D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935

66Qualified whaleProven trader

0xd8d5289c35124b5353f5a10a28b8cc29aec38935· stats updated 1d ago

Realized PnL

+$204,881

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$180,592

Capital deployed

$3,922,133

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$45,750

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

380

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 17.1/30Return 4.3/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 66.5 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	50.0¢	$10,329	+$3,829	Trade ↗
Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?	No	89.4¢	$8,686	+$839	Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	66.8¢	$5,011	-$26	Trade ↗
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	90.5¢	$4,837	+$315	Trade ↗
Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 30%?	No	92.7¢	$4,834	+$316	Trade ↗
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	70.1¢	$4,766	+$91	Trade ↗
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	88.0¢	$4,515	+$241	Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	63.9¢	$3,713	+$1,147	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	67.0¢	$3,375	+$25	Trade ↗
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	66.3¢	$3,372	+$789	Trade ↗
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	50.0¢	$2,672	-$3,829	Trade ↗
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	61.6¢	$2,595	+$746	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	57.4¢	$2,580	+$285	Trade ↗
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?	No	70.3¢	$2,523	+$235	Trade ↗
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	64.3¢	$2,488	+$173	Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	83.9¢	$2,475	-$43	Trade ↗
Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?	No	85.0¢	$2,368	-$14	Trade ↗
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	No	62.2¢	$2,175	+$309	Trade ↗
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	57.7¢	$2,145	+$365	Trade ↗
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?	No	75.0¢	$1,922	-$13	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Maine governor race in 2026?	Yes	94.9¢	$1,909	+$11	Trade ↗
AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	90.8¢	$1,870	-$3	Trade ↗
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	86.5¢	$1,842	+$0	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	86.0¢	$1,770	+$50	Trade ↗
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	Yes	60.1¢	$1,733	+$470	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-01 House seat?	Yes	34.9¢	$1,653	+$211	Trade ↗
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	76.4¢	$1,615	+$44	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	56.9¢	$1,610	+$293	Trade ↗
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	75.8¢	$1,592	+$103	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	No	72.2¢	$1,551	+$177	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	97.1¢	$1,512	+$20	Trade ↗
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?	No	85.2¢	$1,480	-$224	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	93.0¢	$1,469	+$74	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	60.2¢	$1,344	+$205	Trade ↗
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	80.1¢	$1,312	-$269	Trade ↗
Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	78.0¢	$1,285	+$63	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	Yes	47.5¢	$1,240	+$290	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?	No	77.7¢	$1,225	+$137	Trade ↗
Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?	No	81.0¢	$1,211	-$8	Trade ↗
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	70.7¢	$1,163	+$103	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	82.4¢	$1,155	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	65.2¢	$1,071	-$38	Trade ↗
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?	No	86.2¢	$1,024	+$99	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?	No	94.8¢	$971	+$4	Trade ↗
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	96.4¢	$968	+$4	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?	No	82.0¢	$964	+$123	Trade ↗
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	42.9¢	$956	+$98	Trade ↗
Papertrade FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	48.4¢	$931	+$11	Trade ↗
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	94.1¢	$931	-$11	Trade ↗
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	No	92.0¢	$915	-$5	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?	Yes	96.0¢	$908	+$1	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the NM-03 House seat?	Yes	89.5¢	$852	+$51	Trade ↗
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	90.2¢	$845	-$57	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	68.9¢	$805	+$116	Trade ↗
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?	No	86.0¢	$779	+$62	Trade ↗
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	65.4¢	$761	-$24	Trade ↗
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	65.0¢	$740	+$90	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	68.9¢	$735	+$46	Trade ↗
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	70.0¢	$715	+$15	Trade ↗
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	No	26.3¢	$710	-$26	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	No	54.0¢	$695	+$155	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	66.0¢	$660	$0	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	61.0¢	$645	+$35	Trade ↗
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	16.7¢	$629	+$352	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	No	63.3¢	$608	+$161	Trade ↗
Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	No	87.0¢	$594	+$20	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	36.0¢	$590	+$38	Trade ↗
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?	No	69.2¢	$582	+$132	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-05 House seat?	Yes	91.4¢	$578	+$29	Trade ↗
Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?	No	93.5¢	$577	+$16	Trade ↗
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?	No	63.3¢	$576	+$196	Trade ↗
No one announced as next James Bond?	No	77.6¢	$573	+$29	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	65.4¢	$570	-$411	Trade ↗
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	49.0¢	$565	+$75	Trade ↗
Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	72.5¢	$561	-$41	Trade ↗
Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?	No	72.3¢	$560	+$44	Trade ↗
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	Yes	65.1¢	$558	+$133	Trade ↗
Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	83.8¢	$557	+$11	Trade ↗
Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of New Zealand?	No	91.0¢	$548	+$7	Trade ↗
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	75.0¢	$546	+$24	Trade ↗
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?	No	86.0¢	$544	+$27	Trade ↗
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	92.0¢	$543	-$9	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	66.7¢	$537	+$137	Trade ↗
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	25.0¢	$536	+$11	Trade ↗
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?	No	83.4¢	$522	-$26	Trade ↗
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	52.7¢	$519	+$220	Trade ↗
Will PUBG Mobile Win the 2026 Esports Mobile Game of the Year Award?	No	64.0¢	$516	+$8	Trade ↗
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	No	60.9¢	$505	-$104	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	47.9¢	$501	-$528	Trade ↗
Will His & Hers be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?	No	90.0¢	$499	+$20	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the MO-04 House seat?	Yes	91.0¢	$483	+$28	Trade ↗
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	83.1¢	$482	-$15	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?	No	96.1¢	$480	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	14.4¢	$479	-$177	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?	Yes	86.9¢	$478	+$3	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	94.4¢	$475	+$3	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	19.4¢	$473	+$143	Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	23.0¢	$470	+$10	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	66.0¢	$458	-$92	Trade ↗
Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by December 31?	No	63.3¢	$447	+$118	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
12d ago	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	SELL	No	94.2¢	$15,985
12d ago	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	SELL	No	95.4¢	$18,665
17d ago	Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?	SELL	No	83.0¢	$11,101