WhaleWatcher

XAE12Archangel

77Qualified whaleProven trader
0xfbfd14dd4bb607373119de95f1d4b21c3b6c0029· stats updated 9h ago
Realized PnL
+$9,395,711
closed + open positions
Return on capital
3%
realized PnL ÷ capital deployed
Win rate
100%
500 of 500 resolved
Resolved markets
500
Portfolio value
$43,307
Capital deployed
$368,207,038
lifetime cost of all positions
Tracked whale volume
$166,578
volume seen by WhaleWatcher
Open positions
52

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 30.0/30Return 2.1/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 77.1 / 100

Current positions

MarketOutcomeAvg priceValueUnrealized PnLTrade
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?No86.8¢$7,652+$973Trade ↗
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?No88.5¢$6,959-$249Trade ↗
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?No78.8¢$5,310+$580Trade ↗
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?No78.9¢$4,842+$1,003Trade ↗
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 6.00% before 2027?No85.5¢$3,280+$294Trade ↗
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?No92.4¢$2,684+$122Trade ↗
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?No90.1¢$1,304-$5Trade ↗
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?No76.8¢$1,217+$244Trade ↗
Ilhan Omar federally charged by October 31?No96.1¢$965+$3Trade ↗
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by March 31, 2027?Yes23.0¢$866+$85Trade ↗
Will XRP reach $3.00 by December 31, 2026?No84.5¢$733+$85Trade ↗
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No52.0¢$703+$192Trade ↗
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.90% before 2027?No81.5¢$682+$68Trade ↗
Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31?No77.0¢$632-$89Trade ↗
Will Kanye West meet with Vladimir Putin by October 31?No96.2¢$494+$17Trade ↗
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?No75.4¢$401+$61Trade ↗
Obama federally charged before 2027?No88.8¢$355+$26Trade ↗
Republican House odds dip to 5% by October 31?No76.0¢$325+$68Trade ↗
Will XRP reach $2.80 by December 31, 2026?No91.1¢$272+$11Trade ↗
Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026?No85.2¢$271+$23Trade ↗
Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026?No91.0¢$246+$7Trade ↗
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.90% in October?No94.8¢$236+$7Trade ↗
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% before 2027?No88.1¢$227-$11Trade ↗
Republican Senate odds dip to 25% by October 31?No67.0¢$198+$51Trade ↗
Rubio flips Vance for GOP nomination by October 31?No98.0¢$197+$1Trade ↗
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?No89.0¢$189+$11Trade ↗
Natural Disaster in 2026?No74.4¢$170+$21Trade ↗
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?No30.0¢$168-$15Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes20.0¢$154-$12,184Trade ↗
Tim Walz in jail by December 31?No94.0¢$148+$7Trade ↗
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?No88.7¢$144+$10Trade ↗
XRP all time high by December 31, 2026?No66.0¢$142+$43Trade ↗
Will a 8.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?No93.5¢$141+$4Trade ↗
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes19.7¢$127-$16,560Trade ↗
Will XRP reach $3.80 by December 31, 2026?No92.0¢$117+$6Trade ↗
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?No65.6¢$105+$30Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?No89.6¢$104+$6Trade ↗
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?No89.9¢$99+$2Trade ↗
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes48.0¢$94+$24Trade ↗
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes19.7¢$93-$36,641Trade ↗
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?No61.2¢$82+$30Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before 2027?No71.6¢$73+$15Trade ↗
Will Hyperliquid dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?Yes35.0¢$21-$15Trade ↗
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027?No51.2¢$17+$6Trade ↗
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.95% in October?No98.0¢$16-$0Trade ↗
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?No74.3¢$15+$2Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?No8.0¢$12-$10Trade ↗
Will XRP dip to $0.40 by December 31, 2026?No80.0¢$10+$2Trade ↗
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?Yes65.4¢$7-$167Trade ↗
Will XRP reach $3.40 by December 31, 2026?No86.0¢$5+$1Trade ↗
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027?No95.0¢$5+$0Trade ↗
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?Yes68.4¢$0-$2Trade ↗
