charlatta

0xb7b8e9681f5c863dfbd3ac7ec66bac69fa0edb31· stats updated 3d ago

Realized PnL

-$65,629

closed + open positions

Return on capital

-4%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

84%

206 of 246 resolved

Resolved markets

246

Portfolio value

$111,252

Capital deployed

$1,683,637

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$14,223

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 0.0/30Return 0.0/25Consistency 21.1/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 41.1 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?	No	98.8¢	$19,385	-$8	Trade ↗
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	No	98.8¢	$16,210	+$41	Trade ↗
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	No	95.1¢	$14,275	+$145	Trade ↗
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	95.8¢	$8,725	+$24	Trade ↗
Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?	No	98.3¢	$6,825	+$82	Trade ↗
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	98.6¢	$5,937	+$21	Trade ↗
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	No	97.3¢	$5,593	+$67	Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	69.4¢	$4,258	-$121	Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	55.8¢	$3,688	-$467	Trade ↗
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	98.4¢	$3,554	-$22	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	30.4¢	$3,434	+$1,367	Trade ↗
Iran leadership change by September 30?	No	96.4¢	$3,404	+$30	Trade ↗
Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	62.6¢	$3,063	+$380	Trade ↗
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	No	89.4¢	$2,546	+$85	Trade ↗
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	No	97.7¢	$2,150	+$28	Trade ↗
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?	No	89.5¢	$1,697	+$131	Trade ↗
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	98.0¢	$1,221	+$17	Trade ↗
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	83.0¢	$1,050	+$54	Trade ↗
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?	Yes	91.1¢	$926	+$51	Trade ↗
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	62.0¢	$606	-$138	Trade ↗
Lecornu out as French PM by September 30, 2026?	No	95.0¢	$575	+$25	Trade ↗
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	No	89.0¢	$531	-$3	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	97.0¢	$391	+$3	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	99.1¢	$254	+$1	Trade ↗
Iran full airspace closure by September 30?	No	87.4¢	$208	+$3	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	No	96.8¢	$199	+$5	Trade ↗
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	86.0¢	$161	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	83.0¢	$87	+$4	Trade ↗
Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?	No	97.7¢	$78	+$1	Trade ↗
Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by September 30, 2026?	No	95.2¢	$58	+$1	Trade ↗
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?	No	95.4¢	$53	+$2	Trade ↗
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?	No	91.0¢	$47	+$1	Trade ↗
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 7?	No	92.0¢	$20	+$1	Trade ↗
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	94.0¢	$16	-$31	Trade ↗
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	14.0¢	$10	+$5	Trade ↗
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	46.0¢	$10	-$6	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	63.4¢	$6	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?	No	30.0¢	$4	-$0	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
12d ago	Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?	SELL	No	99.8¢	$14,223