WhaleWatcher

ScottyNooo

94Qualified whaleProven trader
0xbacd00c9080a82ded56f504ee8810af732b0ab35· stats updated 2d ago
Realized PnL
+$14,179,278
closed + open positions
Return on capital
22%
realized PnL ÷ capital deployed
Win rate
100%
500 of 500 resolved
Resolved markets
500
Portfolio value
$796,898
Capital deployed
$63,447,449
lifetime cost of all positions
Tracked whale volume
$206,124
volume seen by WhaleWatcher
Open positions
237

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 30.0/30Return 18.6/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 93.6 / 100

Current positions

MarketOutcomeAvg priceValueUnrealized PnLTrade
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes51.3¢$179,714+$22,190Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No79.8¢$56,316+$4,953Trade ↗
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes94.9¢$44,510-$204Trade ↗
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No73.9¢$42,277+$8,875Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes32.5¢$38,731+$7,114Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes80.0¢$36,827+$3,132Trade ↗
Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No96.2¢$30,255+$764Trade ↗
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes4.5¢$28,271+$12,100Trade ↗
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes23.2¢$24,756+$1,448Trade ↗
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes44.6¢$24,170+$2,689Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes66.3¢$23,118-$9,163Trade ↗
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2.9¢$17,731+$3,738Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No83.1¢$17,290+$489Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes86.2¢$15,449+$564Trade ↗
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Yes38.4¢$14,544+$2,796Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes36.4¢$12,855+$3,777Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo84.0¢$12,658+$650Trade ↗
Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?No98.4¢$10,767-$77Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes37.3¢$9,981-$507Trade ↗
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No95.7¢$8,959+$79Trade ↗
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No73.3¢$8,426+$1,889Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes39.5¢$8,129+$1,892Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes49.8¢$7,302+$235Trade ↗
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?No70.5¢$6,521-$3,155Trade ↗
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes19.8¢$6,424+$120Trade ↗
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?No94.0¢$4,628+$31Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No95.5¢$4,362+$109Trade ↗
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No97.7¢$4,329+$41Trade ↗
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes47.7¢$4,281+$729Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes78.0¢$4,173+$179Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No38.6¢$3,697+$872Trade ↗
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes5.1¢$3,555+$316Trade ↗
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?Yes60.2¢$3,230+$960Trade ↗
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?No86.1¢$3,013+$264Trade ↗
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes10.7¢$2,841-$601Trade ↗
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes5.6¢$2,824+$1,639Trade ↗
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes15.8¢$2,767-$3,118Trade ↗
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes91.3¢$2,736+$153Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?No97.6¢$2,391+$6Trade ↗
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?No80.3¢$2,334+$155Trade ↗
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes13.5¢$2,286-$2,477Trade ↗
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No89.0¢$2,253-$124Trade ↗
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No99.3¢$2,214+$8Trade ↗
Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?No97.7¢$2,211+$20Trade ↗
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No83.3¢$2,127+$292Trade ↗
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes92.0¢$2,078+$33Trade ↗
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?No62.2¢$1,812+$37Trade ↗
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1.9¢$1,706+$619Trade ↗
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes54.2¢$1,665+$574Trade ↗
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes57.6¢$1,489-$5,378Trade ↗
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes32.7¢$1,468+$101Trade ↗
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1.9¢$1,396+$582Trade ↗
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Yes29.3¢$1,341-$3,291Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes9.0¢$1,293+$429Trade ↗
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No99.9¢$1,109-$1Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?No79.3¢$1,056-$99Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes1.1¢$1,012+$389Trade ↗
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes21.1¢$972+$78Trade ↗
Fetterman out by September 30, 2026?No95.0¢$844+$15Trade ↗
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes7.0¢$817-$223Trade ↗
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes14.2¢$810+$114Trade ↗
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?No80.7¢$810+$111Trade ↗
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No72.2¢$734-$575Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No98.8¢$728+$6Trade ↗
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes0.4¢$694-$439Trade ↗
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes82.3¢$689+$69Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes54.0¢$661+$61Trade ↗
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes59.4¢$651+$42Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?No98.2¢$638+$6Trade ↗
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes25.1¢$617+$174Trade ↗
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No97.0¢$591+$9Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseNo98.4¢$572+$4Trade ↗
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No88.8¢$555+$22Trade ↗
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No84.3¢$519-$5Trade ↗
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No92.6¢$504+$37Trade ↗
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes0.8¢$500-$389Trade ↗
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes0.2¢$474-$140Trade ↗
Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes15.4¢$465-$65Trade ↗
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No91.0¢$460-$15Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?No77.0¢$450+$22Trade ↗
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes4.2¢$446+$79Trade ↗
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No96.2¢$443+$16Trade ↗
Iran leadership change by December 31?No65.0¢$433+$107Trade ↗
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No72.3¢$417-$17Trade ↗
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No81.3¢$406+$63Trade ↗
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1.6¢$393+$125Trade ↗
US strike on Mexico by December 31?Yes13.9¢$390-$182Trade ↗
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes0.7¢$372-$92Trade ↗
Will Jair Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?No99.0¢$359-$2Trade ↗
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes44.9¢$340+$37Trade ↗
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Yes35.4¢$337-$245Trade ↗
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No64.0¢$314+$101Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No73.0¢$306+$14Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No55.5¢$302+$80Trade ↗
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?Yes39.0¢$288-$1,754Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes59.2¢$282+$45Trade ↗
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?No89.0¢$275+$8Trade ↗
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?No49.7¢$253+$105Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes8.4¢$234+$77Trade ↗
US strike on Colombia by December 31?Yes15.0¢$233$0Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)