Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?

UkraineView on Polymarket ↗

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24h volume

$10

Liquidity

$65,502

Whale net flow (24h)

-$11,400

1 tracked trades · buys $0 · sells $11,400

Outcomes

Yes / No

Smart-money consensus (open positions of qualified whales)

Yes 0%100% No

12 qualified whales · $105K positioned

Largest whale trades (7 days)

Time	Trader	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
1d ago	DFK	SELL	No	95.0¢	$11,400
Trimmed NO from $39k → $28k at 95¢. Cuts against smart money, which is 100% NO (12 whales).

Top holders

Yes

vsesoso75K shares
whysoslow49K shares
gatorr21K shares
UniversalCarrier20K shares
cataction11K shares
EternalDecay10K shares
meagainsttheworld8.7K shares
SanctionedBets8.3K shares
0x63767Dc16D7703f58B486Da998567c1693A3F5A1-17743138882897.3K shares
knrad3.5K shares

No

kevtp50K shares
gorovi32K shares
keribit30K shares
DFK29K shares
0xE1203cDbA824c2516e3e6b46db7a87b83811283E-177197181405728K shares
whig20K shares
tetrase7.9K shares
xset6.7K shares
Aq4ExePrd22Jn6K shares
Stableincome5K shares