XAE12Archangel

76Qualified whaleProven trader

0xfbfd14dd4bb607373119de95f1d4b21c3b6c0029· stats updated 1d ago

Realized PnL

+$25,326,487

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$109,450

Capital deployed

$411,973,007

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$24,120

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 30.0/30Return 5.1/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -4.5Total 75.6 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	96.0¢	$51,989	+$1,469	Trade ↗
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	87.6¢	$27,272	+$877	Trade ↗
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026?	No	92.2¢	$2,757	+$97	Trade ↗
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?	No	87.2¢	$2,307	-$432	Trade ↗
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?	No	83.0¢	$2,297	-$1	Trade ↗
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	No	72.8¢	$2,251	-$178	Trade ↗
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?	No	90.3¢	$2,026	+$70	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	No	93.6¢	$1,844	-$42	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?	No	97.3¢	$1,488	-$7	Trade ↗
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?	No	64.3¢	$1,481	-$369	Trade ↗
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?	No	76.8¢	$1,172	+$199	Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	47.0¢	$1,006	+$88	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	94.0¢	$955	+$15	Trade ↗
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?	No	74.2¢	$913	-$27	Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	84.0¢	$855	+$15	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	77.0¢	$755	-$15	Trade ↗
Trump meets with Putin by September 30?	No	97.7¢	$661	+$1	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	11.8¢	$570	+$72	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2026?	No	94.5¢	$551	+$9	Trade ↗
Will Kanye West meet with Vladimir Putin by October 31?	No	96.2¢	$483	+$6	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	50.0¢	$459	-$24	Trade ↗
Obama federally charged before 2027?	No	88.8¢	$350	+$21	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?	No	96.2¢	$334	-$52	Trade ↗
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	No	77.2¢	$246	+$24	Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: Other	Yes	20.0¢	$242	-$13,569	Trade ↗
Will XRP reach $3.00 by December 31, 2026?	No	70.2¢	$232	+$58	Trade ↗
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?	No	61.2¢	$232	+$83	Trade ↗
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	No	70.3¢	$206	-$5	Trade ↗
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?	No	87.5¢	$198	+$14	Trade ↗
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by October 31?	Yes	96.0¢	$191	+$2	Trade ↗
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?	No	89.0¢	$177	-$1	Trade ↗
Natural Disaster in 2026?	No	74.4¢	$177	+$27	Trade ↗
Bitcoin more valuable than any company before 2027?	No	86.2¢	$170	+$19	Trade ↗
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?	No	72.7¢	$170	+$7	Trade ↗
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?	Yes	53.0¢	$153	+$32	Trade ↗
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	No	91.4¢	$151	+$7	Trade ↗
Will XRP reach $4.20 by December 31, 2026?	No	93.1¢	$148	+$6	Trade ↗
Will XRP reach $2.80 by December 31, 2026?	No	92.2¢	$147	+$4	Trade ↗
Obama arrested before 2027?	No	92.8¢	$146	+$7	Trade ↗
XRP all time high by September 30, 2026?	No	80.0¢	$144	+$28	Trade ↗
Tim Walz in jail by December 31?	No	94.0¢	$143	+$2	Trade ↗
XRP all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	66.0¢	$142	+$43	Trade ↗
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	88.7¢	$141	+$7	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	50.0¢	$121	+$4	Trade ↗
Will XRP reach $3.80 by December 31, 2026?	No	92.0¢	$117	+$6	Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	28.3¢	$113	+$20	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?	No	97.9¢	$110	-$5	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by June 30, 2027?	No	51.0¢	$103	-$8	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	89.6¢	$98	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2026?	No	74.2¢	$83	+$3	Trade ↗
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?	No	65.6¢	$82	+$7	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before 2027?	No	71.6¢	$69	+$11	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2027?	No	30.4¢	$47	+$10	Trade ↗
Will Phantom launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	67.6¢	$26	+$8	Trade ↗
Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026?	No	87.0¢	$23	+$1	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	47.1¢	$21	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Hyperliquid dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	35.0¢	$19	-$17	Trade ↗
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?	No	74.3¢	$13	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	65.4¢	$10	-$164	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by March 31, 2027?	No	59.0¢	$10	-$0	Trade ↗
Will XRP dip to $0.40 by December 31, 2026?	No	80.0¢	$9	+$2	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	76.0¢	$7	+$2	Trade ↗
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?	No	78.1¢	$6	-$244	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in September?	No	99.0¢	$5	+$0	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in September?	No	99.0¢	$5	+$0	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in September?	No	99.0¢	$5	+$0	Trade ↗
Will XRP reach $3.40 by December 31, 2026?	No	86.0¢	$5	+$0	Trade ↗
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027?	No	95.0¢	$5	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in September 2026?	Yes	4.3¢	$4	-$29	Trade ↗
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?	Yes	68.4¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗
Trump meets with Putin by September 30?	Yes	6.0¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election?	No	14.0¢	$0	-$108	Trade ↗
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?	Yes	25.0¢	$0	-$11,424	Trade ↗
Will Bybit be accused of insider trading?	Yes	2.5¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Upbit be accused of insider trading?	Yes	2.5¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will OpenSea be accused of insider trading?	Yes	2.5¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?	Yes	2.6¢	$0	-$3,647	Trade ↗
Will Elizabeth Warren win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?	Yes	5.9¢	$0	-$18,784	Trade ↗
Will Tammy Duckworth be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?	Yes	3.7¢	$0	-$59	Trade ↗
Will Ethena be accused of insider trading?	Yes	2.5¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Joe Biden be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?	Yes	3.7¢	$0	-$59	Trade ↗
France wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?	Yes	16.7¢	$0	-$822	Trade ↗
Will Tether be accused of insider trading?	Yes	2.5¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	22.2¢	$0	-$6	Trade ↗
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% before 2027?	No	64.7¢	$0	-$28	Trade ↗
Will Bernie Sanders be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?	Yes	3.7¢	$0	-$59	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	20.0¢	$0	-$880,135	Trade ↗
Will MrBeast hit 465 Million subscribers by January 31?	No	24.6¢	$0	-$49	Trade ↗
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	20.0¢	$0	-$323,682	Trade ↗
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.5% before 2027?	No	52.2¢	$0	-$180	Trade ↗
Will MEXC be accused of insider trading?	Yes	2.5¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	47.3¢	$0	-$24	Trade ↗
Will MrBeast hit 480 Million subscribers by March 31?	Yes	47.6¢	$0	-$22	Trade ↗
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?	Yes	3.7¢	$0	-$59	Trade ↗
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	Yes	25.0¢	$0	-$47	Trade ↗
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?	Yes	5.9¢	$0	-$7,581	Trade ↗
Will another company be accused of insider trading?	Yes	2.5¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	51.7¢	$0	-$25	Trade ↗
Great Britain wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?	Yes	16.7¢	$0	-$822	Trade ↗
Will Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair?	Yes	2.6¢	$0	-$3,647	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
29d ago	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	BUY	No	60.0¢	$13,620
31d ago	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	SELL	Yes	35.0¢	$10,500