WhaleWatcher

TwoEyes

74Qualified whaleProven traderSpecialist
0xb1a279adb096d316b1b168993e8ed976d3cd372a· stats updated 2d ago
Realized PnL
+$1,169,907
closed + open positions
Return on capital
10%
realized PnL ÷ capital deployed
Win rate
77%
383 of 500 resolved
Resolved markets
500
Portfolio value
$56,805
Capital deployed
$11,894,318
lifetime cost of all positions
Tracked whale volume
$198,484
volume seen by WhaleWatcher
Open positions
14

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 30.0/30Return 8.2/25Consistency 16.6/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -0.4Total 74.4 / 100

Current positions

MarketOutcomeAvg priceValueUnrealized PnLTrade
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31?Yes79.2¢$15,410+$2,078Trade ↗
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?No25.1¢$12,479+$488Trade ↗
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes8.6¢$7,314+$2,425Trade ↗
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes20.2¢$7,074-$24,339Trade ↗
Papertrade FDV above $50M one day after launch?No12.6¢$5,587+$4,100Trade ↗
Papertrade FDV above $25M one day after launch?No25.3¢$4,480+$2,068Trade ↗
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes3.9¢$1,565-$1,165Trade ↗
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award?Yes83.8¢$860+$115Trade ↗
Papertrade FDV above $400M one day after launch?No79.0¢$648+$27Trade ↗
Papertrade FDV above $250M one day after launch?No60.0¢$612+$129Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes58.0¢$470-$690Trade ↗
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes26.1¢$159-$103Trade ↗
Will the New York Jets win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes0.7¢$75-$275Trade ↗
Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2028?Yes45.0¢$72-$28Trade ↗
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?Yes39.9¢$0-$5,351Trade ↗
Will Upbit be accused of insider trading?Yes2.3¢$0-$115Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 15?Yes4.1¢$0-$44Trade ↗
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes25.0¢$0-$9,499Trade ↗
Flames vs. BluesFlames43.0¢$0-$774Trade ↗
Up Only podcast released by November 30?Yes50.0¢$0-$10,864Trade ↗
Will Jeff Yan appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?Yes69.4¢$0-$1,689Trade ↗
49ers vs. RamsRams44.0¢$0-$4,757Trade ↗
Will Diddy be sentenced to no prison time?Yes24.1¢$0-$86Trade ↗
Will the New York Yankees win the 2025 World Series?Yes6.0¢$0-$132Trade ↗
Will the 2026 State of the Union address last 100 minutes or longer?No20.0¢$0-$400Trade ↗
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by August 31? Yes85.0¢$0-$6,800Trade ↗
Celtics vs. 76ersCeltics46.0¢$0-$422Trade ↗
TikTok sale announced by October 31?Yes22.6¢$0-$312Trade ↗
Jets vs. SharksJets64.0¢$0-$1,280Trade ↗
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on October 13?Yes23.0¢$0-$391Trade ↗
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes66.8¢$0-$5,346Trade ↗
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?No67.0¢$0-$2,010Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes8.8¢$0-$4,130Trade ↗
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes8.7¢$0-$12,765Trade ↗
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of January?No63.0¢$0-$1,032Trade ↗
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?Yes11.3¢$0-$2,844Trade ↗
Will Canada win the 2026 IIHF World Junior Championship?Yes50.0¢$0-$2,500Trade ↗
Will XRP reach $4.00 in October?Yes15.0¢$0-$797Trade ↗
Royals vs. Red SoxRed Sox57.0¢$0-$1,006Trade ↗
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?No67.8¢$0-$4,918Trade ↗
Browns vs. JetsBrowns55.0¢$0-$1,100Trade ↗
Will 'Honey' be the least streamed song on The Life of a Showgirl on Oct 10th?No3.5¢$0-$4Trade ↗
Rams vs. BearsBears47.0¢$0-$940Trade ↗
Bulls vs. BucksBulls39.0¢$0-$721Trade ↗
Lighter FDV above $2B one day after launch?No7.0¢$0-$1,030Trade ↗
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. AkronAkron71.0¢$0-$1,420Trade ↗
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? Yes31.0¢$0-$1,147Trade ↗
Will Ethena win the USDH ticker?Yes11.9¢$0-$1,062Trade ↗
Patriots vs. BuccaneersBuccaneers57.0¢$0-$855Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes14.1¢$0-$5,729Trade ↗
