neutralwave23

100Qualified whaleProven trader

0x5b6331e7ff0831a3fe2ed12004747db1a9c911a4· stats updated 10h ago

Realized PnL

+$5,238,851

closed + open positions

Return on capital

32%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$306,927

Capital deployed

$16,384,053

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$195,724

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

475

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 30.0/30Return 25.0/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 100.0 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	48.0¢	$32,461	-$2,571	Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	61.2¢	$19,441	-$3,237	Trade ↗
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	70.0¢	$19,264	+$919	Trade ↗
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	85.8¢	$14,945	+$1,097	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	73.0¢	$12,337	+$77	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	43.6¢	$9,665	+$4,856	Trade ↗
LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	27.0¢	$9,310	-$945	Trade ↗
LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	67.5¢	$8,565	-$1,070	Trade ↗
Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	9.2¢	$6,364	+$4,817	Trade ↗
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-09?	Yes	92.0¢	$6,356	+$332	Trade ↗
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	79.6¢	$5,913	+$251	Trade ↗
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	89.5¢	$5,498	+$377	Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	78.9¢	$4,504	+$703	Trade ↗
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	16.1¢	$4,475	+$117	Trade ↗
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	91.6¢	$4,363	+$208	Trade ↗
US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina	Elena Rybakina	71.0¢	$4,274	-$432	Trade ↗
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	19.0¢	$3,939	-$889	Trade ↗
Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	46.8¢	$3,711	-$3,105	Trade ↗
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?	No	66.1¢	$3,699	+$1,084	Trade ↗
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	15.0¢	$3,470	+$2,009	Trade ↗
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	11.0¢	$3,234	-$14,191	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	54.7¢	$3,218	-$650	Trade ↗
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	21.8¢	$3,156	-$366	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	35.6¢	$3,112	+$1,079	Trade ↗
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13?	Yes	45.2¢	$2,889	-$46	Trade ↗
Will Solana reach $120 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	62.2¢	$2,864	-$128	Trade ↗
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	23.7¢	$2,719	+$728	Trade ↗
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	41.3¢	$2,677	+$646	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	28.3¢	$2,608	+$1,616	Trade ↗
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	73.9¢	$2,435	+$512	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	45.0¢	$2,276	+$99	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	29.2¢	$2,208	+$800	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	31.3¢	$1,937	-$535	Trade ↗
Montreux: Nuria Brancaccio vs Dalma Galfi	Nuria Brancaccio	48.9¢	$1,732	+$319	Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	55.1¢	$1,598	-$180	Trade ↗
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Yes	64.0¢	$1,570	+$546	Trade ↗
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	41.9¢	$1,555	+$337	Trade ↗
US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Alexander Blockx	Karen Khachanov	61.0¢	$1,489	+$12	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	69.1¢	$1,458	-$4,301	Trade ↗
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	2.4¢	$1,417	+$58	Trade ↗
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	24.0¢	$1,417	+$664	Trade ↗
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	21.1¢	$1,365	-$2,673	Trade ↗
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	82.3¢	$1,334	+$191	Trade ↗
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	2.5¢	$1,289	+$44	Trade ↗
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	8.5¢	$1,199	+$315	Trade ↗
Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?	No	88.3¢	$1,170	+$124	Trade ↗
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	13.1¢	$1,079	+$323	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	34.3¢	$1,059	+$526	Trade ↗
Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026?	No	85.8¢	$1,026	+$59	Trade ↗
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	82.8¢	$989	+$103	Trade ↗
Will Karen Khachanov win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	0.2¢	$987	+$947	Trade ↗
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-09?	Yes	59.4¢	$987	+$49	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	47.7¢	$985	-$2,496	Trade ↗
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	Yes	44.5¢	$979	-$363	Trade ↗
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	57.3¢	$946	-$510	Trade ↗
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	9.2¢	$912	-$950	Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	14.1¢	$899	-$206	Trade ↗
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	52.6¢	$888	+$340	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	43.9¢	$820	-$3,979	Trade ↗
Will Adobe (ADBE) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	93.6¢	$809	+$20	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C or higher on September 10?	No	99.8¢	$775	-$1	Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	69.1¢	$731	-$17	Trade ↗
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	46.0¢	$715	-$239	Trade ↗
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	3.2¢	$677	-$252	Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	51.9¢	$650	-$18	Trade ↗
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	25.4¢	$647	+$209	Trade ↗
Will Jessica Pegula win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	8.6¢	$630	+$233	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 10?	No	99.2¢	$626	+$4	Trade ↗
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	49.6¢	$618	-$95	Trade ↗
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	11.3¢	$592	+$59	Trade ↗
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	79.0¢	$579	+$87	Trade ↗
Will Solana reach $320 by December 31, 2026?	No	90.0¢	$576	+$41	Trade ↗
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	No	50.6¢	$559	-$7	Trade ↗
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?	No	70.6¢	$558	+$35	Trade ↗
LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	42.9¢	$558	-$40	Trade ↗
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	81.1¢	$551	+$76	Trade ↗
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	23.5¢	$546	-$880	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	44.0¢	$545	+$254	Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	46.6¢	$535	+$10	Trade ↗
LAPTOP listed on OKX within 30 days of TGE?	Yes	44.3¢	$530	+$114	Trade ↗
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	No	50.0¢	$525	$0	Trade ↗
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	20.2¢	$525	-$168	Trade ↗
Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	2.6¢	$522	-$1,172	Trade ↗
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	59.2¢	$519	-$179	Trade ↗
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	25.6¢	$495	-$383	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	50.9¢	$483	-$120	Trade ↗
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	12.9¢	$480	+$135	Trade ↗
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	45.6¢	$473	-$103	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	5.2¢	$460	+$420	Trade ↗
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	14.8¢	$453	+$95	Trade ↗
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	19.8¢	$444	+$54	Trade ↗
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	66.7¢	$422	+$121	Trade ↗
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	21.1¢	$421	+$52	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	85.7¢	$418	-$30	Trade ↗
Will Coco Gauff win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	17.8¢	$411	+$74	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	74.1¢	$403	-$2,025	Trade ↗
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	91.3¢	$403	+$27	Trade ↗
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-09-09?	Yes	80.7¢	$387	-$11	Trade ↗
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	2.2¢	$384	+$190	Trade ↗
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	11.0¢	$364	+$87	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
2d ago	US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien	BUY	Karen Khachanov	37.0¢	$14,111
11d ago	Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-08-29?	SELL	No	85.0¢	$22,962
12d ago	Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-08-29?	BUY	No	85.8¢	$15,069
13d ago	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-27?	SELL	Yes	89.0¢	$11,047
14d ago	US Open, Qualification ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Jack Pinnington Jones	BUY	Otto Virtanen	89.8¢	$12,189
17d ago	Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula	SELL	Coco Gauff	99.9¢	$11,039
18d ago	Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-08-22?	BUY	No	88.3¢	$21,914
21d ago	Will Málaga CF win on 2026-08-19?	BUY	No	87.0¢	$21,048
21d ago	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	SELL	Down	99.0¢	$10,208
27d ago	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	BUY	Yes	72.0¢	$34,654
32d ago	Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	SELL	No	98.5¢	$10,735
32d ago	Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	SELL	No	98.6¢	$10,748