TwoEyes

68Qualified whaleProven traderSpecialist

0xb1a279adb096d316b1b168993e8ed976d3cd372a· stats updated 13h ago

Realized PnL

+$1,206,766

closed + open positions

Return on capital

10%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

76%

382 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$264,904

Capital deployed

$11,908,673

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$198,484

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 30.0/30Return 8.4/25Consistency 16.5/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -7.1Total 67.8 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	56.2¢	$160,836	-$42,314	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	61.1¢	$44,427	-$13,963	Trade ↗
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	20.2¢	$28,343	-$11,151	Trade ↗
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31?	Yes	79.2¢	$14,736	+$1,404	Trade ↗
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	8.6¢	$7,542	+$2,653	Trade ↗
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	3.9¢	$2,747	+$17	Trade ↗
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	87.0¢	$1,952	+$212	Trade ↗
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	0.6¢	$1,808	-$664	Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	58.0¢	$1,050	-$110	Trade ↗
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award?	Yes	83.8¢	$781	+$36	Trade ↗
Will the New York Jets win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	0.7¢	$275	-$75	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	20.0¢	$165	-$1,834	Trade ↗
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	26.1¢	$164	-$98	Trade ↗
Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2028?	Yes	45.0¢	$78	-$21	Trade ↗
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?	Yes	39.9¢	$0	-$5,351	Trade ↗
Will Upbit be accused of insider trading?	Yes	2.3¢	$0	-$115	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 15?	Yes	4.1¢	$0	-$44	Trade ↗
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	Yes	25.0¢	$0	-$9,499	Trade ↗
Flames vs. Blues	Flames	43.0¢	$0	-$774	Trade ↗
Up Only podcast released by November 30?	Yes	50.0¢	$0	-$10,864	Trade ↗
Will Jeff Yan appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?	Yes	69.4¢	$0	-$1,689	Trade ↗
49ers vs. Rams	Rams	44.0¢	$0	-$4,757	Trade ↗
Will Diddy be sentenced to no prison time?	Yes	24.1¢	$0	-$86	Trade ↗
Will the New York Yankees win the 2025 World Series?	Yes	6.0¢	$0	-$132	Trade ↗
Will the 2026 State of the Union address last 100 minutes or longer?	No	20.0¢	$0	-$400	Trade ↗
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by August 31?	Yes	85.0¢	$0	-$6,800	Trade ↗
Celtics vs. 76ers	Celtics	46.0¢	$0	-$422	Trade ↗
TikTok sale announced by October 31?	Yes	22.6¢	$0	-$312	Trade ↗
Jets vs. Sharks	Jets	64.0¢	$0	-$1,280	Trade ↗
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on October 13?	Yes	23.0¢	$0	-$391	Trade ↗
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?	Yes	66.8¢	$0	-$5,346	Trade ↗
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?	No	67.0¢	$0	-$2,010	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	Yes	8.8¢	$0	-$4,130	Trade ↗
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	Yes	8.7¢	$0	-$12,765	Trade ↗
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of January?	No	63.0¢	$0	-$1,032	Trade ↗
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?	Yes	11.3¢	$0	-$2,844	Trade ↗
Will Canada win the 2026 IIHF World Junior Championship?	Yes	50.0¢	$0	-$2,500	Trade ↗
Will XRP reach $4.00 in October?	Yes	15.0¢	$0	-$797	Trade ↗
Royals vs. Red Sox	Red Sox	57.0¢	$0	-$1,006	Trade ↗
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?	No	67.8¢	$0	-$4,918	Trade ↗
Browns vs. Jets	Browns	55.0¢	$0	-$1,100	Trade ↗
Will 'Honey' be the least streamed song on The Life of a Showgirl on Oct 10th?	No	3.5¢	$0	-$4	Trade ↗
Rams vs. Bears	Bears	47.0¢	$0	-$940	Trade ↗
Bulls vs. Bucks	Bulls	39.0¢	$0	-$721	Trade ↗
Lighter FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	7.0¢	$0	-$1,030	Trade ↗
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Akron	Akron	71.0¢	$0	-$1,420	Trade ↗
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?	Yes	31.0¢	$0	-$1,147	Trade ↗
Will Ethena win the USDH ticker?	Yes	11.9¢	$0	-$1,062	Trade ↗
Patriots vs. Buccaneers	Buccaneers	57.0¢	$0	-$855	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	Yes	14.1¢	$0	-$5,729	Trade ↗
Will Robinhood be accused of insider trading?	Yes	5.1¢	$0	-$510	Trade ↗
