charlatta

42Proven trader

0xb7b8e9681f5c863dfbd3ac7ec66bac69fa0edb31· stats updated 2d ago

Realized PnL

+$6,728

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

85%

263 of 310 resolved

Resolved markets

310

Portfolio value

$122,721

Capital deployed

$2,224,369

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$14,223

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 0.0/30Return 0.3/25Consistency 21.8/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 42.0 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	No	93.2¢	$29,337	-$550	Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	76.3¢	$25,184	+$4,629	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	83.8¢	$13,162	-$1,220	Trade ↗
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	Yes	98.6¢	$4,948	+$17	Trade ↗
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	98.9¢	$4,722	+$10	Trade ↗
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	93.2¢	$4,675	+$13	Trade ↗
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	94.0¢	$4,638	+$69	Trade ↗
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?	No	99.6¢	$3,893	+$4	Trade ↗
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	96.1¢	$3,824	+$82	Trade ↗
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	88.9¢	$3,412	-$18	Trade ↗
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	84.6¢	$3,007	-$318	Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	19.4¢	$1,316	+$229	Trade ↗
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	83.8¢	$1,223	-$35	Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	55.7¢	$1,215	+$213	Trade ↗
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	95.0¢	$1,207	+$35	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	27.4¢	$1,106	-$4,400	Trade ↗
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?	Yes	63.1¢	$1,072	+$62	Trade ↗
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	No	93.2¢	$1,040	+$1	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	77.2¢	$1,014	-$80	Trade ↗
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	No	92.0¢	$1,005	+$16	Trade ↗
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	96.0¢	$914	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Mailza Assis win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial election?	Yes	98.6¢	$887	-$1	Trade ↗
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	88.4¢	$886	-$86	Trade ↗
Iran leadership change by October 31?	No	96.7¢	$784	+$10	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Yes	95.5¢	$765	+$1	Trade ↗
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	92.0¢	$660	-$76	Trade ↗
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	78.0¢	$652	+$28	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	57.0¢	$642	-$385	Trade ↗
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	74.3¢	$524	-$71	Trade ↗
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?	Yes	53.0¢	$500	+$23	Trade ↗
GTA VI released by November 30?	Yes	93.0¢	$486	+$21	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	33.8¢	$455	-$75	Trade ↗
US recession by end of 2026?	No	89.8¢	$424	+$17	Trade ↗
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?	No	87.0¢	$405	-$30	Trade ↗
New pandemic in 2026?	No	95.4¢	$399	+$1	Trade ↗
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	97.6¢	$397	+$7	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	96.7¢	$344	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?	No	94.1¢	$275	-$8	Trade ↗
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?	No	98.2¢	$247	+$1	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?	Yes	94.7¢	$191	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	10.0¢	$186	+$9	Trade ↗
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	86.0¢	$145	+$16	Trade ↗
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	48.7¢	$130	+$61	Trade ↗
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	No	87.0¢	$89	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	83.0¢	$85	+$2	Trade ↗
Rihanna confirmed pregnant in 2026?	No	83.0¢	$83	$0	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?	Yes	89.0¢	$72	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Islam Makhachev be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	92.1¢	$57	+$2	Trade ↗
Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?	No	87.0¢	$14	+$0	Trade ↗
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	46.0¢	$13	-$3	Trade ↗
Fed rate cut by January 2027 meeting?	No	86.0¢	$7	+$1	Trade ↗
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	39.9¢	$4	-$50	Trade ↗
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?	No	96.8¢	$2	+$0	Trade ↗
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	73.0¢	$1	-$15	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
58d ago	Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?	SELL	No	99.8¢	$14,223