, 2026?No0.1¢$0-$10Trade ↗
Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Secret" this week?Yes0.1¢$0-$10Trade ↗
Will "Walter Trarbach" win Best Sound Design of a Musical at the 2026 Tony Awards?Yes8.3¢$0-$50,977Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)