tetrase

78Qualified whaleProven trader

0xdf17f4a8dd01a4cfa6fc3da323a2baee5f8697d1· stats updated 1d ago

Realized PnL

+$2,076,508

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$1,056,810

Capital deployed

$50,978,216

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$1,293,864

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

219

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 30.0/30Return 3.4/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 78.4 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	98.8¢	$147,844	+$835	Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	83.1¢	$70,886	-$3,661	Trade ↗
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	95.5¢	$69,348	+$167	Trade ↗
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	94.3¢	$52,291	+$689	Trade ↗
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	97.9¢	$51,222	+$1,047	Trade ↗
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	86.3¢	$44,377	+$4,710	Trade ↗
Plague pandemic in 2026?	No	95.2¢	$42,601	+$1,213	Trade ↗
US recession by end of 2026?	No	85.6¢	$36,989	+$2,397	Trade ↗
Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?	No	96.7¢	$34,821	+$793	Trade ↗
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?	No	95.4¢	$34,765	+$997	Trade ↗
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	97.0¢	$29,853	+$9	Trade ↗
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	54.3¢	$27,452	+$7,618	Trade ↗
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?	No	75.4¢	$21,945	+$3,028	Trade ↗
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?	No	92.7¢	$19,326	+$575	Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	91.3¢	$18,986	+$239	Trade ↗
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	88.0¢	$17,416	+$1,190	Trade ↗
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No	89.8¢	$17,310	+$1,027	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	27.9¢	$15,963	-$22,804	Trade ↗
Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 30%?	No	99.0¢	$14,552	+$2	Trade ↗
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?	No	93.7¢	$14,370	+$729	Trade ↗
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?	No	86.4¢	$13,721	+$760	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	82.5¢	$12,934	+$1,264	Trade ↗
Will Ilhan Omar be deported by December 31, 2026?	No	96.8¢	$11,424	+$25	Trade ↗
Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026?	No	83.1¢	$11,187	+$1,552	Trade ↗
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	49.5¢	$10,859	+$4,350	Trade ↗
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	70.7¢	$10,320	+$258	Trade ↗
Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	96.4¢	$10,161	-$97	Trade ↗
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	91.1¢	$9,880	+$96	Trade ↗
Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31?	No	70.5¢	$9,094	-$552	Trade ↗
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	No	86.0¢	$7,637	+$906	Trade ↗
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?	No	93.3¢	$7,535	+$177	Trade ↗
Will Trump rename an ocean by December 31, 2026?	No	96.3¢	$7,106	-$173	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	96.0¢	$5,791	+$193	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	89.1¢	$5,639	+$320	Trade ↗
Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026?	No	81.2¢	$5,421	-$80	Trade ↗
Anthropic lab leak by December 31, 2026?	No	97.0¢	$5,183	+$74	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	93.5¢	$5,156	+$148	Trade ↗
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	No	89.5¢	$4,932	+$211	Trade ↗
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	93.8¢	$4,724	+$10	Trade ↗
Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by October 31, 2026?	No	98.0¢	$4,226	-$2	Trade ↗
France declares state of siege (martial law) by October 31, 2026?	No	97.9¢	$4,139	+$40	Trade ↗
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	No	89.7¢	$4,038	-$81	Trade ↗
Ilhan Omar federally charged by October 31?	No	90.8¢	$3,785	+$216	Trade ↗
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?	No	86.2¢	$3,740	+$218	Trade ↗
Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31?	No	88.0¢	$3,601	-$439	Trade ↗
Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	85.0¢	$3,540	+$122	Trade ↗
Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	73.1¢	$3,469	+$337	Trade ↗
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	No	91.3¢	$2,873	+$54	Trade ↗
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	91.6¢	$2,809	+$56	Trade ↗
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	No	91.7¢	$2,762	-$5	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	41.0¢	$2,724	+$599	Trade ↗
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?	Yes	78.1¢	$2,673	-$751	Trade ↗
Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for China by December 31?	No	92.0¢	$2,485	+$79	Trade ↗
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	97.2¢	$2,442	+$13	Trade ↗
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	95.8¢	$2,200	+$32	Trade ↗
France declares state of siege (martial law) by November 15, 2026?	No	97.5¢	$2,104	+$17	Trade ↗
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?	No	78.5¢	$2,057	+$395	Trade ↗
Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?	No	95.2¢	$2,057	+$48	Trade ↗
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	94.0¢	$1,932	+$71	Trade ↗
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	56.4¢	$1,845	+$782	Trade ↗