Stars vs. Senators	Senators	54.0¢	$0	-$1,080	Trade ↗
Saints vs. Panthers	Panthers	69.0¢	$0	-$1,656	Trade ↗
Will Cal Raleigh win the 2025 AL MVP?	Yes	27.1¢	$0	-$225	Trade ↗
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase January 6-12?	No	30.2¢	$0	-$893	Trade ↗
76ers vs. Wizards	Wizards	64.0¢	$0	-$63	Trade ↗
UFC 324: Namajunas vs. Silva (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)	Namajunas	28.0¢	$0	-$560	Trade ↗
Pump.fun airdrop in Q3 2025?	Yes	95.5¢	$0	-$191	Trade ↗
Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by Friday?	No	29.1¢	$0	-$1,500	Trade ↗
Jaguars vs. Titans	Titans	28.0¢	$0	-$560	Trade ↗
MLB All-Star Game	American League	50.0¢	$0	-$500	Trade ↗
Will LayerZero win 2025 Uniswap Cup?	Yes	2.7¢	$0	-$3	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in October?	Yes	4.3¢	$0	-$5	Trade ↗
Wild vs. Islanders	Islanders	56.0¢	$0	-$1,205	Trade ↗
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	No	10.4¢	$0	-$1,300	Trade ↗
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?	No	50.2¢	$0	-$346,579	Trade ↗
Sharks vs. Wild	Wild	64.0¢	$0	-$1,443	Trade ↗
Eagles vs. Cowboys	Eagles	60.0¢	$0	-$1,200	Trade ↗
Will Aaron Judge lead the MLB in Home Runs?	Yes	42.0¢	$0	-$42	Trade ↗
Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?	No	28.0¢	$0	-$35	Trade ↗
Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?	Yes	15.7¢	$0	-$7,657	Trade ↗
Raptors vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	27.0¢	$0	-$14	Trade ↗
Ravens vs. Browns	Browns	21.0¢	$0	-$420	Trade ↗
Will Luigi Mangione be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	3.7¢	$0	-$136	Trade ↗
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	No	6.8¢	$0	-$347	Trade ↗
Fact Check: Is Tyler Robinson queer?	No	0.6¢	$0	-$627	Trade ↗
Texans vs. Colts	Colts	63.0¢	$0	-$1,575	Trade ↗
Suns vs. Lakers	Lakers	43.0¢	$0	-$9,460	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	8.4¢	$0	-$394	Trade ↗
Will Eight die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?	No	29.0¢	$0	-$58	Trade ↗
Bills vs. Dolphins	Bills	82.0¢	$0	-$24,600	Trade ↗
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?	Yes	30.2¢	$0	-$3,134	Trade ↗
Trump strikes another drug boat by Oct 15?	No	97.0¢	$0	-$266	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	No	98.2¢	$0	-$9,820	Trade ↗
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?	Yes	73.3¢	$0	-$7,168	Trade ↗
Cardano ETF in 2025?	Yes	84.7¢	$0	-$1,217	Trade ↗
Will Costco Wholesale (COST) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?	Yes	75.0¢	$0	-$874	Trade ↗
Blue Jays vs. Mariners	Blue Jays	3.0¢	$0	-$300	Trade ↗
WLFI >$13B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?	No	46.0¢	$0	-$4,600	Trade ↗
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?	Yes	2.2¢	$0	-$661	Trade ↗
Trump invokes the Insurrection Act by December 31?	Yes	39.9¢	$0	-$51	Trade ↗
Will World Liberty Financial be accused of insider trading?	Yes	4.6¢	$0	-$970	Trade ↗
Will MicroStrategy hold 620k+ BTC before August?	No	76.0¢	$0	-$2,279	Trade ↗
Bills vs. Texans	Bills	71.0¢	$0	-$5,680	Trade ↗
Will CZ appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?	Yes	24.2¢	$0	-$71	Trade ↗
Cavaliers vs. Heat	Cavaliers	74.0¢	$0	-$2,220	Trade ↗
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?	Yes	63.0¢	$0	-$4,949	Trade ↗
Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?	No	57.0¢	$0	-$113	Trade ↗
Jets vs. Canucks	Canucks	49.0¢	$0	-$490	Trade ↗
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)	Max Holloway	67.0¢	$0	-$4,020	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
2d ago	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	BUY	No	50.0¢	$10,000
5d ago	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	BUY	No	51.0¢	$10,953
6d ago	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL	Yes	14.0¢	$13,618
9d ago	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	BUY	Yes	40.0¢	$25,796
12d ago	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	BUY	Yes	49.0¢	$18,449
12d ago	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	BUY	Yes	57.0¢	$15,407
18d ago	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	BUY	Yes	25.0¢	$19,144
19d ago	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	BUY	Yes	68.0¢	$12,725
19d ago	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	BUY	Yes	68.0¢	$31,388
20d ago	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	BUY	No	72.0¢	$28,127
22d ago	Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31?	BUY	Yes	80.0¢	$12,878