TheRealWarMonger

67Qualified whaleProven trader

0xe472ce6be1fb4673d6155de37e414ead8bace7eb· stats updated 3d ago

Realized PnL

+$204,323

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$143,284

Capital deployed

$3,353,721

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$17,946

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 17.1/30Return 5.1/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -0.3Total 66.9 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	81.6¢	$37,577	+$2,548	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	85.0¢	$27,757	-$2,214	Trade ↗
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	No	92.9¢	$20,817	-$326	Trade ↗
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	89.4¢	$19,421	+$24	Trade ↗
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	91.9¢	$8,434	-$527	Trade ↗
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	93.5¢	$8,041	-$3	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	76.0¢	$2,941	+$357	Trade ↗
New pandemic in 2026?	No	93.4¢	$2,788	+$80	Trade ↗
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	90.5¢	$2,415	-$300	Trade ↗
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	93.6¢	$2,358	+$112	Trade ↗
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	84.5¢	$2,164	-$135	Trade ↗
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	98.7¢	$1,950	+$11	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	67.3¢	$999	-$1,022	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	13.2¢	$938	-$51	Trade ↗
Will Trump endorse Lula da Silva for President of Brazil?	No	96.0¢	$893	+$29	Trade ↗
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	91.0¢	$688	+$11	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?	Yes	72.0¢	$660	+$84	Trade ↗
Iran leadership change by October 31?	No	98.1¢	$487	-$4	Trade ↗
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?	No	96.5¢	$476	+$7	Trade ↗
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	96.6¢	$406	+$5	Trade ↗
Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	89.0¢	$350	-$6	Trade ↗
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	96.0¢	$290	+$4	Trade ↗
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	No	93.0¢	$151	+$2	Trade ↗
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	No	84.3¢	$111	+$10	Trade ↗
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	96.2¢	$45	-$0	Trade ↗
Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31?	No	94.0¢	$39	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	No	99.0¢	$30	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	56.0¢	$26	+$6	Trade ↗
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	74.1¢	$16	-$84	Trade ↗
Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?	No	81.0¢	$15	-$1	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
45d ago	Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?	BUY	No	99.7¢	$17,946