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?	No	74.1¢	$1,803	-$176	Trade ↗
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	Yes	48.6¢	$1,798	-$14,102	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	43.0¢	$1,775	-$375	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	1.0¢	$1,756	+$497	Trade ↗
Will Karoline Leavitt be the next White House Press Secretary?	No	97.5¢	$1,713	+$11	Trade ↗
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	73.0¢	$1,550	+$31	Trade ↗
Ilhan Omar denaturalization case filed by December 31, 2026?	No	79.8¢	$1,521	+$14	Trade ↗
Ilhan Omar arrested by October 31, 2026?	No	95.7¢	$1,390	+$39	Trade ↗
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?	No	84.6¢	$1,385	+$90	Trade ↗
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?	Yes	57.8¢	$1,371	-$3,740	Trade ↗
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	86.0¢	$1,283	-$8	Trade ↗
No one announced as next James Bond?	No	79.5¢	$1,227	+$17	Trade ↗
Ilhan Omar denaturalization case filed by March 31, 2027?	No	75.3¢	$1,226	-$102	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	No	75.6¢	$1,211	+$121	Trade ↗
Will Natalie Harp be the next White House Press Secretary?	No	96.1¢	$1,150	+$9	Trade ↗
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by October 31?	No	95.3¢	$1,117	-$4	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	89.0¢	$1,090	+$101	Trade ↗
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?	No	95.2¢	$1,021	+$40	Trade ↗
Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Russia by December 31?	No	92.8¢	$1,020	+$2	Trade ↗
Will "Obsession" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	67.6¢	$961	+$12	Trade ↗
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	83.5¢	$921	+$21	Trade ↗
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	28.4¢	$921	-$575	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	74.0¢	$828	+$47	Trade ↗
Will Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2026?	No	88.5¢	$799	+$17	Trade ↗
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	3.9¢	$775	-$614	Trade ↗
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?	No	38.7¢	$748	+$430	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI?	No	93.9¢	$733	-$15	Trade ↗
NBA: Bronny James to Play for the Lakers in 2026-27?	Yes	91.7¢	$701	+$47	Trade ↗
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?	No	90.0¢	$700	+$26	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	15.0¢	$653	-$23	Trade ↗
Graham Platner divorce by October 31?	No	83.1¢	$643	+$102	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	61.0¢	$635	+$25	Trade ↗
Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Iran by December 31?	No	94.9¢	$635	+$14	Trade ↗
Will Russell Westbrook play for the Milwaukee Bucks in 2026-27?	No	91.4¢	$625	+$52	Trade ↗
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	58.3¢	$623	-$253	Trade ↗
Will Katie Zacharia give another press briefing as Press Secretary?	No	96.2¢	$521	+$3	Trade ↗
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	26.0¢	$513	-$79	Trade ↗
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	25.2¢	$511	-$4	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?	Yes	8.0¢	$500	+$29	Trade ↗
Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for SpaceXAI / Elon Musk by December 31?	No	93.0¢	$485	+$20	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
1d ago	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	SELL	Yes	99.9¢	$19,980
1d ago	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	SELL	Yes	99.9¢	$11,100
1d ago	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	SELL	Yes	99.9¢	$11,100
1d ago	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	BUY	No	97.0¢	$23,920
1d ago	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	BUY	Yes	99.9¢	$35,377
1d ago	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	BUY	No	99.2¢	$24,703
2d ago	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	BUY	No	99.0¢	$33,162
2d ago	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?	BUY	No	96.0¢	$13,196
3d ago	Trump out as President before 2027?	BUY	No	95.5¢	$73,114
3d ago	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	SELL	No	94.0¢	$12,645
7d ago	NBA: LeBron James and Bronny James Jr. to Play Together in 2026-27?	BUY	No	99.9¢	$11,520
7d ago	Plague pandemic in 2026?	SELL	No	98.0¢	$16,925
8d ago	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	SELL	Yes	99.9¢	$13,320
8d ago	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	SELL	Yes	99.9¢	$19,980
8d ago	Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026?	BUY	No	81.8¢	$32,739
8d ago	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	BUY	No	99.2¢	$14,147
8d ago	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	BUY	No	99.1¢	$17,397
9d ago	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	SELL	Yes	99.9¢	$41,832
9d ago	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	BUY	Yes	99.0¢	$34,036
9d ago	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	BUY	Yes	92.0¢	$35,702
13d ago	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	SELL	No	98.5¢	$13,013
13d ago	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	BUY	No	99.8¢	$12,032
14d ago	Trump out as President before 2027?	BUY	No	96.2¢	$10,808
14d ago	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	BUY	No	86.0¢	$12,900
15d ago	NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?	BUY	No	99.7¢	$14,427