pop

44Qualified whaleProven trader

0x6404bfa37fe830e29ee8967e1c3b2a8091d5f250· stats updated 15h ago

Realized PnL

+$77,131

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

68%

180 of 263 resolved

Resolved markets

263

Portfolio value

$64,501

Capital deployed

$1,775,993

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$11,849

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 9.2/30Return 3.6/25Consistency 11.5/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 44.3 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	82.7¢	$10,909	+$363	Trade ↗
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?	No	56.5¢	$9,022	+$2,915	Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	61.8¢	$7,485	-$2,463	Trade ↗
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	35.8¢	$6,672	-$49	Trade ↗
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	54.6¢	$5,214	+$1,390	Trade ↗
Will the federal gas tax be suspended by November 2, 2026?	No	79.3¢	$3,478	+$543	Trade ↗
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	35.1¢	$3,164	+$5	Trade ↗
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	79.0¢	$3,163	+$241	Trade ↗
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	79.6¢	$2,753	+$170	Trade ↗
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	72.0¢	$2,137	-$109	Trade ↗
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	69.4¢	$1,918	+$380	Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	60.0¢	$1,313	-$188	Trade ↗
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	56.2¢	$1,244	-$161	Trade ↗
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	2.9¢	$1,125	+$33	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	28.3¢	$927	-$571	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	No	43.0¢	$863	-$213	Trade ↗
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	68.0¢	$596	+$52	Trade ↗
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	37.0¢	$564	+$268	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	43.0¢	$414	-$102	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	41.0¢	$414	-$78	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	52.0¢	$402	-$222	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	26.4¢	$365	+$154	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	No	46.5¢	$106	+$19	Trade ↗
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?	No	59.0¢	$89	+$15	Trade ↗
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?	Yes	27.0¢	$88	-$34	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	0.6¢	$41	+$8	Trade ↗
Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?	No	24.3¢	$22	+$2	Trade ↗
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	1.1¢	$14	-$88	Trade ↗
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?	Yes	64.8¢	$0	-$1,642	Trade ↗
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. St. Louis Cardinals	No	46.0¢	$0	-$117	Trade ↗
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. Washington Nationals	Yes	48.9¢	$0	-$112	Trade ↗
UFC 318: Costa vs. Kopylov	Kopylov	67.0¢	$0	-$1,005	Trade ↗
Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?	No	56.8¢	$0	-$511	Trade ↗
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	Yes	1.8¢	$0	-$90	Trade ↗
Texas Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Act (H.B. 1598) signed in 2025?	Yes	35.0¢	$0	-$96	Trade ↗
Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?	Yes	38.0¢	$0	-$456	Trade ↗
Will James Fishback finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	Yes	22.7¢	$0	-$533	Trade ↗
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. San Francisco Giants	Yes	48.0¢	$0	-$14	Trade ↗
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?	Yes	38.9¢	$0	-$1,422	Trade ↗
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves	Yes	50.0¢	$0	-$79	Trade ↗
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?	Yes	25.0¢	$0	-$125	Trade ↗
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Yes	47.0¢	$0	-$247	Trade ↗
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?	Yes	28.0¢	$0	-$140	Trade ↗
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?	Yes	17.0¢	$0	-$85	Trade ↗
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?	No	6.0¢	$0	-$72	Trade ↗
Will James Fishback win 25–30% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	Yes	0.8¢	$0	-$5	Trade ↗
Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?	Yes	23.0¢	$0	-$184	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 12, 2026?	Yes	5.0¢	$0	-$125	Trade ↗
Will Trump remove 10% blanket tariff before July?	Yes	30.0¢	$0	-$150	Trade ↗
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	No	65.0¢	$0	-$3,250	Trade ↗
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?	Yes	4.1¢	$0	-$1,121	Trade ↗
Will Levi Strauss & Co. say "Inventory" 10+ times during earnings call?	Yes	98.0¢	$0	-$20	Trade ↗
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	1.9¢	$0	-$152	Trade ↗
Will one person dissent the July Fed decision?	Yes	22.0¢	$0	-$176	Trade ↗
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Yes	40.0¢	$0	-$238	Trade ↗
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?	Yes	2.8¢	$0	-$151	Trade ↗
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins	Yes	40.0¢	$0	-$104	Trade ↗
Will Seth Moulton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?	Yes	15.3¢	$0	-$567	Trade ↗
LoL: Sentinels vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season	Sentinels	73.0¢	$0	-$584	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	0.5¢	$0	-$55	Trade ↗
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?	No	70.0¢	$0	-$315	Trade ↗
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Texas Rangers	No	49.0¢	$0	-$392	Trade ↗
Will James Fishback win 15–20% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	Yes	10.0¢	$0	-$22	Trade ↗
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	46.5¢	$0	-$2,280	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?	Yes	11.0¢	$0	-$220	Trade ↗
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?	No	69.0¢	$0	-$1,380	Trade ↗
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees	Yes	48.0¢	$0	-$384	Trade ↗
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?	Yes	29.0¢	$0	-$232	Trade ↗
Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	39.0¢	$0	-$468	Trade ↗
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres	Yes	42.0¢	$0	-$336	Trade ↗
Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	No	80.0¢	$0	-$872	Trade ↗
Will James Fishback win 20–25% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	Yes	1.7¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
LoL: Sentinels vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner	Shopify Rebellion	32.0¢	$0	-$25	Trade ↗
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Seattle Mariners	Yes	45.0¢	$0	-$230	Trade ↗
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?	No	30.0¢	$0	-$360	Trade ↗
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-8.5)	Phoenix Mercury	53.0¢	$0	-$636	Trade ↗
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins	Yes	47.0¢	$0	-$377	Trade ↗
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees	Yes	47.0¢	$0	-$69	Trade ↗
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	28.0¢	$0	-$336	Trade ↗
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. San Diego Padres	Yes	54.4¢	$0	-$679	Trade ↗
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	51.4¢	$0	-$617	Trade ↗
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?	Yes	37.0¢	$0	-$296	Trade ↗
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-9.5)	Phoenix Mercury	57.0¢	$0	-$456	Trade ↗
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	Yes	49.3¢	$0	-$518	Trade ↗
Phoenix Mercury vs. Las Vegas Aces	Phoenix Mercury	27.0¢	$0	-$324	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
15d ago	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL	No	83.0¢	$11,849