Will Robinhood be accused of insider trading?Yes5.1¢$0-$510Trade ↗
Stars vs. SenatorsSenators54.0¢$0-$1,080Trade ↗
Saints vs. PanthersPanthers69.0¢$0-$1,656Trade ↗
Will Cal Raleigh win the 2025 AL MVP?Yes27.1¢$0-$225Trade ↗
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase January 6-12?No30.2¢$0-$893Trade ↗
76ers vs. WizardsWizards64.0¢$0-$63Trade ↗
UFC 324: Namajunas vs. Silva (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)Namajunas28.0¢$0-$560Trade ↗
Pump.fun airdrop in Q3 2025?Yes95.5¢$0-$191Trade ↗
Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by Friday?No29.1¢$0-$1,500Trade ↗
Jaguars vs. TitansTitans28.0¢$0-$560Trade ↗
MLB All-Star GameAmerican League50.0¢$0-$500Trade ↗
Will LayerZero win 2025 Uniswap Cup?Yes2.7¢$0-$3Trade ↗
Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in October?Yes4.3¢$0-$5Trade ↗
Wild vs. IslandersIslanders56.0¢$0-$1,205Trade ↗
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No10.4¢$0-$1,300Trade ↗
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?No50.2¢$0-$346,579Trade ↗
Sharks vs. WildWild64.0¢$0-$1,443Trade ↗
Eagles vs. CowboysEagles60.0¢$0-$1,200Trade ↗
Will Aaron Judge lead the MLB in Home Runs?Yes42.0¢$0-$42Trade ↗
Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?No28.0¢$0-$35Trade ↗
Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?Yes15.7¢$0-$7,657Trade ↗
Raptors vs. NuggetsNuggets27.0¢$0-$14Trade ↗
Ravens vs. BrownsBrowns21.0¢$0-$420Trade ↗
Will Luigi Mangione be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes3.7¢$0-$136Trade ↗
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No6.8¢$0-$347Trade ↗
Fact Check: Is Tyler Robinson queer?No0.6¢$0-$627Trade ↗
Texans vs. ColtsColts63.0¢$0-$1,575Trade ↗
Suns vs. LakersLakers43.0¢$0-$9,460Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Yes8.4¢$0-$394Trade ↗
Will Eight die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No29.0¢$0-$58Trade ↗
Bills vs. DolphinsBills82.0¢$0-$24,600Trade ↗
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?Yes30.2¢$0-$3,134Trade ↗
Trump strikes another drug boat by Oct 15?No97.0¢$0-$266Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No98.2¢$0-$9,820Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes56.2¢$0-$163,805Trade ↗
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?Yes73.3¢$0-$7,168Trade ↗
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes0.6¢$0-$2,473Trade ↗
Cardano ETF in 2025?Yes84.7¢$0-$1,217Trade ↗
Will Costco Wholesale (COST) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?Yes75.0¢$0-$874Trade ↗
Blue Jays vs. MarinersBlue Jays3.0¢$0-$300Trade ↗
WLFI >$13B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?No46.0¢$0-$4,600Trade ↗
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Yes2.2¢$0-$661Trade ↗
Trump invokes the Insurrection Act by December 31?Yes39.9¢$0-$51Trade ↗
Will World Liberty Financial be accused of insider trading?Yes4.6¢$0-$970Trade ↗
Will MicroStrategy hold 620k+ BTC before August?No76.0¢$0-$2,279Trade ↗
Bills vs. TexansBills71.0¢$0-$5,680Trade ↗
Will CZ appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?Yes24.2¢$0-$71Trade ↗
Cavaliers vs. HeatCavaliers74.0¢$0-$2,220Trade ↗
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?Yes63.0¢$0-$4,949Trade ↗
Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?No57.0¢$0-$113Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

TimeMarketSideOutcomePriceSize
48d agoWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUYNo50.0¢$10,000
50d agoWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUYNo51.0¢$10,953
52d agoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELLYes14.0¢$13,618
54d agoWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUYYes40.0¢$25,796
57d agoWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUYYes49.0¢$18,449
58d agoWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUYYes57.0¢$15,407
63d agoClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUYYes25.0¢$19,144
64d agoWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUYYes68.0¢$12,725
64d agoWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUYYes68.0¢$31,388
65d agoWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUYNo72.0¢$28,127
67d agoMicrostrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31?BUYYes80.0¢$12,878