Heskel2

0xcfee7c48b3b63ad378da75af2d51f037516dffcd· stats updated 1d ago

Realized PnL

-$32,363

closed + open positions

Return on capital

-4%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

21%

10 of 48 resolved

Resolved markets

Portfolio value

$16,940

Capital deployed

$861,498

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$36,706

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 0.0/30Return 0.0/25Consistency 0.0/25Sample size 10.5/20Concentration 0.0Total 10.5 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	58.1¢	$2,766	-$28	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	No	57.6¢	$2,766	-$4	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	72.7¢	$2,745	+$29	Trade ↗
Will Pauline Hanson be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?	Yes	27.8¢	$2,373	-$701	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	74.6¢	$1,078	-$16	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	75.5¢	$1,007	-$29	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	62.9¢	$627	-$15	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	78.8¢	$451	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	81.0¢	$443	-$3	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	73.7¢	$413	+$44	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win Greenville County in the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	69.9¢	$274	+$58	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	61.0¢	$252	+$88	Trade ↗
Will Trump pardon anyone by October 31?	No	48.9¢	$250	+$94	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	No	71.1¢	$219	+$41	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	Yes	51.6¢	$193	-$65	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	36.9¢	$183	-$2	Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	36.3¢	$164	-$14	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	No	39.0¢	$155	-$40	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	30.5¢	$143	-$10	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	No	57.0¢	$121	+$7	Trade ↗
Will Lukáš Hájek be the next Mayor of Liberec?	Yes	72.0¢	$66	+$14	Trade ↗
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 25?	No	68.0¢	$65	+$15	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?	No	62.0¢	$61	+$11	Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	24.0¢	$45	-$5	Trade ↗
Will Republicans win the Iowa, Kansas, and Nebraska Senate seats?	Yes	47.5¢	$36	-$7	Trade ↗
Will Anthony Albanese be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?	No	60.4¢	$28	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Netanyahu announce his retirement from politics by March 31, 2027?	No	65.5¢	$7	+$1	Trade ↗
Will STRC hit $100 by November 30?	Yes	66.6¢	$4	-$0	Trade ↗
Hasan Piker arrested in 2026?	Yes	60.0¢	$3	-$27	Trade ↗
Will "Leave" win any Alberta electoral division in the independence referendum?	No	65.0¢	$1	-$28	Trade ↗
Will Iran target an Arab country by October 22, 2026?	No	47.9¢	$0	-$505	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 23?	No	44.0¢	$0	-$49	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
40d ago	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	SELL	Yes	51.6¢	$12,267
40d ago	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	SELL	No	46.5¢	$13,939
68d ago	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	BUY	No	54.1¢	$10,500