ChairmanFed

54Qualified whaleProven trader

0x836960eba14bb3dec013fc50d2be66808db2f584· stats updated 1d ago

Realized PnL

+$26,749

closed + open positions

Return on capital

11%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$28,077

Capital deployed

$241,347

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$23,079

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

231

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 0.6/30Return 9.2/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -0.9Total 53.9 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	92.4¢	$8,225	+$7	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	77.1¢	$3,966	+$731	Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	93.9¢	$1,167	+$7	Trade ↗
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	54.1¢	$1,137	+$292	Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	No	77.0¢	$1,132	-$38	Trade ↗
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	No	19.8¢	$837	+$202	Trade ↗
StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	91.9¢	$760	+$51	Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	68.0¢	$633	-$14	Trade ↗
Betmoar FDV above $20M one day after launch?	No	59.6¢	$551	+$9	Trade ↗
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?	Yes	69.0¢	$544	+$78	Trade ↗
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	26.1¢	$453	+$21	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	40.3¢	$449	-$75	Trade ↗
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	70.9¢	$408	+$4	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	Yes	65.8¢	$399	+$4	Trade ↗
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	12.2¢	$386	+$37	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	68.0¢	$369	-$26	Trade ↗
Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026?	Yes	17.2¢	$359	+$42	Trade ↗
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 2 - 0 Athletic Club?	Yes	6.0¢	$348	+$306	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	No	77.0¢	$329	-$11	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-01 House seat?	No	82.9¢	$306	-$26	Trade ↗
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	5.5¢	$268	+$189	Trade ↗
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	96.2¢	$248	+$3	Trade ↗
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	61.4¢	$216	-$3	Trade ↗
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	33.5¢	$214	-$67	Trade ↗
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	15.5¢	$205	-$157	Trade ↗
Dota 2: Astra Invicta vs LEGION (BO3) - PARI Universe Group B	Astra Invicta	84.0¢	$191	+$8	Trade ↗
Cambria FDV above $30M one day after launch?	Yes	53.2¢	$190	-$3	Trade ↗
Exact Score: Arsenal FC 3 - 0 Everton FC?	Yes	9.1¢	$171	+$124	Trade ↗
Will Hylo launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	88.0¢	$126	$0	Trade ↗
Exact Score: Arsenal FC 2 - 0 Everton FC?	Yes	13.9¢	$121	+$63	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	64.0¢	$120	-$4	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 25?	No	67.7¢	$118	-$37	Trade ↗
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	90.0¢	$117	+$1	Trade ↗
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	25.0¢	$106	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	63.0¢	$103	+$24	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?	Yes	68.0¢	$98	-$14	Trade ↗
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	17.8¢	$91	-$87	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	30.0¢	$88	-$1	Trade ↗
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner	Team Spirit	75.5¢	$84	+$7	Trade ↗
Nets vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	82.3¢	$82	-$1	Trade ↗
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	80.6¢	$82	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	2.5¢	$74	-$61	Trade ↗
Anthropic IPO before 2027?	No	20.2¢	$71	+$3	Trade ↗
Wizards vs. Bulls: O/U 255.5	Under	72.0¢	$67	+$1	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	72.0¢	$65	+$8	Trade ↗
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PARI Universe Group B	Team Spirit	81.0¢	$64	+$4	Trade ↗
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?	Yes	3.7¢	$63	-$14	Trade ↗
Exact Score: Abha Saudi Club 2 - 0 Al Kholood Saudi Club?	Yes	5.4¢	$60	+$53	Trade ↗
Exact Score: SSC Napoli 1 - 1 AS Roma?	Yes	14.0¢	$55	-$2	Trade ↗
Spurs vs. Mavericks	Spurs	74.9¢	$54	+$6	Trade ↗
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-10-16?	No	15.0¢	$51	+$20	Trade ↗
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	4.3¢	$51	-$13	Trade ↗
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	Yes	31.5¢	$50	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Los Angeles Rams win the 2026 NFC West?	No	74.0¢	$49	+$10	Trade ↗
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	Yes	18.5¢	$48	-$6	Trade ↗
SlingshotDAO FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	36.1¢	$47	-$12	Trade ↗
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	10.6¢	$47	-$15	Trade ↗
Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?	Yes	7.0¢	$41	+$9	Trade ↗
Will San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?	No	72.3¢	$41	+$0	Trade ↗
Spread: Heat (-7.5)	Heat	37.0¢	$39	-$1	Trade ↗
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?	Yes	24.0¢	$35	-$2	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-07 House seat?	Yes	25.0¢	$34	+$4	Trade ↗
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	4.0¢	$34	-$12	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C or higher on October 25?	Yes	14.6¢	$33	+$19	Trade ↗
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	37.8¢	$33	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Ivar Stenberg win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy?	No	87.0¢	$33	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	66.0¢	$33	+$7	Trade ↗
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	88.0¢	$32	+$1	Trade ↗
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	26.7¢	$31	-$66	Trade ↗
Will Atalanta BC vs. Frosinone Calcio end in a draw?	Yes	23.0¢	$30	+$1	Trade ↗
Bucks vs. 76ers	76ers	85.0¢	$29	-$0	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 25?	No	50.0¢	$28	-$5	Trade ↗
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 3 - 1 Eintracht Frankfurt?	Yes	8.0¢	$26	-$2	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	64.0¢	$26	-$0	Trade ↗
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 4 Athletic Club?	Yes	1.0¢	$26	+$21	Trade ↗
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	20.0¢	$25	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Anyone's Legend win Worlds 2026?	Yes	5.6¢	$22	-$10	Trade ↗
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026?	Yes	6.3¢	$21	+$8	Trade ↗
Reya FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	86.6¢	$21	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	1.0¢	$19	+$10	Trade ↗
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	49.7¢	$19	-$16	Trade ↗
SSC Napoli vs. AS Roma: O/U 10.5 Total Corners	Over	33.8¢	$18	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	78.0¢	$17	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	48.0¢	$17	-$2	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 25?	Yes	35.5¢	$17	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	28.6¢	$17	-$47	Trade ↗
MagicBlock FDV above $10M one day after launch?	No	82.9¢	$16	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	No	77.3¢	$15	+$1	Trade ↗
Exact Score: Real Racing Club 3 - 1 RCD Espanyol de Barcelona?	Yes	5.0¢	$14	+$9	Trade ↗
Pelicans vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	80.8¢	$14	-$0	Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	23.0¢	$12	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	30.8¢	$12	+$3	Trade ↗
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?	Yes	11.0¢	$12	-$1	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the FL-14 House seat?	No	65.0¢	$12	+$1	Trade ↗
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	93.0¢	$12	+$1	Trade ↗
Spread: Hornets (-16.5)	Hornets	9.0¢	$12	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-10-16?	Yes	17.5¢	$11	-$0	Trade ↗
Exact Score: Arsenal FC 4 - 1 Everton FC?	Yes	3.2¢	$10	+$1	Trade ↗
Will GEN be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?	Yes	30.0¢	$10	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?	No	88.1¢	$10	-$0	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
39d ago	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	BUY	Yes	88.0¢	$12,739
40d ago	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	BUY	No	89.0¢	$10,339