Will a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election?No14.0¢$0-$108Trade ↗
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes32.6¢$0-$14,913Trade ↗
Will Bybit be accused of insider trading?Yes1.8¢$0-$0Trade ↗
Will Upbit be accused of insider trading?Yes1.8¢$0-$0Trade ↗
Will OpenSea be accused of insider trading?Yes1.8¢$0-$0Trade ↗
Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?Yes2.0¢$0-$2,849Trade ↗
Will Elizabeth Warren win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes3.2¢$0-$10,199Trade ↗
Will Tammy Duckworth be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes2.3¢$0-$37Trade ↗
Will Ethena be accused of insider trading?Yes1.8¢$0-$0Trade ↗
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.60% in September?No96.7¢$0-$185Trade ↗
Will Joe Biden be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes2.3¢$0-$37Trade ↗
France wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?Yes15.4¢$0-$758Trade ↗
Will Tether be accused of insider trading?Yes1.8¢$0-$0Trade ↗
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes22.2¢$0-$6Trade ↗
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% before 2027?No64.7¢$0-$28Trade ↗
Will Bernie Sanders be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes2.3¢$0-$37Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes0.1¢$0-$4,614Trade ↗
Will MrBeast hit 465 Million subscribers by January 31?No24.6¢$0-$49Trade ↗
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes0.1¢$0-$1,346Trade ↗
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.5% before 2027?No52.2¢$0-$180Trade ↗
Will MEXC be accused of insider trading?Yes1.8¢$0-$0Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ETUp47.3¢$0-$24Trade ↗
Will MrBeast hit 480 Million subscribers by March 31?Yes47.6¢$0-$22Trade ↗
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.65% before 2027?No81.2¢$0-$270Trade ↗
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes2.3¢$0-$37Trade ↗
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes0.2¢$0-$0Trade ↗
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?No78.1¢$0-$250Trade ↗
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes3.2¢$0-$4,087Trade ↗
Will another company be accused of insider trading?Yes1.8¢$0-$0Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ETUp51.7¢$0-$25Trade ↗
Great Britain wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?Yes15.4¢$0-$758Trade ↗
Will Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair?Yes2.0¢$0-$2,849Trade ↗
Will Gemini be accused of insider trading?Yes1.8¢$0-$0Trade ↗
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?No13.0¢$0-$43Trade ↗
Will Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes4.5¢$0-$218Trade ↗
Will Trump nominate Barron Trump as the next Fed chair?Yes2.0¢$0-$2,849Trade ↗
Will Raphael Warnock be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes2.3¢$0-$37Trade ↗
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes0.1¢$0-$6,308Trade ↗
Will Helius be accused of insider trading?Yes1.8¢$0-$0Trade ↗
Will Nikki Haley win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes3.5¢$0-$259,301Trade ↗
Will Ron DeSantis win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes3.8¢$0-$186Trade ↗
Will Jupiter be accused of insider trading?Yes1.8¢$0-$0Trade ↗
Will Robinhood be accused of insider trading?Yes1.8¢$0-$0Trade ↗
Will Base be accused of insider trading?Yes1.8¢$0-$0Trade ↗
Will Chris Christie win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes3.3¢$0-$511,002Trade ↗
Will AAVE be accused of insider trading?Yes1.8¢$0-$0Trade ↗
Will Hyperliquid reach $68 in August?No97.0¢$0-$32Trade ↗
Will AOC win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes3.2¢$0-$4,154Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

TimeMarketSideOutcomePriceSize
12d agoWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUYNo82.0¢$11,934
39d agoWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELLYes88.0¢$17,688
40d agoWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUYYes91.0¢$42,359
41d agoWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUYNo86.0¢$17,609
41d agoWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUYNo84.0¢$14,890
44d agoWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September?BUYNo91.3¢$11,046
44d agoWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?SELLNo80.1¢$13,592
44d agoWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?SELLNo95.3¢$13,340
75d agoWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUYNo60.0¢$13,620
76d agoWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELLYes35.0¢$10,500