ScottyNooo

93Qualified whaleProven trader

0xbacd00c9080a82ded56f504ee8810af732b0ab35· stats updated 1d ago

Realized PnL

+$13,466,221

closed + open positions

Return on capital

22%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$925,996

Capital deployed

$62,005,098

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$590,527

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

277

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 30.0/30Return 18.1/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 93.1 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	55.4¢	$204,120	+$66,230	Trade ↗
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	58.8¢	$96,879	-$10,634	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	83.8¢	$79,508	+$6,681	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	87.3¢	$36,712	+$1,668	Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	46.8¢	$36,339	+$10,777	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	58.8¢	$33,351	+$4,947	Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	74.3¢	$31,959	+$6,821	Trade ↗
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	59.3¢	$29,784	-$3,517	Trade ↗
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	4.5¢	$22,536	+$6,847	Trade ↗
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	23.0¢	$21,127	-$2,487	Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	89.1¢	$20,570	+$762	Trade ↗
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	2.9¢	$19,450	+$5,598	Trade ↗
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	84.8¢	$19,125	-$2,086	Trade ↗
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	75.4¢	$14,621	+$2,954	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	48.4¢	$14,217	+$4,031	Trade ↗
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	67.8¢	$12,088	+$1,188	Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	32.2¢	$11,935	-$3,137	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	62.9¢	$10,869	+$436	Trade ↗
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	44.9¢	$10,631	-$167	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	51.9¢	$10,491	+$2,423	Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	47.8¢	$8,795	-$13,935	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?	Yes	88.6¢	$7,870	+$209	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	66.0¢	$7,210	-$50	Trade ↗
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	18.8¢	$6,171	-$1,392	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	97.7¢	$5,953	+$23	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	70.4¢	$5,595	+$4	Trade ↗
Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?	No	98.4¢	$5,424	-$25	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	Yes	88.0¢	$5,414	-$61	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	70.2¢	$5,244	+$25	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	No	88.5¢	$5,099	-$87	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	No	59.8¢	$4,718	+$629	Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	83.3¢	$4,500	-$100	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	63.0¢	$4,074	+$33	Trade ↗
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	38.9¢	$3,948	+$625	Trade ↗
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	15.8¢	$3,769	-$2,115	Trade ↗
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.2¢	$3,637	+$3,022	Trade ↗
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	48.0¢	$3,560	+$230	Trade ↗
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	96.0¢	$3,496	+$16	Trade ↗
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?	Yes	79.4¢	$3,383	+$463	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	64.1¢	$3,313	-$5	Trade ↗
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	5.1¢	$3,216	-$91	Trade ↗
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	92.6¢	$3,002	+$14	Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	No	98.6¢	$2,933	+$21	Trade ↗
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	Yes	74.9¢	$2,889	+$366	Trade ↗
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?	No	83.3¢	$2,684	+$256	Trade ↗
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	10.6¢	$2,631	-$697	Trade ↗
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	5.6¢	$2,476	+$1,387	Trade ↗
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	86.5¢	$2,462	-$377	Trade ↗
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$2,295	+$1,401	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	95.5¢	$2,293	+$59	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?	No	94.0¢	$2,056	+$31	Trade ↗
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2027?	Yes	20.2¢	$1,999	+$208	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	No	75.3¢	$1,906	+$166	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	71.7¢	$1,888	+$46	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?	Yes	94.9¢	$1,823	+$9	Trade ↗
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	2.1¢	$1,816	-$6	Trade ↗
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	95.7¢	$1,774	+$24	Trade ↗
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?	No	88.4¢	$1,564	+$37	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	9.1¢	$1,396	+$291	Trade ↗
Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	90.5¢	$1,395	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	9.8¢	$1,311	-$48	Trade ↗
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	1.9¢	$1,310	+$496	Trade ↗
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	71.0¢	$1,252	+$43	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	99.2¢	$1,099	+$4	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	25.9¢	$1,098	+$396	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	10.4¢	$990	+$131	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	1.1¢	$977	+$359	Trade ↗
Will the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.?	No	73.2¢	$925	+$46	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	78.9¢	$889	-$5	Trade ↗
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	15.0¢	$863	+$35	Trade ↗
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	80.7¢	$827	+$128	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	58.1¢	$749	+$85	Trade ↗
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	99.4¢	$697	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?	Yes	67.7¢	$670	+$36	Trade ↗
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	50.1¢	$653	-$3,022	Trade ↗
Will Democrats win exactly 1 House seat in Iowa in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	87.9¢	$614	+$29	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-23 House seat?	Yes	35.3¢	$609	+$43	Trade ↗
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	97.0¢	$591	+$9	Trade ↗
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?	No	84.8¢	$575	+$24	Trade ↗
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Yes	18.2¢	$566	-$1,305	Trade ↗
Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?	No	76.5¢	$532	-$80	Trade ↗
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	No	86.0¢	$519	+$3	Trade ↗
Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?	No	86.8¢	$501	-$20	Trade ↗
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$500	-$389	Trade ↗
Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?	No	70.8¢	$487	-$9	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	Yes	25.2¢	$468	-$270	Trade ↗
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	72.3¢	$465	+$31	Trade ↗
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	1.6¢	$460	+$192	Trade ↗
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	4.2¢	$453	+$94	Trade ↗
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	Yes	28.1¢	$448	-$1,838	Trade ↗
Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?	No	91.9¢	$445	+$23	Trade ↗
Will Democrats sweep the Ohio Senate and Governor elections?	Yes	53.0¢	$435	+$96	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?	No	17.4¢	$434	+$139	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?	No	87.6¢	$432	+$16	Trade ↗
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.4¢	$417	-$716	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	Yes	88.5¢	$416	+$14	Trade ↗
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	14.4¢	$408	+$2	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	No	87.5¢	$406	+$18	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?	Yes	15.9¢	$404	+$150	Trade ↗
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	68.0¢	$399	+$35	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
14d ago	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	SELL	No	95.0¢	$14,250
16d ago	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	BUY	Yes	58.4¢	$12,835
18d ago	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	No	85.0¢	$18,815
19d ago	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	BUY	Yes	60.3¢	$16,283
26d ago	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	BUY	Yes	58.1¢	$11,620
32d ago	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	BUY	Yes	99.0¢	$18,395
32d ago	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?	BUY	Yes	98.9¢	$10,004
32d ago	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	BUY	Yes	97.7¢	$16,911
34d ago	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	No	60.0¢	$12,672
34d ago	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	BUY	Yes	93.0¢	$37,607
34d ago	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	BUY	Yes	89.0¢	$28,670
35d ago	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	BUY	Yes	91.0¢	$12,632
35d ago	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	BUY	Yes	81.0¢	$18,027
39d ago	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	BUY	No	89.0¢	$30,260
39d ago	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	BUY	Yes	99.8¢	$25,722
41d ago	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	BUY	No	99.7¢	$99,700
47d ago	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	BUY	Yes	95.0¢	$39,490
55d ago	US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?	BUY	No	99.9¢	$34,129
55d ago	US ceasefire against Iran continues through October 31?	BUY	No	99.9¢	$12,090
55d ago	US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	BUY	No	99.9¢	$13,069
67d ago	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	BUY	Yes	71.0¢	$21,058
67d ago	Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	BUY	Yes	99.4¢	$30,339
73d ago	Todd Blanche nomination withdrawn by August 31?	BUY	No	99.9¢	$41,499
78d ago	Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by August 30?	BUY	Yes	97.9¢	$14,450