neutralwave23

100Qualified whaleProven trader

0x5b6331e7ff0831a3fe2ed12004747db1a9c911a4· stats updated 2h ago

Realized PnL

+$5,092,196

closed + open positions

Return on capital

30%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$417,722

Capital deployed

$17,202,167

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$526,402

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

500

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 30.0/30Return 24.7/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 99.7 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	36.6¢	$41,710	-$101	Trade ↗
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	10.2¢	$36,796	+$10,633	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	78.4¢	$27,677	+$105	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	36.9¢	$22,541	-$265	Trade ↗
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	85.8¢	$15,720	+$1,872	Trade ↗
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	27.1¢	$12,879	-$421	Trade ↗
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	81.9¢	$12,136	+$1,989	Trade ↗
Will Real Madrid reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal?	Yes	75.6¢	$10,852	+$593	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	43.6¢	$9,731	+$4,923	Trade ↗
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	90.9¢	$9,294	-$246	Trade ↗
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	36.4¢	$8,913	+$3,225	Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	38.5¢	$8,678	-$6,861	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	73.0¢	$7,429	+$1,298	Trade ↗
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	79.6¢	$5,511	-$150	Trade ↗
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	89.5¢	$5,391	+$311	Trade ↗
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Yes	15.6¢	$5,065	-$5,450	Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	78.9¢	$4,600	+$800	Trade ↗
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	91.6¢	$4,444	+$290	Trade ↗
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	16.9¢	$4,038	+$62	Trade ↗
Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	25.6¢	$3,991	+$698	Trade ↗
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?	No	66.1¢	$3,766	+$1,185	Trade ↗
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	17.6¢	$3,596	-$133	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	45.8¢	$3,112	-$93	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	51.5¢	$2,980	-$254	Trade ↗
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	23.8¢	$2,963	-$660	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	28.3¢	$2,958	+$1,966	Trade ↗
Will Omar Aziz win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?	Yes	88.2¢	$2,928	+$57	Trade ↗
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	13.9¢	$2,914	+$834	Trade ↗
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	15.6¢	$2,833	-$73	Trade ↗
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	33.3¢	$2,661	+$299	Trade ↗
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	29.0¢	$2,577	+$546	Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	60.7¢	$2,559	+$223	Trade ↗
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	19.3¢	$2,533	-$1,744	Trade ↗
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	73.9¢	$2,461	+$538	Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	9.6¢	$2,367	-$651	Trade ↗
Will Barcelona reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal?	Yes	82.0¢	$2,296	-$57	Trade ↗
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	45.0¢	$2,266	+$722	Trade ↗
Will SV Ried win on 2026-10-25?	No	83.0¢	$2,159	+$111	Trade ↗
Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	56.8¢	$1,944	-$138	Trade ↗
Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	51.8¢	$1,728	-$176	Trade ↗
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	2.5¢	$1,630	+$385	Trade ↗
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	7.8¢	$1,619	+$909	Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	25.3¢	$1,618	-$383	Trade ↗
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	2.3¢	$1,551	+$123	Trade ↗
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	No	86.0¢	$1,499	+$42	Trade ↗
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	6.6¢	$1,470	-$11	Trade ↗
Pistons vs. 76ers	Pistons	46.0¢	$1,407	+$125	Trade ↗
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	12.0¢	$1,380	+$311	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	31.4¢	$1,348	-$20	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	72.0¢	$1,303	+$311	Trade ↗
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	12.5¢	$1,297	-$3,343	Trade ↗
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	25.6¢	$1,297	+$541	Trade ↗
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	48.8¢	$1,250	+$311	Trade ↗
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Aurora Gaming	58.0¢	$1,177	+$261	Trade ↗
Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?	No	88.3¢	$1,167	+$121	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	63.6¢	$1,162	+$196	Trade ↗
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	9.3¢	$1,134	-$50	Trade ↗
Will Chang San-cheng win the next Taoyuan Mayor election?	Yes	84.4¢	$1,095	+$33	Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	54.5¢	$1,092	-$685	Trade ↗
Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026?	No	85.8¢	$1,066	+$98	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	50.3¢	$1,019	+$301	Trade ↗
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	82.8¢	$1,015	+$129	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	31.6¢	$988	-$796	Trade ↗
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	78.9¢	$981	+$198	Trade ↗
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	70.2¢	$973	-$103	Trade ↗
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	44.7¢	$972	+$293	Trade ↗
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	50.0¢	$963	-$73	Trade ↗
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	55.9¢	$951	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	3.2¢	$922	-$7	Trade ↗
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	33.7¢	$894	+$361	Trade ↗
Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz	Lorenzo Musetti	51.7¢	$873	+$184	Trade ↗
HJK Helsinki vs. Kuopion Palloseura: O/U 3.5	Over	8.0¢	$860	+$765	Trade ↗
Swiss Indoors Basel, Qualification: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Aleksandar Kovacevic	Aleksandar Kovacevic	55.8¢	$827	-$1,137	Trade ↗
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	11.6¢	$807	-$8	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	68.8¢	$797	-$4,974	Trade ↗
Will Ritual launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	91.5¢	$772	+$54	Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	49.2¢	$772	+$288	Trade ↗
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	82.9¢	$762	+$124	Trade ↗
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027?	Yes	35.0¢	$733	-$459	Trade ↗
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	12.6¢	$730	-$2,731	Trade ↗
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	31.8¢	$726	-$98	Trade ↗
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	74.3¢	$713	-$124	Trade ↗
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	13.9¢	$700	-$99	Trade ↗
Will Microsoft (MSFT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	83.0¢	$700	-$50	Trade ↗
Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026?	No	48.0¢	$685	+$228	Trade ↗
Will Hilton (HLT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	82.0¢	$670	-$13	Trade ↗
Will Merck (MRK) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	88.4¢	$662	-$18	Trade ↗
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	59.2¢	$660	-$38	Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	70.4¢	$648	+$165	Trade ↗
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	81.0¢	$644	+$9	Trade ↗
Will Reddit (RDDT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	89.8¢	$617	-$63	Trade ↗
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	60.1¢	$608	+$14	Trade ↗
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	79.0¢	$605	+$112	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	43.9¢	$596	-$4,203	Trade ↗
Will Solana reach $320 by December 31, 2026?	No	90.0¢	$583	+$48	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	44.0¢	$579	+$297	Trade ↗
Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	80.4¢	$578	-$21	Trade ↗
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	81.9¢	$568	+$88	Trade ↗
Will eBay (EBAY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	82.9¢	$557	+$33	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	40.2¢	$552	-$2,405	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
19h ago	LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	BUY	T1	57.0¢	$14,285
3d ago	Bulls vs. Raptors	BUY	Raptors	85.3¢	$20,900
4d ago	Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5	SELL	Over	99.9¢	$11,658
9d ago	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	BUY	Yes	38.0¢	$13,889
14d ago	Boise State vs. Fresno State	BUY	Boise State	97.5¢	$12,343
17d ago	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	BUY	Yes	34.2¢	$11,866
17d ago	New Mexico State vs. Florida International	BUY	Florida International	99.9¢	$11,205
18d ago	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	BUY	No	36.0¢	$11,871
20d ago	China Open: Coco Gauff vs Xinran Sun	BUY	Coco Gauff	92.3¢	$27,147
20d ago	China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev	SELL	Novak Djokovic	99.9¢	$27,738
20d ago	China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	Alex de Minaur	78.2¢	$13,822
27d ago	Ravens vs. Cowboys	BUY	Ravens	42.0¢	$14,239
27d ago	Ravens vs. Cowboys	SELL	Ravens	40.0¢	$16,781
28d ago	Texas vs. Tennessee: O/U 53.5	SELL	Under	99.9¢	$14,634
28d ago	Texas vs. Tennessee: O/U 53.5	SELL	Under	99.9¢	$14,634
29d ago	Texas vs. Tennessee: O/U 57.5	BUY	Under	59.4¢	$13,614
29d ago	Texas vs. Tennessee: O/U 55.5	BUY	Under	54.0¢	$18,988
29d ago	Texas vs. Tennessee: O/U 53.5	BUY	Under	48.6¢	$18,989
30d ago	Will Portugal win on 2026-09-24?	SELL	Yes	90.6¢	$11,369
41d ago	US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Ben Shelton	BUY	Alexander Zverev	91.0¢	$13,986
44d ago	Genoa: Laslo Djere vs Stefanos Sakellaridis	BUY	Stefanos Sakellaridis	56.8¢	$16,720
48d ago	US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien	BUY	Karen Khachanov	37.0¢	$14,111
57d ago	Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-08-29?	SELL	No	85.0¢	$22,962
57d ago	Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-08-29?	BUY	No	85.8¢	$15,069
58d ago	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-27?	SELL	Yes	89.0¢	$11,047